#977 Seattle Mariners (LeBlanc) +130 over Los Angeles Angels (Heaney) 9:05 pM CT
Journeyman Wade LeBlanc has been a nice story for the Mariners at 6-1 with a 3.44 ERA. An xFIP of 4.35 lurks beyond the conventional line however and LeBlanc has allowed six home runs in his last five starts. LeBlanc has only allowed 19 walks in over 96 innings and he has pitched fantastic in two starts vs. the Angels with only seven hits and three runs allowed over 12 innings, with a win in both starts. The Angels are a .500 team that is 9-20 on the season vs. left-handed starters. On the season Los Angeles is batting .214 with a .647 team OPS vs. southpaws for some of the very worst splits in all of MLB.
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Andrew Heaney has good numbers on the season with a 3.66 ERA and steady strikeout counts but he isn’t a proven top of the rotation starter that should command this price against a playoff contender. Eight times in his last 12 starts has Heaney allowed three or more runs and while his ERA is solid at 3.53 in that span his xFIP is 4.27. The Mariners have defeated Heaney twice in that span as well with eight runs in 10 innings. Seattle is getting pushed by Oakland in the wild card race but the Mariners prefer to face left-handers batting .262 with a .738 team OPS vs. southpaws for a slight edge over the numbers vs. right-handers. The Mariners have been a losing team in July with a decline in offensive production but they have won seven of 12 games with the Angels while 27-22 on the road this season. Los Angeles has a 4.84 bullpen ERA in the past 10 games and in that span the offense has hit .162 with 2.2 runs per nine vs. left-handers.
Nelly’s has a 2-for-1 offer for $15 Friday night while Bobby Dalton has a 10* Best Bet total! Dalton is on a current 10-3 run with a 23-13 Best Bet run!
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