#903 Arizona Diamondbacks (Miller) -125 over Miami Marlins (Straily) 6:10 PM CT
Dan Straily has a 4.89 ERA in six starts for capable results but a 6.35 FIP is lurking over those numbers. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is below 2:1 with a 4.9 BB/9 that is among the highest of NL starters. Straily hasn’t allowed more than four earned runs in any of his starts but he just hasn’t had the opportunity, averaging just four and two thirds innings per outing and completing six innings just twice.
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Miami has the worst record in the NL at 31-47 and they have been outscored by 113 runs this season. Miami has won eight of the last 13 games for better recent returns but they have also faced mostly losing teams since early June and the offensive numbers were boosted playing the past three games in Colorado. Miami was swept in Arizona less than a month ago, outscored 21-4 in that series and Miami is only 14-21 at home this season.
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Shelby Miller is a wild card on the mound coming off surgery for his first MLB start since April 2017. Miller posted huge strikeout numbers in his minor league tune-ups and he has the potential to get back to his solid from from a few years ago when he was an above average NL starter. Arizona is one of the best defensive teams in baseball and also features one of the NL’s top bullpens to help his cause as well.
After a rough month of May that opened the door for the Dodgers to climb back in the NL West race, Arizona has turned in a huge run in June going 16-6 and scoring 6.1 runs per game. This is a third stop on a road trip for the Diamondbacks but the team has momentum with four runs in a row and Miller is worth the risk at a small favorite price against one of baseball’s worst hitting teams.
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Bobby Dalton is on a 12-6 run in MLB 10* Best Bets – get his next Best Bet for Monday night pay after you win! Dalton is on a 50-33 historical run in interleague picks as well. Nelly’s baseball is on a roll with a 20-9 record since late May, posting back-to-back 5-2 weeks, posting profits in 7 out of 11 weeks this season, don’t miss Monday’s MLB selection to start another big week.