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Get a jump start on the weekend!

There are some great options Friday night ahead of the biggest college football weekend of the season so far!

Point Train is 8-1 in college football since October 1 and is featuring a total for tonight’s Big Ten opener between Illinois and Wisconsin – pay after you win for $19.97!

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton had a big 15* winner last Sunday with a blowout and he is back with college football action Friday night featuring a 7* side play for only $12 tonight!

The World Series continues tonight with Nelly’s coming off a Game 2 win and Bobby Dalton 3-1 in in the Fall Classic! Don’t miss Game 3 picks with a side from Bobby Dalton and a total from Nelly’s!

Check back for more information on weekend offers plus a Free Pick for Saturday! Green Sheet Issue #14 is available last night – it went 2-0 Thursday night and our Rating 5 Key Selections are 7-1 this season!

Some big games are scheduled this weekend with another Point Train 6-unit Top Play expected Saturday after back-to-back outright upsets the past two week in college 6-unit plays.

Big E is 3-1 this season in 20* picks with his past two 20* picks covering by 38 points – don’t miss his 20* in the AAC this week.

Maximum Sports expects his first NFL 10* Top Play as well with a 9-4 run in 5* picks this NFL season!

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World Series Game 2 – Green Sheet #14

Bobby Dalton started off the Fall Classic winning both the side and the total last night.

Get his GAME 2 PACKAGE for $24!

Nelly’s has released Issue #14 of the Green Sheet for games Oct. 22-26 – Our Rating 5 Keys are 7-1 this season!

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Saturday Football + Free Pick

Don’t miss great offers in college football for Saturday – Nelly’s and Big E both added winners last night in college action and we are ready for a big day Saturday.

Nelly’s has a 2/3 Guarantee for Saturday for $25 with three daytime picks, now 21-11-1 in football releases. Nelly’s has a NFL 2/3 Sunday coming off a sweep in Week 5.

Big E has his next 20* – this week in the SEC looking to build on a 3-1 record this season in 15* & higher picks, covering by nearly four touchdowns in last week’s 20*. Big E also went 3-0 in the NFL in Week 5.

Big Dog Bobby Dalton is just in with a trio of picks for college football Saturday – all later games on the schedule including a 10* Best Bet + two 7* Picks. A 15* could also be on the horizon Saturday morning! Dalton also has a 10* for MLB Playoff Action Saturday!

Point Train has a 6-Unit Dog of the Month pick for Saturday as part of 3-Pack coming off a 10-3 start to October!

Maximum Sports has three 5* picks Saturday and his next Sunday 60% Guarantee in the NFL looking to build on a 9-2 NFL 5* record!

Here is today’s FREE PICK from the Green Sheet – Key Selections went 8-2 last week including 5-0 in the NFL! Issue #13 is available for just $12!

#134 Tennessee -6.5 over Kentucky 11:00 AM CT

Tennessee has maintained a strong series edge over Kentucky despite the Wildcats having perhaps briefly passed Tennessee for a few years in SEC East stature. Kentucky led 13-0 in the first quarter last season but didn’t score again despite a production edge in the game with the Wildcats failing on three different 4th downs in the second half. Kentucky produced a wild final score last week winning 24-2 to break its winless start against Mississippi State. Six turnovers certainly helped the cause for Kentucky last week, a winner despite only 157 total yards. Tennessee’s hopeful rise to a contending East program was put to a halt last week at Georgia. A halftime lead turned into a 23-point loss as the Vols were shut out in the second half last week and wound up with negative net rushing yards. Despite the score last week, Kentucky’s defense was highly vulnerable in its first two games and didn’t dominate two teams expected to finish towards the bottom of the SEC. This game figures to be close but in the trenches, Tennessee has the stronger personnel to make the difference.

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Trips-2-Win MLB

Two huge playoff games take place Friday night – join Bobby Dalton for a rare postseason Trips-2-Win offer covering both ALCS and NLCS games. Dalton is 10-5 in Trips-2-Win offers this season and is on a 44-31 run in October MLB the past 3+ seasons!

Football offers will be coming in throughout the weekend – Nelly’s expects 2/3 offers in both NCAA & NFL action this week.

Maximum Sports has three 5* picks in college football in a 3-Pack plus he’ll look to build on a 9-2 record in NFL 5* picks with his next 60% Sunday guarantee.

Big E has his Top 5 Ticket out with a great record in that weekly package this season. He also expects a 20* this Saturday coming off a 20* winner last week – while he went 3-0 in NFL Biggies last weekend!

Point Train is 2-0 in 5 and 6 unit college picks while on a great run in October overall.

We’ll post a Free NCAA Pick by Saturday Morning.

Green Sheet Issue #12 went 8-2 in Key Selections including 5-0 in the NFL – don’t miss this week’s issue #13 for only $12!

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4th Quarter Covers

4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Oct. 2-3

10/04//2020

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24: This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception. A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21: Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play. Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62): The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62. Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard. TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27: SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third. SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts. Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21: Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark. The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away. Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17: The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone. Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30: Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20. The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game. Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied. The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17: This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort. A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining. Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7: LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20. Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.  

Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30: Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns. Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short. Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

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Half-Price Weekend Offer

Nelly’s had turned in a great start to the football season, 11-2 overall including 7-2 in rated picks. We’ve been perfect in college football and we have an EARLY PICK SATURDAY plus a higher rated 2* SHOWCASE GAME Saturday Night in guaranteed offers. We also have our famous NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE going for NFL Week 3, already posting a 3-0 sweep once this season.

As a special offer this week we’ve got our Weekend Package for Half Price this week – only $30 getting you those five rated picks, a copy of this week’s Green Sheet and a possible pick or opinion to come for Monday’s big AFC game.

Nelly’s has also enjoyed excellent recent runs in MLB and the NBA with picks set for Friday!

Keep posted for a FREE PICK later today!

Check out Bobby Dalton’s Stanley Cup Finals Offer and don’t miss a BEST BET in MLB action. Dalton won in the NFL last night with the Dolphins and is expecting a college football 15* BEST BET Saturday, riding an 11-3 run in September 15* picks.

Point Train won Thursday night as well and is featuring a LATE NIGHT PICK for Saturday college football!

Big E won his first big play of the season last week with a 20* in the ACC – he has his first 15* NFL Pick set for Week 3.

Maximum Sports has been red hot in the NFL at 9-3, don’t miss his 60% Guarantee this week!

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NFL Week 2 Sunday – Great Results so far!

Nelly’s added another winner yesterday to keep our perfect football start going at 6-0 for our phone service. Last week’s NFL 2/3 offer went 3-0 with three underdogs all winning outright – get our Week 2 picks for just $25 2/3 Guaranteed!

Nelly’s Baseball is on an excellent 19-12 run and we have a great DAYTIME TOTAL for Sunday only $15! We’ll also hope to deliver in the NBA Playoffs Sunday as well on a busy sports day!

Considering joining Nelly’s for our FULL SEASON PACKAGE or our SEP/OCT OFFER for the Football Season!

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton is also off to a perfect 3-0 start in the NFL and he added a 7star winner in NCAA action yesterday. Get his TRIPS-2-WIN Sunday NFL 2/3 featuring 10, 7, and 5-star picks in his Sunday Set for $29!

Dalton is also releasing regular selections in MLB & NBA action, riding a current 23-12 run in MLB picks since Sep. 1!

Point Train has released its first big play of the season with a NFL GAME OF THE MONTH for $29.97!

Maximum Sports turned in a 5-1 Week 1 in the NFL – get his 60% GUARANTEE in his Week 2 5-Game Offer for $30!

The Big E is 1-0 in his 20* picks with an ACC winner on Saturday and he is 10-6 overall this season – check out today’s NFL BIGGIE!

FREE NFL PICK SUNDAY FROM THIS WEEK’s GREEN SHEET:

#280 Tennessee Titans -7.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars 12:00 PM CT

The Jaguars dealt several stars in the weeks before the season but wound up victors in Week 1. Gardner Minshew had just one incomplete pass while throwing three touchdowns to lead a comeback for the Jaguars. Jacksonville was outgained 445-241 as it was a fortunate result but catching an extra day on the turnaround while the Titans are in Denver late Monday night is a favorable set-up. Tennessee barely won that game with four missed kicks from veteran Stephen Gostkowski to leave 10 points on the field. Derrick Henry compiled solid numbers as Tennessee moved the ball conservatively, posting only 4.8 yards per play. This is a rare favorite price for the Titans but Tennessee did produce several lopsided wins after Ryan Tannehill took over last season. Posting 26 first downs against a top tier defense last week was a solid result and the Titans will be less dependent on the passing game than the Colts had to be last week.

Get the Green Sheet weekly for $12 or join for the entire season subscription!

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ACC Spotlight – Miami at Louisville

Saturday College Football – Miami, FL at Louisville

After getting a taste of college football the past two weeks, things will heat up in conference play in the final two weeks of September. One of the biggest games of the weekend is a contest in the ACC between Miami and Louisville. Both teams had some positives in their first seasons under new coaches last year and the victor of this game could emerge as a sleeper in the ACC race.

Match-up: Miami, FL Hurricanes at Louisville Cardinals

Venue: At Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky ~30% Capacity Open ~18,000)

Time/TV: Saturday, September 19, 7:30 PM ET ABC

Line: Louisville -2½ Over/Under 64½

Last Meeting: November 2019 @Miami (-7) 52, Louisville 27

Miami and Louisville both are 1-0 with wins vs. Conference USA teams ahead of this ACC opener with the Hurricanes winning against UAB last Thursday and Louisville pulling away from Western Kentucky. Miami won convincingly in this series last season, which was the first meeting since 2014. These teams are both former Big East programs though their time in the league did not coincide.

Manny Diaz was born in Miami but attended Florida State, where he also started his coaching career. He has bounced around several schools in the past two decades before landing at Miami as Mark Richt’s defensive coordinator for three seasons starting in 2016. He accepted the Temple head coaching job following Miami’s 2018 season but after Richt retired he returned to the Hurricanes. His first season was an inconsistent journey to 6-7; delivering quality wins over Virginia, Pittsburgh, and in this matchup but also suffering losses to Georgia Tech, Florida International, and a shutout bowl loss to Louisiana Tech.

Diaz lured two high profile transfers to Miami this off-season with former Houston quarterback D’Eriq King and Temple DE Quincy Roche though the headlines were negative on that front this week as CB Christian Williams announced his departure out of Miami after last week’s win. Quarterback play was quite erratic for Miami last season and King was productive in the opener in the air and on the ground while Roche also made several impact plays for a defensive front that expects to be highly regarded in the ACC.

Miami led just 14-7 at halftime in the opener but pulled away with three touchdowns in the third quarter for a 31-14 win, posting a yardage edge of 495-285. Miami ran the ball effectively with 83 yards from King but also 134 on just 17 carries from Cam’Ron Harris with Miami compiling 337 rushing yards against one of the better Conference USA defenses. The Miami defense also played well against the run after a few sloppy plays early in the game, holding UAB to 3.1 yards per rush. There were some holes in the pass defense however and UAB likely would have had better numbers if not for an injury to their veteran quarterback.  

Playing on Thursday offers Miami a longer turnaround ahead of the ACC opener as Louisville’s opening win came last Saturday night. Hosting Western Kentucky as a nearly two-touchdown favorite, the Cardinals lost an early fumble and were down 7-0 not even three minutes into the game. Four unanswered touchdowns on mostly long drives put Louisville up 28-7 by halftime and the production edges were more substantial than the 35-21 final score with Louisville not adding points in the final 23 minutes of the game while comfortably ahead.

Scott Satterfield went 51-24 at Appalachian State leading the team in a successful move up to the FBS level while claiming three Sun Belt titles. He wasn’t the first choice with the opening at Louisville, but he turned in a solid season of improvement going 8-5 last season with a Music City Bowl win. Louisville finished second behind Clemson in the ACC Atlantic, though a 45-10 home loss to the Tigers painted a significant gap in the standings.

Micale Cunningham had an efficient season in 2019 with only five interceptions and over 2,000 yards passing as the Louisville quarterback. He did throw an interception in the opener but also had a career high of 343 passing yards as Western Kentucky’s defense is effective stopping the run. Satterfield’s offenses usually are run-heavy but being held to 3.8 yards per rush, Louisville took some shots downfield in the opener and hit a few big plays.

Louisville also had a good defensive showing after an inconsistent campaign in 2019. Louisville was among the worst run defenses in the nation last season allowing 5.6 yards per carry and eight times last season the Cardinals allowed 34 or more points. All five Louisville losses came by double-digits last season and the Cardinals didn’t deliver many quality wins with the best results at Wake Forest, home vs. Virginia, and in bowl action vs. Mississippi State.

The result Saturday will likely boil down to who performs better among the two star quarterbacks with both King and Cunningham deserving mention as Heisman candidates. King opened as low as 30/1 while Cunningham was around 100/1 this spring. King is now down to 9/1 at some outlets while Cunningham’s price has hit as low as 20/1. Both teams have a shot to produce a strong enough record to keep either in the conversation with a possible edge to Cunningham as Louisville doesn’t have to play Clemson in this season’s ACC free-for-all race.

HISTORICALLY SPEAKING:

Louisville is 5-2 S/U and ATS at home under Satterfield though the program is 23-38 ATS as a home favorite since 2007, only fitting that role three times last season coming off a 2-win 2018 campaign. Miami is just 9-14 ATS as an underdog since 2013 though going 3-0 ATS with two S/U wins last season under Diaz. Miami is 10-3-1 S/U all-time in this series since 1933 but just 1-6 ATS in this series with spread data back to 1984. Louisville had won and covered in three straight meetings before last season’s 52-27 win for Miami.

LAST SEASON:

Louisville played Clemson and Virginia in back-to-back weeks in late October, splitting those games before a bye week and the road trip to Miami. That situation seemed to favor the rested Cardinals as Miami was riding back-to-back road wins including defeating rival Florida State the previous week. Both teams had long scoring drives early in the game but Miami kept its offense going with a 35-14 lead by halftime. The final yardage favored Louisville 496-449 but the Cardinals lost three turnovers. Miami QB Jarren Williams threw six touchdowns while Miami rushed for 6.2 yards per carry in a convincing result. After scoring 52 vs. Louisville in what was the home finale, the Hurricanes would score only 41 points in the next three games combined, all losses to lesser teams than the Cardinals.

UP NEXT:

Miami has Florida State at home next Saturday in another Saturday night ABC game. Louisville’s next three games are spaced out over four weeks but will all be road games, at Pittsburgh, at Georgia Tech, and then at Notre Dame.

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Huge start to Football!

Nelly’s has turned in a perfect 5-0 football weekend with rated picks, going 2-0 in college and 3-0 in the NFL this weekend, coming off winning both unrated recommendations in the small opening schedule last week for a great start to the football season! We hit a double-digit underdog that won outright on Saturday and had three 2* NFL underdogs and all three also won outright!

Consider joining us for the FULL SEASON for the incredibly low price of only $500, which includes a full season Green Sheet subscription ($149 on its own). Or take advantage of a special offer for all picks now through November 2 for just $279 featuring SEVEN football weekends in our Sep/Oct Package.

Bobby Dalton went 2-0 in the NFL on Sunday including a 10* Best Bet winner and he is ready for Monday Night Football with a guaranteed 10* BEST BET offer to close down Week 1. Dalton also won a 10* in MLB action yesterday for a second straight winning week on the diamond and he has a BEST BET for Daytime Baseball Monday! Dalton is also keeping up with the NHL PLAYOFFS!

The Big E moved to 3-1 in NCAA Biggie plays while Maximum won 4 of 5 in his NFL Week 1 Card.

Nelly’s hasn’t been able to keep up our outstanding over 63% NBA regular season pace in the unique format of the postseason this year but we’ll hope for a few more wins in the Conference Finals and NBA Finals, having gone 4-1 in the NBA Finals last season. We are on a strong MLB run the past four weeks with a 16-9 run since Aug. 18, mainly playing over/under picks.

We are having some challenges with updating our website – if you are unable to complete an order on the site, please email us at nelly@nellysports.com or call 1-800-33-NELLY.

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5-1 start in Round 2 of the Playoffs

Nelly’s is heating up again in the NBA with a 5-1 run to start Round 2 of the NBA Playoffs. Get on board for the rest of the postseason to build on an over 63% regular season, or check out tonight’s guaranteed basketball selection for only $15!

Nelly’s Baseball has hit 75% so far in September, while riding a 12-4 run in our last 16 picks since August 18. We’ve delivered great success on over/under picks on the diamond and a great pick is set for Saturday early on the schedule for only $15!

Football is officially here – Green Sheet Issue #7 features our NFL Preview content plus a look at the handful of college games this weekend.

The Big E won his first official pick with South Alabama on Thursday and he has a 10* Biggie lined up for Saturday as well, $9.94 pay after you win!

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton was a winner in NBA Playoff action last night and he has picks in Baseball, Basketball, and Hockey for Saturday with great guaranteed opportunities on the big sports schedule to start the holiday weekend.