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Free MLB Pick Friday

#911 Colorado Rockies (Anderson) -130 over San Francisco Giants (Stratton) 9:15 PM CT

Tyler Anderson has rough numbers in his last five starts but four of those were Coor’s Field games with the lone road outing in Houston for a difficult path. Anderson has a season xFIP of 4.22 with steady strikeout marks as he is a capable option for the Rockies despite his numbers swelling of late. He has pitched extremely well in his past two outings vs. the Giants with three runs allowed in over 13 innings and he has held right-handers to a .234 batting average this season with San Francisco generally batting seven right-handers vs. southpaw starters.

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Chris Stratton owns a 4.99 ERA on the season with only a 6.9 K/9 and he has surprisingly provided no better results at pitching-friendly AT&T Park. Colorado has simply owned him this season with a 9.81 ERA in three starts. The season numbers for Colorado at the plate are underwhelming even with two MVP candidates but no team has been hotter of late with a .927 team OPS the past 12 games, scoring 6.2 runs per contest and batting .308 as a team while hitting nearly two home runs per game.

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The Giants are 0-11 in September while topping three runs just once in that span. San Francisco is just 5-11 vs. Colorado this season and San Francisco has a .561 team OPS while batting .198 over the past four weeks, averaging just 2.8 runs scored per game. San Francisco has just seven extra-base hits in the last five games combined as the Rockies could overcome a mediocre start from Anderson while only a slight favorite despite the contrasting recent results and the current stakes in the NL playoff race.

Nelly’ is on a big MLB run at 19-12 for over 60% – get tonight’s side play guaranteed to win. Bobby Dalton has a 10* interleague Best Bet Friday, riding a 72-50 interleague run!

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Free MLB Pick Wednesday

#909 Arizona Diamondbacks (Godley) -115 over San Francisco Giants (Rodriguez) 9:15 PM CT

Zack Godley has 13 wins but a 4.59 ERA for Arizona this season but his FIP is only 3.68 and with a 9.6 K/9 Godley remains a threat for a great outing most nights. His last two starting efforts have featured 14 strikeouts but 11 runs allowed after Godley had allowed just 13 runs over his previous seven starts combined with his ERA 3.79 with a 2.00 FIP over his last nine starts. Godley has had mixed results against the Giants this season but San Francisco has been ice cold at the plate in August.

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In the past 25 games San Francisco has hit .217 while posting a .589 team OPS with only 14 home runs and averaging 3.4 runs per game. Arizona has dropped four of the last five games including getting shutout in the first two games of this series. They now sit tied with the Rockies in the NL West with the Dodgers now within a game and the Diamondbacks have four games at Dodger Stadium this weekend.

Arizona has a .751 team OPS the past 23 games with steady production. Arizona has improved its numbers vs. right-handed pitching since the trade deadline and Dereck Rodriguez has suspicious numbers in 15 games as a rookie. Rodriguez is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA but with a 4.07 xFIP, benefiting from a .247 BABIP on the season. Rodriguez has made only three starts in August and Arizona has faced him before which should help the cause Wednesday.

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Free MLB Pick Saturday

#957 Los Angeles Dodgers (Buehler) -125 over Colorado Rockies (Marquez) 6:15 PM CT

Not much has gone right for the Dodgers this season with a few big injuries but Los Angeles has quietly won 11 of the past 15 games to creep closer to .500. Despite struggling the first two months the Dodgers are just three games out of first place in the NL West and they have a chance to make it just two games with another win over the Rockies after an 11-8 result in Denver last night. The Dodgers have the best scoring differential in the division despite being fourth in the current standings and Los Angeles won last night despite the Rockies going 6-10 with runners in scoring position.

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Both bullpens were heavily taxed yesterday and while Walker Buehler lacks experience he is a high ceiling option on the mound that has proven able to go deep in games with back-to-back seven-inning outings. His ERA is just 2.20 with a better than 5:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and he has so far lived up to his top prospect billing as a 1st round pick from three years ago. Colorado managed just two hits against him in a mid-May outing over seven innings. First outings at Coor’s Field can be challenging but Buehler looks like the better option on the mound tonight.

German Marquez is actually a few months younger than Buehler despite winning 11 games for the Rockies last season. His trajectory in 2018 remains similar with nearly identical numbers in many categories this season, except for a much higher walk rate. Marquez has been a disaster at home this season with a 7.54 ERA in over 22 innings of work and the Rockies own a shaky 4.78 bullpen ERA the past 10 games.

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Nelly’s is 5-1 since Monday in baseball picks, posting a winning month of May and riding a 3-0 run in MLB Totals. Get today’s TOTAL DOMINATION play for just $15. Bobby Dalton has a big Saturday card with a HIGH FIVE 3/5 Guarantee for $25.55!

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Free MLB Pick Monday

#910 Arizona Diamondbacks (Walker) +105 over Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu) 8:40 PM CT

Arizona finished 25-17 against left-handed starters last season and the Diamondbacks will be up for the first meeting with the Dodgers this season, finishing 11 games behind Los Angeles in NL West standings last season. The Dodgers are just 2-2 on the young season after splitting four games with the Giants at home and the road opener will be a challenging matchup with Arizona getting an off day Sunday while the Dodgers had a late night contest.

Hyun-Jin Ryu made just 24 starts last season with up-and-down results. He had a 3.77 ERA but was just 5-9 despite pitching for the team with the best record in baseball. Ryu had a FIP nearly a full run higher than his ERA and he had worse numbers on the road while allowing six runs in four innings at Arizona.

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Taijuan Walker was a steady pitcher for Arizona last season with good strikeout numbers and only six runs allowed in three starts vs. the Dodgers spanning nearly 17 innings of work. The Dodgers had five left-handers in the lineup last night against a right-handed starter and Walker held left-handed batters to just a .225 batting average last season.

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Bobby Dalton is 16-6 in the NCAA Tournament including going 2-0 in the Final Four Saturday. Dalton has a side & total package with a 10* guaranteed ($24.99) for Monday’s Championship. Dalton is also 2-0 in baseball this season – get tonight’s pick on the diamond ($12).

Nelly’s is 10-5 in the NCAA Tournament and 62-33 in basketball picks since February 1 as we wrap up a huge season tonight. We’ve also hit nearly 65% in the NBA on the season – join Nelly’s for all picks through the NBA Finals for just $179.