With the MLB & NBA Playoffs on pause today, college football sits in the spotlight! After few prominent head-to-head games between national powers in the first month, things escalate today with several big games in the SEC, Big XII, and ACC.
Check out guaranteed offers from Nelly’s and our featured handicappers for Saturday’s schedule:
The Green Sheet is 3-0 in Rating 5 Key Selections this season – get this week’s Keys and eight-pages of analysis and predictions in issue #11 for only $12 or $129 for the full season subscription.
Here is a FREE PICK from this week’s issue:
#107 South Carolina +17 over Florida 11:00 AM CT
Florida’s opening win was never really in doubt but allowing 613 yards is never a positive sign. Kyle Trask and the rushing attack for the Gators did its part but a Rebels squad in a transition season moved the ball with ease as well. South Carolina had the lead on Florida in the fourth quarter last season and posted a yardage edge and Will Muschamp has played his former team tough every season despite only one S/U win as every game has been decided by 13 or fewer points. Muschamp was criticized for kicking a field goal down seven with three minutes to go last week but ultimately the Gamecocks lost because of turnovers. Tennessee scored on an interception return to go in front in the second quarter and Muschamp’s plan to get the ball back at the end of the game worked; only his returner muffed the punt and the offense never got the chance vs. a tired Tennessee that Collin Hill threw very effectively against with 290 passing yards in his debut. Texas A&M and LSU lurk as the next two games for Dan Mullen and this will be the second largest SEC favorite spread he has faced at Florida, even with this line dropping significantly since opening as high as 19.5.
Playoff Baseball continues while the NBA Finals resume tonight. There is college football to start off October while the big weekend football schedule awaits.
Bobby Dalton has a NBA FINALS selection for only $10 Friday while Nelly’s is involved in Playoff Baseball tonight $15.
The Friday night college game isn’t much more appealing than last night’s NFL contest but here is our analysis from Green Sheet Issue #11. Our Rating 5 Key Selections are 3-0 in the newsletter this season!
Free Pick from the Green Sheet: #103 Louisiana Tech +24.5 over BYU 8:00 PM CT
BYU has outscored foes 103-10 and both games were against FBS teams that were at least expected to be reasonably competitive. The defense has dominated an option rushing attack and an up-tempo spread passing attack to show great versatility. Zach Wilson has completed 78 percent of his passes as well. Louisiana Tech’s 2-0 start has been much less impressive, squeaking by Southern Miss while allowing 38 points vs. FCS competition last week. Since his second season in 2014, Skip Holtz is 20-8 ATS as an underdog at Louisiana Tech and this will be the largest spread in that time since playing at Auburn and at Oklahoma in 2014, both ATS wins. Luke Anthony is a first year starter at LT but started the past two seasons at Abilene Christian and has been productive for the Bulldogs. Given the massive blowout wins in highly visible time slots for BYU and now playing in a standalone spot Friday night, this spread will climb too high. BYU was 0-2 ATS as a heavy favorite last season and this spread is similar to recent Cougars prices vs. McNeese State and New Mexico State. Louisiana Tech won 10 games last season and will again contend in C-USA.
Several football packages are available already for the weekend including Big E’s next 20* Conference Game of the Year – this week in the Big XII. He won his 20* in the ACC earlier this season and is 2-0 in 15* & higher picks this season. Big E also has 10* Biggies for Saturday & Sunday, plus his Top 5 Ticket which is 10-5 this season!
Maximum Sports is 14-8 this football season with huge returns in the NFL at 12-5 including 7-0 in his higher rated 5* picks. Maximum likes the Week 4 schedule so much he has SIX PICKS in his NFL 6-PACK for $30 for Sunday!
Nelly’s is 13-6 in football releases from our phone service this season and we have a pair of Saturday picks including a 2* selection. We also have our Week 4 NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE for $25 coming off a winner on Monday.
Bobby Dalton will have football selections Saturday & Sunday Morning.
Point Train has posted a 3-Pack for college football including a 5-unit!
Nelly’s added another winner yesterday to keep our perfect football start going at 6-0 for our phone service. Last week’s NFL 2/3 offer went 3-0 with three underdogs all winning outright – get our Week 2 picks for just $25 2/3 Guaranteed!
Nelly’s Baseball is on an excellent 19-12 run and we have a great DAYTIME TOTAL for Sunday only $15! We’ll also hope to deliver in the NBA Playoffs Sunday as well on a busy sports day!
Considering joining Nelly’s for our FULL SEASON PACKAGE or our SEP/OCT OFFER for the Football Season!
The Big Dog Bobby Dalton is also off to a perfect 3-0 start in the NFL and he added a 7star winner in NCAA action yesterday. Get his TRIPS-2-WIN Sunday NFL 2/3 featuring 10, 7, and 5-star picks in his Sunday Set for $29!
Dalton is also releasing regular selections in MLB & NBA action, riding a current 23-12 run in MLB picks since Sep. 1!
Point Train has released its first big play of the season with a NFL GAME OF THE MONTH for $29.97!
Maximum Sports turned in a 5-1 Week 1 in the NFL – get his 60% GUARANTEE in his Week 2 5-Game Offer for $30!
The Big E is 1-0 in his 20* picks with an ACC winner on Saturday and he is 10-6 overall this season – check out today’s NFL BIGGIE!
FREE NFL PICK SUNDAY FROM THIS WEEK’s GREEN SHEET:
#280 Tennessee Titans -7.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars 12:00 PM CT
The Jaguars dealt several stars in the weeks before the season but wound up victors in Week 1. Gardner Minshew had just one incomplete pass while throwing three touchdowns to lead a comeback for the Jaguars. Jacksonville was outgained 445-241 as it was a fortunate result but catching an extra day on the turnaround while the Titans are in Denver late Monday night is a favorable set-up. Tennessee barely won that game with four missed kicks from veteran Stephen Gostkowski to leave 10 points on the field. Derrick Henry compiled solid numbers as Tennessee moved the ball conservatively, posting only 4.8 yards per play. This is a rare favorite price for the Titans but Tennessee did produce several lopsided wins after Ryan Tannehill took over last season. Posting 26 first downs against a top tier defense last week was a solid result and the Titans will be less dependent on the passing game than the Colts had to be last week.
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Nelly’s was on a 10-1-1 NBA run at the Covid Break and we have restarted with a 3-1 record in our picks and opinions so far in Orlando action to close the regular season. We have a pick for DAYTIME NBA ACTION Monday with our next guaranteed selection! We are on pace for a third straight NBA Regular season hitting over 63%!
Nelly’s had a 60% July in MLB and we expect to deliver Monday night on the diamond with a $15 rated selection.
Bobby Dalton is stepping up with a big play on the diamond with a 10* MLB BEST BET tonight! He is 4-0 in 10* picks in the 2020 MLB season! Pay after you win with the Big Dog in a big division game on Monday!
Bobby Dalton also has NHL and NBA Picks for Monday as well!
Free NBA Pick for Monday:
#744 Oklahoma City Thunder -6 over Denver Nuggets 3:00 PM CT
With a statement win over Utah to open the restart the Thunder are a team that is being overlooked in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City is now relatively safe from falling to the #7 spot sitting three games ahead of Dallas and ultimately the quartet of Denver, Houston, Utah, and Oklahoma City are all likely to wind up in the 3/6 and 4/5 matchups. With no home court advantage to speak of there isn’t great urgency in the coming weeks for these teams. Denver is at risk to slide from its current #3 spot but the priority for the Nuggets is to get healthy for the playoffs, currently without Will Barton, Gary Harris, and likely still Jamal Murray, or in other words, without 45 points per game from three significant contributors. Andre Roberson is the only Thunder player on the injury report and his role has been diminished this season anyhow. The Thunder actually have a stronger season scoring differential than the Nuggets despite the gap in the standings and Oklahoma City at 20-11 has the second-best road record in the entire Western Conference behind only the Lakers. Denver meanwhile has had its success built on a favorable home court edge at altitude and is just 18-14 on the road this season. Already short-handed the Nuggets are facing a second game in three days after allowing 125 points to Miami on Saturday while for Oklahoma City this is a critical game knowing they have a very tough test ahead on Wednesday vs. the West leaders. The Nuggets and Thunder have split two meetings this season and while the injuries have pushed this line to an elevated favorite spread for a Thunder team that was just -1 in Oklahoma City in February, the unheralded Thunder have more at stake and clear personnel edges in the current formations of these teams.
Bobby Dalton has you covered for a HUGE sports Saturday – after a long layoff sports are back and this is the first big Saturday on the schedule. Dalton has offers in the NBA, MLB, NHL, and Horse Racing!
Check our his HORSE RACING selections at Monmouth, his home track. His first selection was in the money in 27 of 31 races last weekend!
Dalton is 2-0 in MLB 10* Best Bets this season – get his SATURDAY 10* PAY AFTER YOU WIN!
Nelly’s wrapped up a 60% July in MLB with an underdog winner Friday night – we are perfect on totals this season and have an over/under pick ready to go for Saturday night!
We have split our first two NBA restart picks with a brutal miss yesterday on the Celtics +5, a tie game into the final minutes before a controversial finish. We feel locked in even with the tough miss looking to build on an active 11-2-1 run and three straight regular seasons over 60%! Get Saturday’s Side Play for $15!
Free Pick Saturday:
#961 Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) + over Minnesota Twins (Maeda) 6:10 PM CT
This series for the top spot in the AL Central could continue to zig-zag with these teams splitting the first two games of the series. Scoring has been at a premium and more quality pitching should be on its way Saturday. Carlos Carrasco’s promising career was sidetracked last season but he looked like his peak self in his 2020 debut with 10 strikeouts in six innings as the pitching-rich Indians should be in a great position to take back the lead in the Central today. Carrasco was unfortunate in that start with a .385 BABIP but still effectively got the win. Yesterday’s 4-1 loss was a bit misleading as the Indians had plenty of men on base but faltered in some big at-bats while also getting some tough breaks with well hit balls being caught for huge outs. Minnesota used its top four options in the bullpen last night and two of those pitchers threw at least 19 pitches as there could be some wear if either is called on tonight. Kenta Maeda made a successful Twins debut in Chicago but there were some red flags in his numbers last season, including a .243 BABIP to help produce a still mediocre 4.04 ERA in 153+ innings. That was pitching with the Dodgers in a very favorable ballpark with plenty of support. Maeda gave up 22 home runs last season and isn’t the same caliber of strikeout pitcher that Carrasco can be. Even so this line has shifted back to the Twins as a slight favorite after Cleveland was favored on Friday and it will again make sense to take the favorable price with the adjustment. As was the case Thursday, Cleveland has the much higher ceiling starter on the mound yet is the underdog in what may continue to be a back-and-forth series. As formidable as Minnesota’s lineup is, Josh Donaldson will likely sit today and after the big first series, the Twins have scored only seven runs the past three games.
The NBA is back – Nelly’s has hit 62.9% in the 2019-20 NBA season, going for our third straight NBA regular season at over 60%. We have a live 10-1-1 NBA run active as we were on a roll when things halted in March. Watch us get right back on track with a pick in the opening double-header for Thursday – $15 pay after you win! Consider joining for the entire NBA season for just $199!
Nelly’s MLB missed last night with a lead blown by one of the top MLB bullpens but we are ready to release our first MLB total of the season tonight. Win with that guaranteed pick for only $15 pay after you win, or join through the World Series for just $199.
Bobby Dalton is 2-0 in MLB 10* picks after a 2-0 night yesterday that included a 10* win and a sizable underdog cash! Join the Big Dog for Thursday Baseball and keep posted for his first NBA selection of the restart. Dalton also put together a strong horse racing card last weekend hitting 16 of 29 winners Friday-Sunday at Monmouth. He will be posting picks for the track Friday night with a six-race slate.
Here is a free pick for Thursday MLB:
#951 Chicago Cubs (Darvish) + over Cincinnati Reds (Castillo) 5:10 PM CT
The Reds lineup got a jolt last night as Nick Senzel and Mike Moustakas returned to action after it was feared that they would be out for weeks. A 9-0 lead was threatened however as Chicago made a run late in the eventual 12-7 defeat. Cincinnati scored 12 runs on only 10 hits and only had three at-bats with runners in scoring position, fewer than the Cubs had last night. Chicago’s bullpen has displayed some problems in the season’s first week but the late innings for the Reds have fared no better and Cincinnati has needed significant relief innings already in this series. Luis Castillo emerged as the Cincinnati ace last season and he pitched well in his 2020 debut with six strong innings, posting 11 strikeouts and allowing only one run. That outing came vs. the lowly Tigers however and Castillo allowed nine runs over four starts vs. Chicago last season including six runs allowed in his most recent two starts vs. the Cubs. Yu Darvish has the best strikeout rate of any active MLB starter and that was on display in his season debut despite a tough luck loss vs. Milwaukee last weekend. He struck out 45 Reds over five starts last season and remains a high ceiling option on the mound, while rarely generating this type of an underdog price since joining the popular Cubs.
#625 Davidson +6 over Richmond 6:00 PM CT
Richmond has won seven of the past eight games to stay relevant in the NCAA Tournament bubble chase. The Spiders turned in an emphatic 96-71 win over UMass at home on Saturday but this team has lost a pair of A-10 home games and this will be a huge game for Davidson who had a miserable shooting game in a home loss vs. Richmond earlier in the season. Coached by offensive genius Bob McKillop, Davidson can post big numbers but is reliant on hitting outside shots. On the season Davidson is among the nation’s best with a 37 percent 3-point percentage while even stronger than that in A-10 play as the top team in the conference beyond the arc. Richmond has good numbers defending the 3-point shot but the Spiders have also played one of the weakest schedules in the conference. Davidson was humbled by Dayton in its last game on Friday but has had a nice turnaround to prepare for this opportunity and the Wildcats are 8-4 since losing the first meeting against Richmond. In that span are a 4OT defeat and a one-point road loss as Davidson could easily be a few games higher in the standings. Davidson has several recent wins in this building and with good size the Wildcats are an attractive underdog with the ability to put together big scoring runs. Seven of the past nine meetings between these teams have been decided by single-digit margins as the underdog points are appealing.
Nelly’s is on a 43-24, 64% 6-Week run in our basketball selections. Join us for a huge opportunity Tuesday night.
Bobby Dalton went 2-0 last night and has a great 2/3 offer tonight with 10*, 7* , and 5* picks, riding a 14-4 run since Jan. 22 on 10* basketball selections. Also don’t miss XFL action this weekend with an 8-0 start to the season for the Big Dog!
Big E is 12-7 in his 20* Conference Game of the Year picks – don’t miss his next big play!
#638 Tennessee +1 over Florida 1:00 PM CT
With 10 losses Florida has been a disappointment this season with a roster many expected could compete for a national title. A big March run remains possible for the Gators but this valuation is a bit lofty for the Gators coming off a huge win over LSU with the current 6-2 run featuring mostly the worst teams in the SEC including a pair of wins over Vanderbilt. The only three road wins in SEC play for Florida came vs. foes that grade worse than Tennessee and after a run of back-to-back huge games vs. top conference contenders this could be a flat spot. Tennessee has had a challenging season coming off being a national force last year, with the loss of Lamonte Turner as season-changing blow. Tennessee has limped to a 7-8 SEC run but not without several competitive showings and still a formidable home court. Tennessee has won its last two home games and the team enter this game off a rare lopsided loss losing badly at Arkansas Wednesday after beating the Razorbacks soundly at home earlier in the month. Tennessee has not lost three consecutive SEC games all season and this game is critical given that a road trip to Lexington is up next Tuesday night. Florida has faced the 14th ranked SEC schedule for a favorable path that inflates the numbers and Tennessee has featured an outstanding interior defense this season that is among the best in the SEC. Tennessee allows less than 32 percent from 3-point range as well as the Gators aren’t likely to hit their season averages against a bigger Volunteers lineup. Tennessee has won four of the last five in this series with Florida last winning in Knoxville in 2014.
Nelly’s Basketball is 40-22 the past 39 days for an over 64% run heading into March Madness. Join us for all picks through April 6 for just $269 to build on a huge 34-18 run in the NCAA Tournament the past three seasons! Play today’s 2/3 as we look to add to a 5-0 NBA run while hitting each of our last two 2/3 offers in the last week!
Bobby Dalton went 2-0 Thursday night in basketball and he has three picks ready to go for Saturday in a $23 2/3 offer! He is also a perfect 6-0 in the XFL and has football releases for Saturday & Sunday!
Big E has won six of his last eight 20* Conference GOY picks while 12-6 on the season in 20* picks and 15-7 in 15* and higher picks. Join the B.E.S.T. for March Madness for $199.94 and check out today’s 20* in the Summit League!
#841 Miami, FL +4.5 over Virginia Tech 8:00 PM CT
It has not been a strong season for the ACC and Jim Larranaga is on his way to another disappointing season at Miami. The Hurricanes have as many conference wins as last season already however and have played its best in the past week with consecutive wins. Miami does have an ACC road win and has had to play mostly heavyweights on the road taking losses at Louisville, Duke, and Florida State in ACC road games. Miami won by 10 hosting Virginia Tech with a big edge in rebounding and interior scoring and those advantages should again show up with a massive frontcourt size edge for the Hurricanes. A transition season for Virginia Tech was expected but the team picked up a big November win for Mike Young beating Michigan State. A respectable 5-3 start in ACC play followed but the Hokies have now lost five of the past six while losing four times at home in ACC play. Virginia Tech beat Pittsburgh last weekend to snap a five-game slide but offensive rebounding was a clear problem with the Hokies the worst in the conference on the offensive glass. Virginia Tech takes care of the ball but is a lousy 3-point shooting team despite being more reliant on shots beyond the arc than any team in the ACC. Virginia Tech has also struggled despite opposing teams shooting only 66 percent at the free throw line against them. Miami has played the most difficult ACC schedule at this point in the season and is only one win short of the Hokies who have had one of the lightest conference paths. Another win for the Hurricanes won’t be a surprise in this series.
Nelly’s basketball is on a 29-16 64% run the past 29 days since Jan. 21. Don’t miss tonight’s 2/3 offer or join for the remaining 11 days of February for only $89!
Bobby Dalton is 8-2 the past seven days in basketball – get a 7* tonight in the Pac-12 for $19!
E has won three straight 20* picks – get his SoCon GOY Wednesday for $20.94!
#673 Virginia +7.5 over Louisville 3:00 PM CT
11-1 Louisville appears to have control of the ACC but the path has been one of
the lightest in a down year for the conference. The Cardinals are balanced but
there are few things in ACC play that the team has been the best at among the
15 teams. The one exception is an outrageous 45 percent 3-point shooting rate
that won’t be sustainable. That is five percent better than the 40 percent
season average for Louisville that checks in at fourth nationally.
has played many of the worst teams in the ACC already and still is mostly
playing close games with five of the past eight games decided by 10 or fewer
points including a big comeback on Wednesday night at home vs. Wake Forest.
Virginia has won three in a row to climb back into the NCAA Tournament
discussion while still a viable threat to finish in a top tier spot in the ACC.
As usual this is one of the nation’s best defensive teams holding foes to 29
percent 3-point shooting. Virginia has five wins away from home this season
including three ACC road wins while the team’s four ACC defeats are by 7, 8, 4,
and 2 points respectively.
Virginia is 14-3 all-time vs. Louisville with nine straight wins in this series including four straight wins on the road. Only once all-time has Louisville defeated Virginia by more than three points and that was back in 1990. The offensive numbers for Virginia are problematic but the Cavaliers will slow the pace of this game to a crawl to minimize the possession count. Louisville has had trouble scoring inside this season and the 3-point shooting rate for the Cardinals looks certain to go down in this contest as the points will be appealing.
Nelly’s Basketball is on a 20-8 run the past 17 days – join us for our college 2/3 offer today!
Big E has his next 20* in the Big West tonight to build on a 6-3-1 run in those big picks.
miss the XFL opener from Bobby Dalton as well as a great offer in basketball!