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Point Train Free Pick

#317 Syracuse +1.5 over Maryland 11:00 AM CT

This is rare game with both teams coming off shutout wins. While Maryland scored more than three times as many points as Syracuse in its shutout win last week, they did so vs. FCS Howard, a team that won four games last season and also lost by 40 to Kent State last year. Shutting out Liberty might not sound impressive, but the Flames won six games last season and are an FBS squad that has quickly risen to a respectable level, bringing back a veteran quarterback with great experience on both sides of the ball. Liberty is playing an independent schedule but will be a threat to make the program’s first bowl game by season’s end. Tommy DeVito has big shoes to fill replacing Eric Dungey but he played in six games last season including leading wins over North Carolina and Florida State when he was a freshman. DeVito didn’t play well in the opener but the Orange running game provided three touchdowns and nearly 200 yards and Syracuse is poised to have its best defense in many years. The Orange held Liberty to negative rushing yards and held senior quarterback Steven Calvert to one of his worst career games. Syracuse has a season-making game with Clemson up next, a team they beat two years ago in the Carrier Dome and had on the ropes last season. That has led many to flock to Maryland this week but in six years as an ACC team Syracuse is 5-1 S/U in the game prior to facing Clemson. Mike Locksley is 1-0 at Maryland but his career 4-31 record as a head coach Is hard to ignore, even with this spread flipping after Syracuse opened as a slight favorite. Josh Jackson is two years removed form his fine 2017 season at Virginia Tech and Maryland lost three home games last season while allowing 29 points per game overall. Last week’s shutout was certainly looks likely to be the only zero that the Maryland defense will put up this season returning the fifth least experience in the Big Ten. Syracuse was unquestionably the second best team in the ACC last season yet the team is getting minimal respect coming off a 10-win season and with Dino Babers 56-35 in his career, quickly providing success at three programs.

Point Train was a winner with the UNDER last night in the NFL opener, an convincing 10-3 result! Another TOTAL is lined up on the Friday college football schedule for $19.97 – pay after you win!

Point Train’s first 5-unit pick of the season is also on its way for Saturday night in a big prime time TV game!

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Free Point Train Pick

Saturday #211 New Mexico State +31.5 @ Washington State 10:00 PM Eastern

If you’ve dealt with us in the past you know we prefer ‘ugly’ teams over the media darlings. With that said, we like New Mexico State plus the points over Washington State. Last season the Cougars were 11-2 ATS and have a two-year record of 18-8 ATS at the betting window. That success doesn’t go un-noticed by the oddsmakers so there is an immediate correction in the opening numbers this season. Conversely, the Aggies were a dismal 2-9-1 ATS last season and cost anyone that bet them on a regular basis a lot of money last season. WSU had the best spread record in college football last year, but fifteen teams had a better average margin of victory than the Cougs. Washington State had a decent average margin of victory of +14.2PPG last year, but it came against the 50th ranked schedule.

Washington State had just two wins last year that were by more than the spread on their opener this season. New Mexico State struggled last season with a 2-9-1 spread record, but their average loss margin was 16.1PPG and they only lost by 34 or more points three times. New Mexico State returns 30 letter winners with 8 starters on offense back and 6 defensive starters. Two years ago, this team was 7-6 SU with a Bowl Win to end their season. The Aggies had a negative point differential of just -.4PPG and an offense that was 45th in the nation in yards per play at +5.7, while averaging 29.3PPG. With experience back at quarterback, a solid O-line along with plenty of depth defensively this Doug Martin coached team will be much better than they were a season ago. Washington State does return a bevy of talent from last year’s team with 39 lettermen, 7 offensive starters and 6 defensive starters but they are clearly over-priced here. Our computer analytics on this game have the Cougars favored by 26.9-points. We take the pooch and the points! Bet on New Mexico State!

2018 Best ATS teams in college football: Washington State 11-2, Utah State 10-3, Florida International 10-3, Syracuse 9-3-1, Troy 9-3-1, Fresno State 10-4, UAB 10-4

2018 Worst ATS teams in college football: Michigan St 4-9, Wisconsin 4-9, North Texas 4-9, W Michigan 4-9, S Florida 4-9, Mississippi 3-9, San Diego St 3-10, Georgia State 2-9-1, N Mexico St 2-9-1, UConn 2-9-1, Louisville 1-11

Point Train is off to a 3-1 start to the football season and has two big plays ready to go for Saturday’s schedule!

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Point Train Free Pick

 

FREE PICK 364 NY GIANTS +4.5 over CHI BEARS 12:00 PM CT

It would be easy to assume the Giants have quit on the season after a November surge had the team playing for a long shot division title run. Last week in Philadelphia New York did everything right early with a 19-3 edge but wound up falling 25-22 and now 3-8 any lingering playoff hopes have been extinguished. That doesn’t mean New York will mail it in the rest of the season and a team that was just a slight underdog on the road against the defending Super Bowl champions last week will be similarly priced at home vs. a team with a back-up quarterback this week.

Chase Daniel is an experienced option for the Bears and he played reasonably well last week in the comeback win over the Lions on Thanksgiving morning. The Chicago defense broke a 16-16 tie in the fourth quarter however with a defensive touchdown while also intercepting a late Lions drive that could have forced overtime. Behind Daniel the Bears had just 264 total yards against a mediocre Lions team that doesn’t rate much differently than the Giants at this point. With Daniel in the game and without the rushing ability of Mitchell Trubisky Chicago managed only 38 rushing yards on 2.5 yards per carry.

Struggling on the ground has been at the forefront of the discussion for the Giants this season but New York has been out-gained on the ground by more than 27 yards just once in the past six games. Chicago meanwhile has been out-rushed in three of the past four games. This will be a second straight road game for the Bears ahead of a huge NFC test with the Rams next week and a Giants team that has played almost exclusively close games this season can again play tight with a spread that has climbed above four points.

Don’t miss POINT TRAIN’S 9-UNIT NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR FOR SUNDAY WEEK 13! Point Train has profited in 9 of 12 NFL weeks, going 26-15, +38.3 units!

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Friday Night ACC Football

Pittsburgh vs. Virginia

Contribution from Brooks Brazeau of Point Train

 

Friday Night in Charlottesville, Virginia will be electric as the Cavaliers welcome the Panthers of Pittsburgh to town in a battle for division supremacy.

Virginia finds themselves in a way better position right now than most of the fanbase thought they would be to begin the year as the “Hoos” find themselves with a record of 6-2 overall and atop the ACC Coastal. The 25th ranked Cavaliers have had lots of success this season, stemming from the terrific play of junior quarterback Bryce Perkins. Earlier this season the former junior college transfer became the second player in Virginia football history to throw for more than 200 yards and rush for more than 100 in the same game. On the season, Perkins has thrown for 1.623 yards with a touchdown to interception ratio of 15:8. Perkins has also rushed for over 500 yards as well as six touchdowns. Perkins dual-threat ability will be on full display Friday night and could cause some major issues for the Panthers defense.

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The Panthers head down Charlottesville looking to bring back with them a share of the ACC Coastal division lead. Pittsburgh is trending upwards. Last weekend against Duke, the Panthers registered their best offensive game of the season racking up 634 yards, 484 of which were on the ground. This plays very well for the Panthers as Virginia’s rush defense is not the best, giving up an average of 113 yards on the ground per game.

The major storyline is this one is the play on the defensive side of the ball for both teams. As well as the Pitt offense played last week, the defense played horribly against a bad Duke team allowing 45 points on 619 yards. Will be tough for the Panthers to stop the elusive Bryce Perkins as he can run and throw the ball over the field. On the flip side, it will be almost equally as tough for the Cavaliers to stop the Pitt rushing attack as the Hoos defense against the run is far from the best.

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Point Train has a huge weekend lined up with 7 BETS Friday to Sunday for $77 with a guaranteed Profit! Point Train went 5-1 last weekend and has turned in two different 7-0 weekends this season while +43.4 units in NCAA action and +18.4 units overall through Nov. 1 this season.

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Point Train Free Pick

#128 Central Michigan -3 over Ball State 2:00 PM CT

This is a desperation spot for Central Michigan sitting at 1-5 overall and 0-2 in MAC play with the program looking for a fifth straight bowl appearance. The schedule has been difficult facing three power conference teams and two teams that might well wind up meeting in the MAC Championship. Four of five losses have come by 15 or fewer points including road games at Kentucky and at Michigan State. Central Michigan dominated this matchup last season with a 56-9 win in Muncie last October with a 455-208 yardage edge.

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Ball State was an injury-depleted squad in that game as the Cardinals are a more formidable threat this season as the line suggests, with Central Michigan priced similarly on the road last season. Ball State has two wins but they came against FCS Central Connecticut State and a Kent State team that appears likely to finish at the bottom the MAC. Four of six games for Ball State have come at home and in two road games the Cardinals have posted just 26 points combined. Last week’s eight-point loss at Northern Illinois featured the Cardinals trailing by 15 late in the third quarter before a late charge and Central Michigan did a much better job in that same matchup holding the Huskies to a only 284 yards likewise in an eight-point loss though that was in Dekalb while Ball State played at home last week.

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Interceptions have been a problem for Central Michigan with 12 in six games between Tony Poljan and Tommy Lazzaro with a split of playing time last week for the quarterbacks as a -7 turnover differential on the season has been a key reason the Chippewas have fallen short in close games including a 4-1 turnover deficit last week hosting Buffalo in an otherwise competitive game. John Bonamego has a winning home record every season since taking over Mt. Pleasant with a 12-7 S/U home record. Ball State has lost 10 road games in a row S/U while posting only two S/U MAC road wins since 2015.

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Point Train is PLUS +45.0 units this football season winning big in back-to-back college weeks led by last week’s 10-unit College Game of the Year. Point Train has also won in three of the last four NFL weeks with an 11-5 run! Get all picks Thursday to Monday with this Weekend Pass for all college and pro picks for $59.97 up front! The weekend has already turned in a winner Thursday on Texas Tech! 

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Friday NCAA Preview WSU vs. USC

Washington State at USC

Friday, Sep. 21 – preview courtesy of Point Train

Friday Night the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum will play host to Friday night football for the first time since the start of the new millennium as the upstart Cougars of Washington State travel into town to face a dejected USC Trojans squad looking to get back on track.

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Washington State will open conference play Friday night in the City of Angels at 7:30pm local time as they look to take down the Trojans of the University of Southern California. Mike Leach’s Cougars have started off the year strong, 3-0 entering a tough road test in week four. In order for the Cougars to return to Pullman with a double U they will need a plethora of things to go their way. For starters, East Carolina transfer quarterback Gardner Minshew will have to play well on the road. Minshew has played well in the first three weeks, passing for 1203 yards, as well as eight touchdowns compared to only three interceptions. Minshew, coupled with a lethal wide receiving core featuring Davontavean Martin who already has 290 yards receiving and three touchdowns, can cause major problems for a battered and bruised USC secondary.

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USC plays it’s second Pac-12 conference game of the season this Friday night as they play host the Washington State. The Men of Troy have not started out the season very well to say the least. Struggling offensively with true freshman quarterback JT Daniels, the Trojans have failed to break 20 points in two of their first three games to start the season. Clay Helton’s squad hopes to get back to their winning ways of week one and in order to accomplish this feat the Trojans will need better play from Daniels as well as everyone else really. Pac-12 conference football is a different animal than your week one non-conference UNLV, and the Trojans need to step it up this Friday or they will find them in a tough 0-2 hole in the Pac-12 South. It’s gut check time whether the Trojans like it or not, and they better figure something out quick.

Point Train has a special Guaranteed Profit Weekend going this week – already 1-0 with the Thursday night winner Point Train has been profitable so far this season in BOTH NCAA & NFL picks. Get all picks through Monday with a net profit or the fee is waived!

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Friday Night NCAA: TCU at SMU

TCU at SMU: Preview courtesy of POINT TRAIN

For 364 days of the year, the Dallas-Fort Worth area is for the most part very friendly when it comes to college football. The one day it is not is the day the football teams of Texas Christian University and Southern Methodist University meet on the field and battle for the Iron Skillet. This year’s edition comes to us from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas on Friday, September 7th.

The start of the season for TCU and SMU could not have been more different. TCU opened the season last Saturday by absolutely shellacking Southern 55-7. Horned Frogs quarterback Shawn Robinson lead the way by scoring five touchdowns (three in the air, two on the ground) in the first half while also throwing for 182 yards on 24 attempts. SMU kicked off Saturday night against the Mean Green of North Texas at Apogee Stadium. The Mustangs didn’t look great as they came out of Denton with their tails between their legs in a loss 46-23. Quarterback Ben Hicks completed 12/24 passes and finished with a quarterback rating of 1.3. SMU running backs had a big night combining for a grand total of 4 yards on the ground on 19 carries. Defensively the Mustangs gave up 444 yards and three touchdowns on fifty attempts to North Texas starting quarterback Mason Fine.

A far from ideal debut for new Mustangs head coach Sonny Dykes.

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Sonny Dykes looks to end the six-game losing streak to the Horned Frogs this Friday night. To do so he’ll need significantly better play from his secondary. The Mustangs return four starters in the secondary, yet are statistically the second worst FBS school against the pass. One silver lining SMU can look at is that they only allowed 68 yards on the ground last weekend to North Texas. Stopping the run game from TCU as well as stopping Shawn Robinson’s ability to make plays with his feet will be a tall task, but if done well can have the potential to flip the script in the direction of the Mustangs.

Gary Patterson looks to improve upon his team’s current six game winning streak over the Mustangs Friday night in Dallas. TCU fans should feel pretty good about its chances having absolutely walloped Southern last week. To be successful against SMU Friday night the Frogs need to A.) continue to balance out the attack offensively and B.) not look too far ahead to their game against Ohio State on the 15th.

In reference to point “A”: In TCU’s win over Southern they were incredibly balanced yardage wise as they threw for 264 yards and rushed for 235. If the Horned Frogs can continue to keep such an attack going this Friday in Dallas and keep the Mustangs defense on their toes and their heels at the same time they will be very successful.

In regards to “B”: The Horned Frogs have a massive game next Saturday at AT&T Stadium against the Ohio State Buckeyes, but it won’t mean nearly as much if TCU falters this week. A rivalry game such as the battle for the Iron Skillet doesn’t necessarily fit the criteria for a trap game, however, it definitely is. TCU is the favorite, there’s no secret there, however SMU can play and if TCU isn’t focused and ready to play this can and will be a lot closer than people think.

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Point Train is 4-2 so far this college football season winning in last week’s biggest pick with a 5-unit winner on Cincinnati’s upset over UCLA! This week’s first 6-unit Top Play is lined up as the Non-Conference Game of the Year for Saturday! Point Train also started the NFL season 1-0 with a Thursday night ‘under’ play on Philadelphia’s 18-12 win over the Falcons.