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SUNDAY NFL FREE PICK
#261 Minnesota Vikings +3.5 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CT
The Texans were in command at Pittsburgh with three first half touchdowns but then were shutout in the second half to fall to 0-3. Houston has faced arguably the best three teams in the AFC and shouldn’t be ruled out as a team that can put together a decent season.
A winless Vikings team provides a better opportunity, but Minnesota certainly could have won last week. Justin Jefferson’s breakout game was wasted as Minnesota posted 7.5 yards per play on offense but still did not win. The Vikings rushed for 226 yards on 6.8 yards per rush but struggled on third downs and had a costly missed field goal. Minnesota’s once feared defense only is ahead of Atlanta in defensive scoring this season.
The Vikings are a top five offensive team posting 6.5 yards per play this season however as the Vikings have hopes for a turnaround as well. The shutdown of Minnesota facilities provided a scare early in the week but the Vikings should be at full strength while still catching more than a field goal in this game.
As worked out on Thursday night, in Game 4 matchups of winless teams, the road team is the preference with a 10-4-1 ATS mark going back to 1983. Mike Zimmer has a brilliant record off a loss in his career and the Vikings did enough to cover last week vs. Houston’s superior division rival.
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