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Free NBA Pick Wednesday

#519/520 ‘OVER 220.5’ Detroit Pistons at San Antonio Spurs 7:05 PM CT

Detroit has been on an offensive surge on the current 7-1 streak since early February, posting an average of 118 points per game on that span even with recent games against good defensive teams including Boston, Miami, and Indiana. The ‘over’ has collected in seven of those eight games and while today’s total is several points higher than the home meeting with the Spurs in early January, the elevated number is more than justified.

The ‘over’ is 12-2 in the last 14 Spurs games as a San Antonio franchise known for defense has been struggling mightily. On that ‘over’ run the totals in Spurs games have been at least 219.5 in 13 of the past 14 games but hit an over inflated with a 233.5 number in Brooklyn on Monday. That was the final game of a lengthy road trip for San Antonio spanning both sides of the All Star break.

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San Antonio has allowed at least 107 points in 13 of the past 14 games however and opponents have scored 120 or more in six of the past eight games with an average allowance of more than 122 points per game. San Antonio has been one of the league’s best ‘over’ teams at 38-24 on the season and both of these teams have allowed 48 percent shooting over the past five games.

The January meeting between these teams featured 226 points even with Detroit getting only 14 points at the line at home and connecting at just 28 percent from 3-point range. The Spurs shot well for the game but not from beyond the arc and there were few turnovers and only 221 fast break points in the contest as there was certainly room for more scoring.

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Nelly’s is 4-0 the past three days and we have hit over 63% since early December in basketball. Don’t miss a great opportunity Wednesday night.

Bobby Dalton is on a 12-5 Best Bet run in college basketball and he has posted a 10* Missouri Valley pick for Wednesday – pay after you win.

Big E won last night in college basketball – get daily 10* Biggies for $9.94!

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Free NBA Pick Saturday

#547 San Antonio Spurs +3.5 over Los Angeles Clippers 9:35 PM CT

The Clippers moved to 21-14 late last night with a ‘road’ win over the rival Lakers, and despite the 11-point final margin it was a tight game most of the way. A Clippers team that has been short-handed most of the month got a big game from Lou Williams who recently returned from injury while Marcin Gortat also played a few minutes as the team is getting its roster back to full strength. This could be a challenging turnaround given the magnitude of last night’s game however.

The Spurs and Clippers have split a pair of meetings this season with the host winning both games though the Spurs are +33 in scoring in those games. Despite the lesser record the Spurs have the stronger average scoring differential and San Antonio has more quality wins. San Antonio played last night in Denver and had a hard-fought three-point loss vs. the Western Conference leaders, after beating Denver in San Antonio on Wednesday. San Antonio is on an 8-3 run with all three losses in that span coming very narrowly and the Spurs are undervalued as a team that is climbing its way back to Western Conference relevance. With both teams playing in second-straight games after big games last night, the points are appealing.

Nelly’s is on an outrageous 14-1 NBA run while 22-6 in basketball picks since Dec. 6. We have won our Saturday Basketball 2/3 Offer in back-to-back weeks going 6-0 on those picks. Get a NBA pick and two college picks for Saturday for $25 in today’s 2/3 offer.

Also check out bowl and NFL picks on the site this weekend with several big plays from Nelly’s and the featured handicappers.

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Free NBA Pick Monday

#709 San Antonio Spurs +4.5 over Utah Jazz 8:05 PM CT

The Spurs haven’t looked like a Western Conference contender in recent weeks, playing without Kawhi Leonard most of the season. This matchup and situation should bring out the best in the Spurs however coming off a national TV blowout loss over the weekend and having lost to Utah in early February at home.

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The Jazz have won nine in a row as one of the hottest teams in the NBA. The Jazz dealt Rodney Hood at the trade deadline but now a .500 team that is just 1.5 games out of the final playoff spot Utah is a team that can keep its momentum going. This could be a challenging situation however having won a late Sunday night game in Portland last night. The Jazz mainly are an eight-man rotation right now with six players posting 29 or more minutes last night. Newcomer Jae Crowder had a strong game last night but there could be some transition for this team in the coming weeks, especially is Ricky Rubio misses any more time after sitting out last night.

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LaMarcus Aldridge could miss this game for the Spurs with knee soreness but he has had a somewhat disappointing season and the Spurs have won by 23 and 14 in the past two games where he has sat out. Look for the Spurs to play well tonight with Utah in a potentially dangerous scheduling spot and favored modestly in this game despite being a 7-point underdog on the road nine days ago in this matchup.

Nelly’s is hitting 82% in February basketball with back-to-back huge weeks and 14-3-1 start to the month. Don’t miss our next selections or join us for an extended subscription. Big E is on a 40-24 basketball run and he expects 20* picks Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday this week while winning five of his last six 10* Biggie plays. Bobby Dalton has won six consecutive 10* Best Bets in basketball and could have his next big play Tuesday.