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$10 Offer for MNF

Bobby Dalton has turned in winning results this season in pro and college football and he has a 7star pick on a TOTAL for one of tonight’s big games Monday in the NFL to close Week 4. As a special offer, you can get his 7star NFL TOTAL for only $10!

Nelly’s and Bobby Dalton both have ALDS picks in the MLB Playoffs Monday as well including a 10star Best Bet from Bobby Dalton for daytime action.

Nelly’s is 3-0 in the NBA Finals, backing Miami last night for a big Game 3 upset. Game 4 is schedule for Tuesday.

We’ll have Green Sheet Issue #12 posted by Wednesday afternoon and the next Nelly’s Phone Service update will be on Thursday, looking to build on a 16-7-1 start to the season!

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Busy Sports Friday

Playoff Baseball continues while the NBA Finals resume tonight. There is college football to start off October while the big weekend football schedule awaits.

Bobby Dalton has a NBA FINALS selection for only $10 Friday while Nelly’s is involved in Playoff Baseball tonight $15.

The Friday night college game isn’t much more appealing than last night’s NFL contest but here is our analysis from Green Sheet Issue #11. Our Rating 5 Key Selections are 3-0 in the newsletter this season!

Free Pick from the Green Sheet: #103 Louisiana Tech +24.5 over BYU 8:00 PM CT

BYU has outscored foes 103-10 and both games were against FBS teams that were at least expected to be reasonably competitive. The defense has dominated an option rushing attack and an up-tempo spread passing attack to show great versatility. Zach Wilson has completed 78 percent of his passes as well. Louisiana Tech’s 2-0 start has been much less impressive, squeaking by Southern Miss while allowing 38 points vs. FCS competition last week. Since his second season in 2014, Skip Holtz is 20-8 ATS as an underdog at Louisiana Tech and this will be the largest spread in that time since playing at Auburn and at Oklahoma in 2014, both ATS wins. Luke Anthony is a first year starter at LT but started the past two seasons at Abilene Christian and has been productive for the Bulldogs. Given the massive blowout wins in highly visible time slots for BYU and now playing in a standalone spot Friday night, this spread will climb too high. BYU was 0-2 ATS as a heavy favorite last season and this spread is similar to recent Cougars prices vs. McNeese State and New Mexico State. Louisiana Tech won 10 games last season and will again contend in C-USA.

Several football packages are available already for the weekend including Big E’s next 20* Conference Game of the Year – this week in the Big XII. He won his 20* in the ACC earlier this season and is 2-0 in 15* & higher picks this season. Big E also has 10* Biggies for Saturday & Sunday, plus his Top 5 Ticket which is 10-5 this season!

Maximum Sports is 14-8 this football season with huge returns in the NFL at 12-5 including 7-0 in his higher rated 5* picks. Maximum likes the Week 4 schedule so much he has SIX PICKS in his NFL 6-PACK for $30 for Sunday!

Nelly’s is 13-6 in football releases from our phone service this season and we have a pair of Saturday picks including a 2* selection. We also have our Week 4 NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE for $25 coming off a winner on Monday.

Bobby Dalton will have football selections Saturday & Sunday Morning.

Point Train has posted a 3-Pack for college football including a 5-unit!

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Half-Price Weekend Offer

Nelly’s had turned in a great start to the football season, 11-2 overall including 7-2 in rated picks. We’ve been perfect in college football and we have an EARLY PICK SATURDAY plus a higher rated 2* SHOWCASE GAME Saturday Night in guaranteed offers. We also have our famous NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE going for NFL Week 3, already posting a 3-0 sweep once this season.

As a special offer this week we’ve got our Weekend Package for Half Price this week – only $30 getting you those five rated picks, a copy of this week’s Green Sheet and a possible pick or opinion to come for Monday’s big AFC game.

Nelly’s has also enjoyed excellent recent runs in MLB and the NBA with picks set for Friday!

Keep posted for a FREE PICK later today!

Check out Bobby Dalton’s Stanley Cup Finals Offer and don’t miss a BEST BET in MLB action. Dalton won in the NFL last night with the Dolphins and is expecting a college football 15* BEST BET Saturday, riding an 11-3 run in September 15* picks.

Point Train won Thursday night as well and is featuring a LATE NIGHT PICK for Saturday college football!

Big E won his first big play of the season last week with a 20* in the ACC – he has his first 15* NFL Pick set for Week 3.

Maximum Sports has been red hot in the NFL at 9-3, don’t miss his 60% Guarantee this week!

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Big Dog 2-0 Playoff Start

Bobby Dalton is 2-0 in the NBA Playoffs with a pair of Game 1 winners, including last night’s big upset with Portland.

Join Dalton for his first 10* Best Bet Top Play of the restart (66.7% in regular season 10* picks) with an afternoon 10* Best Bet Top Play Total for Game 2 action – pay only after you win!

Nelly’s Baseball had an ‘OVER’ that cashed in the 2nd inning last night, we have another great Total Domination play for Wednesday night – $15 pay after you win! We hit over 63% in the NBA regular season and we are ready to get on a roll in the playoffs as well with an afternoon selection.

Free Pick Wednesday – 971/972 UNDER 12.5 Houston Astros (Valdez) at Colorado Rockies (Castellani) 7:40 PM CT

Coor’s Field brings very high totals but Framber Valdez has been an appealing option on the mound for the Astros. He filled a vital role for Houston last season as a spot starter and long reliever and so far in 2020 has a 1.90 ERA in nearly 24 innings. His strikeout-to-walk numbers are excellent and he has kept the ball in the ballpark while featuring a great groundball rate. The Rockies have cooled off from a hot start to the season with losses in five of the last six games and have scored just 18 runs over the past five games combined. In two games in Houston Colorado managed only two combined runs and over 20 innings these teams combined for just six total runs the past two days. Colorado has positive splits vs. left-handers but overall the Rockies have just a .677 team OPS in the past six games. After a slow start the Astros have climbed back to AL contention but it has been with pitching, not with the star-studded offense. Houston has won six straight games, including the past four by a single run. The Astros have allowed only seven runs combined in those six games, winning each of the past four games despite only scoring a total of nine runs. On the season Houston has a team OPS of only .657 vs. right-handers and they have hit more home runs vs. lefties this season despite 279 fewer at bats. Ryan Castellani is making his third MLB start and he is an unlikely candidate to be in the rotation after a rough season at AAA in 2019. That was a short injury-riddled campaign however and the 2014 2nd round pick has high-ceiling stuff. So far in 2020 his ERA is 1.04 with a 10.4 K/9. He has been very fortunate so far as that isn’t a sustainable pace but he could still provide an effective start against a Houston lineup that shockingly has a worse team wOBA than the Royals and Giants. The ‘under’ is 13-9-1 in Rockies games this season and the move to Denver has brought a four-run swing from yesterday’s game that finished 2-1 in 11 innings with no runs scored until the 10th inning. Both teams have great bullpen numbers in the past handful of games including a 0.59 ERA for Houston and the great starting efforts so far in this series leaves most top relief options available today.

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NBA Playoffs start today!

Win Early with Bobby Dalton and late with Nelly’s in Day 1 of the NBA Playoffs Monday! With every team sharing the same few venues the action will be incredible in the first round with day and night games throughout.

Bobby Dalton closed the restart with wins in three of his last four picks and he is ready to deliver in postseason action with a daytime pick for only $10!

Nelly’s closed down a huge NBA regular season with a great run in the restart games to finish over 63% for the 2019-20 NBA regular season, our third straight NBA regular season over 63%! Join us for a playoff pick for Monday night for only $15 or join for our entire playoff package for only $129, that’s about $15 a week!

Dalton also has picks in NHL and MLB action for Monday as well!

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Free NBA Pick Sunday

Nelly’s took a 10-1 NBA run into the break and we’ve maintained a great season pace of above 62% since the restart with a 5-3 record in our rated picks. We’ve had back-to-back outright underdog wins with the Celtics Friday and the Pacers Saturday and we’re ready to deliver on Sunday’s great schedule with another guaranteed NBA Knockout play for only $15!

Check out MLB offers from Nelly’s and Bobby Dalton Sunday as well, Dalton has had great success in his 10* Best Bets with a 6-1 record so far in the 2020 season – don’t miss another great pick with a 10* TOTAL for Sunday in a guaranteed DOUBLE PLAY package for $24!

Dalton also won in 8 of 12 races at Monmouth Sunday – don’t miss daytime racing with the Big Dog to build on 40 winners in 75 races in the last few posts, in the money in 90 of 133 races.

Dalton also has early SUNDAY NHL ACTION for only $12!

Free Pick Sunday: #726 Toronto Raptors – over Memphis Grizzlies 1:00 PM ET

Toronto’s perfect start in the restart came to a halt on Friday as in a big Eastern Conference game with Boston the Raptors lost for the third time this season to the Celtics. Those teams have a good shot to face off in the Eastern Conference semifinals but the first order of business for the Raptors is to lock up the #2 seed in the East, which they can do with one more win. Two of three wins for Toronto in Orlando have come by double-digits in what has been a difficult path through four games. Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Denver close out the regular season as the Raptors would be well served to seal the #2 spot Sunday to be able to use next week to rest some key players. The format of the restart put in place by the NBA seems in some ways like it was designed to bump Memphis out of the playoffs. The Grizzlies did their part by losing the first four games in Orlando while also losing Jaren Jackson to injury. Friday night Memphis played terrific and beat Oklahoma City in a huge result that greatly reduces the risk that Memphis will be left out of the playoffs, or at least the play-in 8/9 series. Things broke right for Memphis last night as well as the Clippers were able to steal a win against Portland, now leaving Memphis 1.5 games up on the Blazers and 2.0 games up on the Sun and Spurs. San Antonio and New Orleans face off today in what will effectively be an elimination game while The Blazers have a difficult turnaround facing Philadelphia after last night’s tough result. Memphis can breathe a bit easier but it could mean a difficult task on Sunday. Facing Boston and Milwaukee in the final two games sounds daunting but it is likely that both of those East contenders will be locked into their positions and actually could provide Memphis with a favorable draw if they need to win to lock up the #8 spot. Memphis outshot Oklahoma City by more than 20 percent in Friday’s win in what feels like a fluky result. Memphis led the rebounding but still had 20 turnovers and a big edge at the line. Toronto will be the best team Memphis has faced so far in the bubble and this spread is actually lower than the favorite spread Toronto faced vs. Orlando last week, a team that has been much more impressive than the Grizzlies in the restart.

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Daytime NBA Monday + Free Pick

Nelly’s was on a 10-1-1 NBA run at the Covid Break and we have restarted with a 3-1 record in our picks and opinions so far in Orlando action to close the regular season. We have a pick for DAYTIME NBA ACTION Monday with our next guaranteed selection! We are on pace for a third straight NBA Regular season hitting over 63%!

Nelly’s had a 60% July in MLB and we expect to deliver Monday night on the diamond with a $15 rated selection.

Bobby Dalton is stepping up with a big play on the diamond with a 10* MLB BEST BET tonight! He is 4-0 in 10* picks in the 2020 MLB season! Pay after you win with the Big Dog in a big division game on Monday!

Bobby Dalton also has NHL and NBA Picks for Monday as well!

Free NBA Pick for Monday:

#744 Oklahoma City Thunder -6 over Denver Nuggets 3:00 PM CT


With a statement win over Utah to open the restart the Thunder are a team that is being overlooked in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City is now relatively safe from falling to the #7 spot sitting three games ahead of Dallas and ultimately the quartet of Denver, Houston, Utah, and Oklahoma City are all likely to wind up in the 3/6 and 4/5 matchups. With no home court advantage to speak of there isn’t great urgency in the coming weeks for these teams. Denver is at risk to slide from its current #3 spot but the priority for the Nuggets is to get healthy for the playoffs, currently without Will Barton, Gary Harris, and likely still Jamal Murray, or in other words, without 45 points per game from three significant contributors. Andre Roberson is the only Thunder player on the injury report and his role has been diminished this season anyhow. The Thunder actually have a stronger season scoring differential than the Nuggets despite the gap in the standings and Oklahoma City at 20-11 has the second-best road record in the entire Western Conference behind only the Lakers. Denver meanwhile has had its success built on a favorable home court edge at altitude and is just 18-14 on the road this season. Already short-handed the Nuggets are facing a second game in three days after allowing 125 points to Miami on Saturday while for Oklahoma City this is a critical game knowing they have a very tough test ahead on Wednesday vs. the West leaders. The Nuggets and Thunder have split two meetings this season and while the injuries have pushed this line to an elevated favorite spread for a Thunder team that was just -1 in Oklahoma City in February, the unheralded Thunder have more at stake and clear personnel edges in the current formations of these teams.

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Huge Sports Saturday + Free Pick

Bobby Dalton has you covered for a HUGE sports Saturday – after a long layoff sports are back and this is the first big Saturday on the schedule. Dalton has offers in the NBA, MLB, NHL, and Horse Racing!

Check our his HORSE RACING selections at Monmouth, his home track. His first selection was in the money in 27 of 31 races last weekend!

Dalton is 2-0 in MLB 10* Best Bets this season – get his SATURDAY 10* PAY AFTER YOU WIN!

Nelly’s wrapped up a 60% July in MLB with an underdog winner Friday night – we are perfect on totals this season and have an over/under pick ready to go for Saturday night!

We have split our first two NBA restart picks with a brutal miss yesterday on the Celtics +5, a tie game into the final minutes before a controversial finish. We feel locked in even with the tough miss looking to build on an active 11-2-1 run and three straight regular seasons over 60%! Get Saturday’s Side Play for $15!

Free Pick Saturday:

#961 Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) + over Minnesota Twins (Maeda) 6:10 PM CT

This series for the top spot in the AL Central could continue to zig-zag with these teams splitting the first two games of the series. Scoring has been at a premium and more quality pitching should be on its way Saturday. Carlos Carrasco’s promising career was sidetracked last season but he looked like his peak self in his 2020 debut with 10 strikeouts in six innings as the pitching-rich Indians should be in a great position to take back the lead in the Central today. Carrasco was unfortunate in that start with a .385 BABIP but still effectively got the win. Yesterday’s 4-1 loss was a bit misleading as the Indians had plenty of men on base but faltered in some big at-bats while also getting some tough breaks with well hit balls being caught for huge outs. Minnesota used its top four options in the bullpen last night and two of those pitchers threw at least 19 pitches as there could be some wear if either is called on tonight. Kenta Maeda made a successful Twins debut in Chicago but there were some red flags in his numbers last season, including a .243 BABIP to help produce a still mediocre 4.04 ERA in 153+ innings. That was pitching with the Dodgers in a very favorable ballpark with plenty of support. Maeda gave up 22 home runs last season and isn’t the same caliber of strikeout pitcher that Carrasco can be. Even so this line has shifted back to the Twins as a slight favorite after Cleveland was favored on Friday and it will again make sense to take the favorable price with the adjustment. As was the case Thursday, Cleveland has the much higher ceiling starter on the mound yet is the underdog in what may continue to be a back-and-forth series. As formidable as Minnesota’s lineup is, Josh Donaldson will likely sit today and after the big first series, the Twins have scored only seven runs the past three games.

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NBA is back + Free MLB Pick

The NBA is back – Nelly’s has hit 62.9% in the 2019-20 NBA season, going for our third straight NBA regular season at over 60%. We have a live 10-1-1 NBA run active as we were on a roll when things halted in March. Watch us get right back on track with a pick in the opening double-header for Thursday – $15 pay after you win! Consider joining for the entire NBA season for just $199!

Nelly’s MLB missed last night with a lead blown by one of the top MLB bullpens but we are ready to release our first MLB total of the season tonight. Win with that guaranteed pick for only $15 pay after you win, or join through the World Series for just $199.

Bobby Dalton is 2-0 in MLB 10* picks after a 2-0 night yesterday that included a 10* win and a sizable underdog cash! Join the Big Dog for Thursday Baseball and keep posted for his first NBA selection of the restart. Dalton also put together a strong horse racing card last weekend hitting 16 of 29 winners Friday-Sunday at Monmouth. He will be posting picks for the track Friday night with a six-race slate.

Here is a free pick for Thursday MLB:

#951 Chicago Cubs (Darvish) + over Cincinnati Reds (Castillo) 5:10 PM CT

The Reds lineup got a jolt last night as Nick Senzel and Mike Moustakas returned to action after it was feared that they would be out for weeks. A 9-0 lead was threatened however as Chicago made a run late in the eventual 12-7 defeat. Cincinnati scored 12 runs on only 10 hits and only had three at-bats with runners in scoring position, fewer than the Cubs had last night. Chicago’s bullpen has displayed some problems in the season’s first week but the late innings for the Reds have fared no better and Cincinnati has needed significant relief innings already in this series. Luis Castillo emerged as the Cincinnati ace last season and he pitched well in his 2020 debut with six strong innings, posting 11 strikeouts and allowing only one run. That outing came vs. the lowly Tigers however and Castillo allowed nine runs over four starts vs. Chicago last season including six runs allowed in his most recent two starts vs. the Cubs. Yu Darvish has the best strikeout rate of any active MLB starter and that was on display in his season debut despite a tough luck loss vs. Milwaukee last weekend. He struck out 45 Reds over five starts last season and remains a high ceiling option on the mound, while rarely generating this type of an underdog price since joining the popular Cubs.

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NBA Restart July 30

The NBA will restart on July 30 with an eight-game finish to the regular season to finalize the seeding for the playoffs, with a new possible twist in play for the final spot in each conference.

Nelly’s has had three absolutely huge NBA regular seasons in a row, hitting just over 63% in 2017-18, just over 66% in 2018-19, and we were riding a 62.9% record including a 10-1 run before Covid-19 shut down the 2019-20 season. We’ll be well prepared for the resumption of the regular season and the playoff schedule in Orlando expected to span from late July through the Finals in late October (we went 4-1 in the NBA Finals last season).

Join us for the entire duration from July through October,  featuring nearly three months of daily updates for just $199. 

We will be posting a short preview guide for the restart this week – email us at nelly@nellysports.com to receive a copy when it is sent out (likely by July 17), including a look at each remaining team and several win total predictions.

EASTERN CONFERENCE TEAMS (Odds to Win Conference):

Milwaukee Bucks (-185): The Bucks are a massive favorite to win the Eastern Conference and almost certainly will be the #1 seed in the playoffs. There is no home court advantage ahead however and the Bucks were ousted in the Eastern Conference Finals last season in six games against Toronto despite being the #1 seed. A franchise and city in a long title drought will have a harder path than they deserved in these circumstances.

Toronto Raptors (+600): No one expected the Raptors to be in same position they were last season without Kawhi Leonard but Toronto is on pace to again be the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. At +600 to win the East few are banking on another long postseason run but the restart does provide an opportunity for a team that has proven many wrong before.

Boston Celtics (+550): The Celtics are +550 to win the Eat despite being closer to falling to the #4 spot than moving up to the #2 spot at the restart. Gordon Hayward is also expected to leave the bubble in September for the birth of a child in the middle of possibly the conference finals if the Celtics get that far. Respect for Brad Stevens in these unusual circumstances is carrying some weight.

Miami Heat (+1100): The Heat are a surprise top four team and will be saddled with a tough schedule out of the restart with four difficult games including facing the three teams above them in the standings. Indiana and Philadelphia are just two games behind Miami, though the urgency in playing for seeding may be less significant in this format… this content continues in our NBA Restart preview guide.