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Free NCAA Pick Wednesday

#714 Penn State -3 over Michigan 6:00 PM CT

Penn State has won six of the last eight to make a late season run in Big Ten play, up to 9-7 and 19-10 overall. The Lions have a few bad losses on the resume to overcome and still have plenty of work to do to make a NCAA Tournament case. Penn State has lost three home games this season but they have won the past four home games and have home wins over Nebraska and Ohio State to take out two of the better teams in the conference. After beating the Buckeyes last Thursday Penn State came up just short at Purdue in what could have been a season-making win for the team.

Purdue was gifted a 27-13 edge in free throw attempts and the Lions have 15 turnovers to offset a big rebounding edge for Penn State and continued strong shooting for the Lions. A lot went right for Michigan’s senior day win over rival Ohio State Sunday and a letdown is very possible tonight back on the road in a more critical game for the host. In Sunday’s narrow win for Michigan the Wolverines hit 17 of 24 from the line despite being one of the nation’s least productive and lowest percentage free throw shooting teams. Michigan was crushed on the boards 40-30 including a 15-4 edge for the Buckeyes on the offensive glass but turnovers and missed layups and free throws burned Ohio State.

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Michigan only has four road wins all season and a Wolverines team reliant on 3-point shooting will face a very strong perimeter defense for Penn State that has held foes to just 34 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Michigan’s defensive profile is vastly overrated through non-conference success against nine teams outside the nation’s top 150. Michigan is 20th nationally in defensive efficiency with the season numbers but just seventh in the Big Ten in the conference season through one of the weaker Big Ten slates. Michigan is 11th in the Big Ten in 3-point defense and there should be a good opportunity for Penn State to continue a strong late season run.

Nelly’s won last night in Big XII play to reach 19-6 in February college basketball selections. Join us for tonight’s 2/3 Guarantee for $25 or play through February 28 for just $99. Big E has turned in back-to-back winners for a 10-4 run and a 49-28 long-term run the past two months. Get a guaranteed 10* Biggie play tonight and expect his next 20* tomorrow. Bobby Dalton is on an 8-3 run in Best Bets and he guarantees to win tonight in college basketball with his next 10* – $24.99 pay after you win!

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Free NCAA Pick Friday

#834 Penn State -8 over Nebraska 6:00 PM CT

If Penn State is going to take a step forward this season and compete for a NCAA Tournament spot it is games like Tuesday’s result at Indiana that need to be turned around. The Nittany Lions fell apart in the second half to fall in Bloomington, now just 2-3 in league play despite not yet facing any of the top Big Ten teams. Penn State has lost twice at home this season but does have three top 100 wins and blasted Northwestern in the last home game by 15. 11 of 12 wins this season for the Lions have come by double-digits and there is a lot to like about the statistical profile of the team even if the past track record of the program leads to suspicion.

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Penn State is 16th nationally in defensive efficiency with great numbers across the board on defense. This is also a strong outsides shooting team in what looks like it could be the breakthrough season for Pat Chambers in his seventh season in University Park. Nebraska could be feeling the same way matching Penn State at 12-6, but with a 3-2 conference record.

The losses for Nebraska have come in forgivable matchups against Michigan State and Purdue on the road for a more impressive league start in perhaps a critical sixth season for Tim Miles. Nebraska has won five of the last six but the Cornhuskers have just one road win on the season. This is a dangerous spot on the schedule following a huge home win over Wisconsin on Tuesday night and the efficiency numbers on both sides of the ball heavily favor Penn State even factoring for a lighter schedule for the Lions.

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Nelly’s is 12-5 in basketball picks so far in 2018 going 34-18 since December 3 and 8-1 since January 6 including a 3-0 mark the past two nights. Get today’s NCAA Hoops pick and look for a bigger card Saturday. Big E is on a 15-7 college basketball run and his next Biggie will be coming Friday night with his next 20* scheduled for Saturday.

Big E will have his 25* NFL Playoff Game of the Year posted by 3:00 PM CT Friday for divisional round NFL action. Big E was 2-0 in the NFL Playoffs last weekend and is 15-5 in 15* & higher picks this football season while a perfect 4-0 in his 25* picks. Nelly’s NFL is on a 13-4 run since Week 14 and we have a guaranteed 2* in Saturday NFL action. Maximum owns a 15-6 NFL playoff record the past 2+ postseason and he has picks in all four games in a $30 package!

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Free NCAA Pick Friday

#842 Penn State -6 over Northwestern 7:00 PM CT

Northwestern might appear to be a tempting underdog tonight as Chris Collins has a lot back from last year’s squad that made noise in the NCAA Tournament. Top player Bryant McIntosh missed the last game and looks unlikely to be back in action anytime soon though no official announcement has been made.

The six losses for Northwestern have come against top 125 teams but three of the defeats have come 15 or more points and an average of more than 14 points per defeat. The games in the win column for Northwestern don’t offer great promise as the best win of the season came in overtime at home against Illinois. The Wildcats are a great free throw shooting team that takes care of the ball but hasn’t been able to match the success on defense of last season’s team.

Penn State has a similar 11-5 record on the season while also lacking high quality wins but the Lions haven’t lost by more than 11 points in ant game while taking on several challenging matchups. Both home losses came by a single point and Penn State currently is 17th nationally in defensive efficiency. The Lions have great rebounding numbers while also creating turnovers at one of the highest rates in the Big Ten.

This is also an excellent outside shooting team connecting at over 38 percent from 3-point range. Northwestern won at Penn State in the only meeting last season but it was one of the better shooting games of the season for the Wildcats. Satchel Pierce looks likely to return tonight after missing the loss to Maryland and Penn State hasn’t lost consecutive games all season.

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Nelly’s delivered in our 2* top play last night with a near upset from a heavy underdog. We are on a 26-15 run since December 3 in basketball for great returns including hitting 72% on the season in the NBA. Get a guaranteed NBA pick tonight for just $15. Big E is on a 9-3 run in his last 12 basketball picks as well – don’t miss Friday’s Biggie play for just $9.94.

Get a 2/3 offer from Nelly’s for the football weekend for $25 – we won our NFL 2/3 offer 11 times in 17 weeks going 3-0 five times and hitting nearly 61% on the season in the NFL including an 11-3 run the final four weeks with three 3* Top Play winners in pro football. Big E also expects 10* Biggie plays Saturday, Sunday, and Monday while Bobby Dalton, Maximum, and Point Train will look to build on great recent postseason success.

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Free Bowl Pick Saturday

'UNDER 54' Washington vs. Penn State 3:00 PM CT

Penn State averaged just over 31 points per game against the five best teams they faced in the Big Ten while being held to just 283 yards against Ohio State despite scoring 38 points. The Lions have offensive stars but the success this season came from a defense that held nine of 12 foes below 20 points. Washington allowed just over 14 points per game this season while never allowing more than 30 points. The Huskies have the best run defense in the nation allowing just 2.6 yards per carry and Penn State isn’t too far behind as both teams will struggle on the ground.

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Don’t miss Big E’s 25* Bowl Game of the Year Saturday – 4-0 in his 25* Bowl GOY the last four years while 14-5 this football season in 15* & higher picks including 3-0 in 25* picks (Preseason, NFL, and College GOY wins).

Nelly’s Bowl GOY goes Monday with Nelly’s football on a 5-0-1 run in 3* Top Plays and a winner in our Bowl GOY the past two years with dogs winning outright!

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#163 Akron +31 over Penn State 11:00 AM CT

The Nittany Lions delivered an incredible season going from a 2-2 start including a loss in the Big Ten opener to the Big Ten championship with huge wins over Ohio State and Wisconsin. Now juniors Penn State has stars at quarterback and running back with Trace McSorley and Saquon Barkley and the offense has the potential to top last season’s great numbers.

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The defense was erratic last season and that may remain the case this season. Penn State has failed to cover in an early season MAC matchup each of the past two years and this will be the biggest Penn State spread vs. a FBS foe since 2008. Akron lost by 44 at Wisconsin last season but the Zips have a respectable showing vs. Penn State from 2014, the same year they upset Pittsburgh.

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Terry Bowden’s squad hit a high mark in 2015 before sliding to 5-7 last season, losing the final four games with bowl eligibility on the line. This year’s team has some veteran experience with Thomas Woodson back at quarterback and the points are appealing given that a top 10 Wisconsin squad only gave the Zips +23½ early last season. Penn State has a revenge game with Pittsburgh up next and the offense might try to keep some of its best plays off the table if they are able to as this isn’t likely to be a game where the Lions are adding points late.

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