Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#840 Texas A&M +6 over Florida 7:30 PM CT

Many pegged Florida for national contention this season but the Gators have lost nine games while going only 6-4 in SEC play. Florida did beat Auburn but that is the only top 45 win of the season. Florida is 2-5 on the road this season and this will be a second straight road test after losing badly at Ole Miss over the weekend. Texas A&M has struggled to just 11-11 this season but this is a .500 team in SEC play in a transition season under Buzz Williams. The home loss to LSU came in overtime and the defense has offered some promise for the Aggies, grading as the second best defensive efficiency team in the conference. The offense has problems but Aggies have good size leading to good offensive rebounding numbers. Florida also rates as one of the worst defensive teams in the conference as the opportunity to best the season averages will be there. The Aggies create turnovers at a high rate on defense and have had some bad luck with SEC foes connecting at nearly 78 percent on free throws against them.

Nelly’s is 23-12 since Jan. 21 including going 7-1 the past three Wednesdays. Join us for tonight’s college basketball 2/3 guarantee for $25!

Big E has hit 60% in his 20* picks and 75% on his 15* picks this college basketball season.

Bobby Dalton has won eight of his last nine NCAA 10* picks!

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#809 Alabama +5.5 over LSU 6:00 PM CT

LSU has certainly had some good fortune on its way to a 15-4 mark, rebounding nicely amidst lower expectations after a Sweet 16 season a year ago that was marred by controversy surrounding Will Wade. After a mediocre 7-4 start to the season the Tigers have won eight in a row including a perfect 6-0 start in SEC play. The noteworthy wins over Arkansas, Mississippi State, and Florida all came at home and all came by a grand total of five points combined. LSU has now won six straight games by no more than four points including an overtime win but will lay at least five tonight hosting Alabama.

Alabama is 12-7 behind new head coach Nate Oats who led Buffalo to NCAA Tournament wins the past two seasons. Alabama has won four straight games and has six top 100 wins in the last month for a nice run that puts the Tide into the NCAA Tournament conversation. Only the season opening loss came outside the nation’s top 100 and the Tide have four wins away from home this season. Alabama defeated Auburn and lost close games with Florida and Kentucky in matchups vs. top SEC contenders.

An Alabama offense that pushes the pace will go up against a LSU team that ranks 11th in the SEC in defensive efficiency despite the perfect record while Alabama is actually second in the conference. No team has been better in the SEC against 2-point shots while no SEC defense has been worse than LSU in defending the 3-point shot allowing over 27 percent. Alabama takes a great deal of 3-point shots and should have favorable looks in this matchup.

LSU’s ability to close out close games makes the Tigers a worthy favorite but given the slim recent margins vs. similar or lesser caliber teams the points are appealing in this rivalry that is usually much more consequential on the football field.

Nelly’s is on a 10-2 run since January 21 and we had a pair of underdogs that both won outright last night. We went 3-0 in Wednesday’s 2/3 offer last week and we hit 83% on top plays last season. Join us for a big play tonight or sign up for all picks through Feb. 29 for $199 with Nelly’s posting a winning record in 12 of the past 15 months of February including a 53-33 combined record the past two years.

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#612 Kentucky -9 over Alabama 11:00 AM CT

Kentucky is sitting outside the normal top 10 radar the program has constantly sat in under John Calipari with three early season losses including the stunning November home loss to Evansville. The Wildcats shouldn’t be ruled out as the top SEC threat as usual however and the current three-game winning streak is an impressive one, beating Louisville as well as starting 2-0 in SEC play with convincing results. Alabama rates similarly to Missouri and Georgia teams Kentucky has defeated in the last week but the Tide are coming off a stunning 21-point win over Mississippi State on Wednesday and this will be a difficult road test for Nate Oats in his first season at Alabama after his great run at Buffalo. The pace has been fast for the Crimson Tide but this squad is reliant on 3-point shooting and will face an elite defensive team in one of the nation’s toughest venues. Alabama has zero top 50 wins this season and the only road win of the season came at Samford while allowing 87 points. Alabama lost by 18 in the SEC tournament in the last meeting with the Wildcats and while a lot has changed for both teams the gap between the programs remains similar.

Nelly’s is 18-9 in college hoops since Dec. 10 while winning all three of our Saturday 2/3 offers this season with a combined 7-2 record. Get 2/3 in college basketball today for $25 or join for the rest of January for $149!

Big E has gone 4-0 in his highest rated selections in basketball this season with a 3-0 record in 15* picks and an underdog winning outright in his first 20* of the season Thursday. Add to a 32-19 run with today’s 10* and 20* plays including his 20* Conference Game of the Year in the Big XII!

Bobby Dalton has had a strong start in 2020 including winning his first six picks of the New Year. Get tonight’s 10* pick in college basketball!

FOOTBALL action is up for the Divisional Round as well with several big picks Saturday & Sunday in the NFL!

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#657 Vanderbilt +3.5 over Texas A&M 8:30 PM CT

Vanderbilt completed a stunning 0-18 SEC season losing against short-handed LSU last weekend. The Commodores are still looking for their first win of 2019 yet will be just a small underdog playing close to home in the opening round of the SEC tournament. Texas A&M has six top 100 wins this season including a stunning win over Kansas State. The Aggies beat Vanderbilt by seven at home in early March and finished the SEC season on a decent run with wins in five of the final nine. TJ Starks is out of the lineup with a shoulder injury however as the Aggies are without their top player, though Starks did not play in the win in this matchup less than two weeks ago.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

That was an ugly game with both teams struggling offensively and the Aggies had nearly twice as many free throw attempts while Vanderbilt shot just over 16 percent from 3-point range. In the conference numbers these teams aren’t that far apart statistically despite the contrasting win counts. Vanderbilt played the #1 toughest SEC conference schedule on the season while the Aggies had a much lighter path playing Kentucky, Auburn, Florida, Mississippi State, and Tennessee just once each. Vanderbilt played both SEC super powers Kentucky and Tennessee twice each while also doubling up on Florida. Billy Kennedy’s team has been one-and-done the past two years and Bryce Drew will have his team ready to try to find some life in an otherwise lost season with a chance to get a win in Nashville. Kennedy also recently announced that he is resigning after the SEC Tournament, leaving the team with a lot of uncertainty heading into tonight’s game.

Nelly’s won our daytime pick on Wednesday and we are 15-6 so far in March basketball while 40 games over .500 since December 6 with our basketball service. Sign up now for all of March Madness with a 24-12 NCAA Tournament record the past two years! Don’t miss a 2-for-1 offer tonight for only $15!

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Bobby Dalton has FOUR picks in Wednesday’s QUAD Conference Tournament offer including a Best Bet! Dalton hit a 10* last night and is off to an amazing 19-8 start to the month of March! Get on board for a late night pick if you miss the day games!

Big E is 11-8 so far in March and will have 10* Biggies daily for championship week!

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#634 Missouri +11.5 over Kentucky 8:00 PM CT

Kentucky asserted itself as a national contender with the 86-69 win over #1 Tennessee last weekend. This could be a dangerous sandwich game with Auburn next on the schedule. Kentucky has won the past five SEC road games but three of those wins came by slim margins while the Wildcats also lost its SEC road opener at Alabama.

At 3-9 Missouri hasn’t come close to matching some of the past recent success of the program but the Tigers haven’t lost by more than 10 points at home since the SEC opener with Tennessee. Missouri played the top rated Vols closely on the road earlier this month and in 12 SEC games the Tigers have only twice lost by more than 12 points. Missouri is a good 3-point shooting team and a good rebounding team and Kentucky’s strong SEC numbers have come through one of the lightest schedules in the league.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Despite some big scores from Kentucky in recent weeks these are both very slow paced squads as a double-digit road favorite spread will feel even larger in this matchup. There is a letdown risk for the Wildcats off a monumental win and a very young team hasn’t proven it can handle success in the spotlight. Missouri beat Kentucky at home last season and only once in four trips to Columbia since Missouri joined the SEC have the Wildcats won by more than 10 points.

Nelly’s Basketball is 5-0 the past three days with five underdogs that have all won outright. Don’t miss Tuesday’s pick or join us for the rest of the month or our March Madness package to build on great season returns. We are 32 games above .500 since early December with a current 23-10 NBA run and a current 40-23 college run (through Feb. 18).

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Bobby Dalton is 13-7 in his last 20 college basketball picks while 10-4 in February 10* Best Bets. Don’t miss tonight’s 10* and check back for Wednesday’s offer with the Big Dog 20-7 on Wednesdays this season.

Big E was a winner in college basketball last night and his next 10* Biggie is coming soon. Also check back for his next 20* on Thursday in the OVC.

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#195 Mississippi +10 over LSU 8:15 PM CT

Ole Miss is 3-1 but since the dominant win over Texas Tech they have struggled needing a comeback vs. Southern Illinois, blown out against Alabama, and struggling to pull away from Kent State last week. Jordan Ta’amu has been sharp in a big play offense but the defense has caused plenty of reason for worry as the competition escalates in the SEC season.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

In a possible letdown spot LSU didn’t dominate but got the win to move to 4-0 against Louisiana Tech, and now is expected to win this week ahead of a four-game gauntlet that will define the season. Joe Burrow has delivered wins but he has completed just 49 percent of his passes and LSU is gaining only 4.1 yards per rush as this is a limited offensive team that won’t want to get into a shootout with the Rebels. LSU has won and covered the past two years but Ole Miss is 14-7 ATS in this series since 1997 as this could be a dangerous game.

The early win over Texas Tech has grown in stature for the Rebels with Texas Tech blasting Oklahoma State on the road last week and being plus 8 in turnovers this season while being positive in every game has helped the Tigers substantially in covering up the struggles of the offense. LSU has allowed 42 points the past two games and an improbable comeback one-point win against Auburn has the Tigers ranked as top 5 team when had LSU lost that game, this squad would be considered another uninspired and good but not great team at the level that has been the norm for the program in the last decade.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” category=”nellys-football” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#668 Florida -1.5 over Auburn 7:30 PM CT

Florida has lost three in a row with three painfully narrow defeats. The Gators are at home vs. the SEC leaders tonight and the stakes are high with the Gators drifting towards the NCAA Tournament bubble and currently knotted in a six-team group at 8-7 in league play with some huge potential disparities ahead in the conference tournament draw.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Florida remains one of the top defensive teams in the SEC and an above average offense despite the mediocre record and wins over Gonzaga and Cincinnati have grown in stature as the season has gone on. Auburn has a two game cushion in the SEC with the tiebreaker over Tennessee as there isn’t great urgency in this challenging road game. Auburn beat rival Alabama on Wednesday night by 19 but it was a misleading final score with a tight game through 30 minutes.

The very small Tigers are still adjusting to the loss of Anfernee McLemore and Mustapha Heron is also a question mark after missing Wednesday’s game with illness. The January win over Tennessee is the lone top 25 win of the season for Auburn despite the lofty ranking and projection as Florida’s pair of non-conference wins over heavyweight programs bests anything Auburn has accomplished.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”newness” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

These teams look much closer statistically than the standings suggest and while Florida has a handful of marginal home losses they also have a number of high quality wins in Gainesville. It has been a long time since Auburn defeated Florida and while this line looks out of place to the average fan looking at the records and standings, the favorite price is more than justified for the Gators.

Sign up to win with the Big E Sports Ticket for his 25* College Game of the Year for Saturday – Big E is 50-30 in his last 80 picks for big gains the last two months. Nelly’s is 26-9-1 in February – check out a 2/3 guarantee for Saturday for $25. Bobby Dalton is 11-3 in his last 14 Best Bets and a 10* is included in today’s Trips-2-Win 2/3 for $24.99. Get a huge card from Maximum with SEVEN picks in his guaranteed Saturday 7-Up offer!

 

 

 

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#763 Missouri +5.5 over Alabama 8:00 PM CT

Despite losing two star freshmen this season Missouri is on pace to exceed last season’s results by a significant margin. Not likely a NCAA Tournament team the next two weeks present a great opportunity for the Tigers to climb back into that conversation with notable games with Alabama and Kentucky this week. Missouri is just 3-5 in SEC play but two losses came by just two points each as the record could easily be reversed. The shooting numbers are terrific all over the floor with a 39 percent 3-point shooting and 77 percent free throw shooting.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Missouri has four wins away from home this season and riding three straight defeats this is a critical game for the Tigers. Alabama has a very high ceiling as big wins this month over Auburn and Oklahoma attest. This is a dangerous game in-between last weekend’s huge game with the Sooners and a big matchup this weekend vs. Florida. Alabama only have one home loss on the season but six wins have come by single-digits as there have been many close calls for this team.

Unlike Missouri, Alabama is shooting just 33 percent from 3-point range and just 68 percent at the line for a big contrast. The Tide has an outstanding defense but they haven’t always been able to sustain that intensity for 40 minutes. Alabama has also played arguably the weakest SEC schedule so far this season, yet to play Florida, Kentucky, or Tennessee. Both meetings between these teams were tight last season despite Missouri winning only eight games all season and this looks like a good scheduling spot to fade an erratic young Tide team coming off big national spotlight win with this fairly low spread designed to entice action on the home favorite that everyone just watched beat Oklahoma.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”newness” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#381 Mississippi State -9.5 over Louisiana Tech 6:30 PM CT

This battle of Bulldogs is the first meeting since 2015, a game MSU won 45-20 in Starkville. Mississippi State had an outrageously dominant showing last week, holding Charleston Southern to just 33 net yards in the shutout win. Louisiana Tech was caught in a tight game with FCS Northwestern State last week as they were tied late into the third quarter before scoring the final 28 points of the game.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”newness” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

With three straight nine-win seasons Skip Holtz has Louisiana Tech consistently battling as one of the better small conference teams but this year’s squad has few starters back and the passing game was inefficient last week behind sophomore J’Mar Smith.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Perpetually underrated Mississippi State is playing in a tough venue here with Louisiana Tech 14-2 S/U in Ruston the last three years but few of those wins were of any quality. Nick Fitzgerald has a lot of starting experience and is a dual threat after leading the team is rushing last season. Louisiana Tech had three turnovers on offense last week but was also handed three turnovers back and still didn’t pull away until late in the game.

Allowing nearly 400 yards and 24 points vs. FCS competition doesn’t bode well for taking on this matchup and while the recent success of the program makes Louisiana Tech and intriguing home underdog the roster doesn’t resemble the group that played competitively with Arkansas and Texas Tech last season and despite Ruston’s reputation the Bulldogs are just 1-3 ATS the past four instances as a home underdog.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”popularity” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]