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Bowl Season is Here – NBA opens!

Many weren’t ready for the bowl season to start yesterday without the typical break after championship weekend but Bobby Dalton pounced on the opening game and delivered a convincing winner on the OVER, clearing the total by 17 points in the Myrtle Beach Bowl. Don’t miss his next picks!

Nelly’s has picks in both bowl games Tuesday looking to produce our fifth winning bowl season in the past six years! We finished the regular season at nearly 60% in college football including a 14-5 run since early November.

Basketball is also in full effect with Nelly’s riding back-to-back winning weeks to start the season 8-4 through Dec. 21. The NBA season is starting today and we’ll look to start our fourth straight over 60% NBA season in the coming days.

The Big E, Maximum Sports, and Point Train will have upcoming releases in bowl and NFL action as well with Big E also delivering excellent results in his college basketball Biggies!

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Green Sheet Issue #22

Green Sheet Issue #21 was a success with a 2-0 mark on our Rating 5 Keys and wins in 7 of 11 Keys overall. Don’t miss this week’s unique Issue #22 covering championship weekend in college football plus NFL Week 15 – an additional page covering the first handful of bowl games will also be sent out by Monday.

College Basketball is underway and the NBA is around the corner next week. Nelly’s is already 6-2 this season building on three straight huge campaigns on the hardwood. Big E has won three straight in a productive start as well while Dalton has won two of his last three. Check out offers for Thursday night!

Tonight’s NFL game is a tough one but we expect great releases for the weekend with some of those updates coming in a on Friday. Keep posted for more information and Free Picks for the weekend.

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Total of the Week

We were unable to fit our Total of the Week in the newsletter this week – here is a NFL total selection for Sunday’s schedule:


#253/254 OVER 49.5 Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots 12:00 PM CT

Surprisingly the ‘under’ is 7-3 in Arizona games this season but three of the past four have hit ‘over’ and the past four games have averaged nearly 62 points per game despite facing four winning teams in that span. Seattle’s struggling pass defense is included in two of those games but het Cardinals have reached 30 points six times in the past nine games while scoring a minimum of 21 points in every single game this season. New England’s offense has shown some life of late as the offensive line has worked its way to being one of the better AFC units. The Patriots have outrushed foes in three straight games while posting over 400 yards in two of the past three games. It is New England’s decline defensively that has taken the Patriots from a top AFC threat to a non-playoff team more so than the switch from Tom Brady to Cam Newton. New England is allowing 6.4 yards per play this season and 8.4 yards per pass attempt as Arizona seems likely to hit some big plays this week. The Cardinals are allowing 4.6 yards per rush this season as both defenses have vulnerability at the opposing offense’s strength. This total has bounced around a bit but a number right around 50 seems fair for this contest and for a late November game in the Northeast the weather looks exceptional with no wind and a game time temperature in the low 50s.

Be sure to join Nelly’s for our NFL 2/3 Sunday – we hit 2 of our 3 college picks Friday and Saturday for a 10-2 November run in college football.

Big E swept the board yesterday with 10* and 20* winners – get his next 10* Biggie play for Sunday!

Maximum Sports and Point Train have three game packages for Sunday’s Week 12 schedule.

Bobby Dalton will have NFL picks coming soon, delivering a 10* winner on Thursday to start Week 12.

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System of the Week

With all the schedule changes and edits we need to get the Green Sheet out this week we didn’t include a system play of the week in Green Sheet Issue #19. Here is a college System play for Saturday:

PLAY AGAINST Any NCAA double-digit road favorite that won S/U as a home underdog in the previous game.

62-41-3 ATS since 1983, 60.2%

PLAY AGAINST: Northwestern

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NFL Week 11 – Big 15* Picks

Just in from Bobby Dalton is a 15* Best Bet for Sunday night with a huge opportunity on the schedule! Dalton had a positive day yesterday led by a 10* Best Bet win on Northwestern’s big upset and he is ready to deliver another big day in the NFL! His last 15* in the NFL was a blowout as Pittsburgh crushed Cleveland 38-7!

The Big E looks for a Sunday bounce back while looking to reach 3-0 in his NFL 15* Game of the Month selections!

Nelly’s is 8-1 the last three Saturdays in college football with another winning 2/3 yesterday. We’ll look to get in a big Sunday as well with three selections for Week 11 in this week’s 2/3!

Maximum Sports won 2 out of 3 yesterday with two 5* wins and he is ready to deliver at least a 60% day in Sunday’s 5-Pack!

Point Train’s fine season hit a skid Saturday including a very tough luck result in his 10-unit total, a game that was well on pace to win at halftime before turnovers and injuries added up. Point Train is on an 18-11 NFL run since Week 3 and looks to bounce back with a 3-game offer on Sunday:

Here is a FREE PICK on this week’s NFL schedule from the Green Sheet: #459 Pittsburgh Steelers -10.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars 12:00 PM CT

Given the consistent success for Pittsburgh and the consistent struggles for Jacksonville the series history offers a surprise with a winning mark for the Jaguars head-to-head, including the notable 2017 playoff win. These squads are at the opposite end of the AFC picture but Jacksonville has played three straight competitive games losing by 10, 2 and 4. Last week in Green Bay the Jaguars had the ball across midfield down four before Jake Luton was sacked twice in a row but in two games Luton has had passable results as rookie thrown into a tough situation. Two weeks ago the Steelers needed an epic comeback to beat Dallas with a new quarterback thrown into the fire and last week’s 36-10 result over the rival Bengals was a bit misleading with two early fumbles for Cincinnati digging a hole as the production numbers were relatively close. Baltimore is up next on the schedule on a short week with a Thanksgiving night game ahead as this is a dangerous spot on the schedule for the 9-0 squad that has had seven wins by 10 or fewer points despite two thirds of the schedule coming vs. losing teams. That seems like an obvious trap set-up that might not materialize however. A rookie quarterback going up against this Steelers defense seems likely to set-up some big plays and short-field opportunities for the Steelers and last week’s close result for the Jaguars was a bit misleading with a special teams touchdown.

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Sunday NFL Week 10

Check offers for a big NFL Sunday with Week 10 action. Bobby Dalton and Point Train are already 1-0 in Week 10 with Thursday night winners, while Nelly’s also hit an opinion play.

Nelly’s went 3-0 with three 2* picks on Saturday and we’ll try to do it again with today’s 2/3 guarantee!

Bobby Dalton had a big Saturday going 3-1 in college football and he was 4-1-1 last Sunday in NFL action! Dalton has profited in 8 of his past 10 football updates while on an 18-9 run in NFL sides and hitting 6 of his last 8 Trips-2-Win offers! Win with Dalton and a Sunday set!

Point Train is on a 17-8 run in NFL Picks and was 2-1 yesterday – get three picks for Sunday or join for a total top play!

Big E was a winner yesterday in his biggest pick of the season with his 25* College Game of the Year delivering an outright underdog win!

Maximum Sports has a FIVE-GAME package with a 60% guarantee on Sunday!

FREE PICK SUNDAY FROM THE GREEN SHEET: #251 Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers 3:25 PM CT

The Steelers have won 10 consecutive games vs. the Bengals and this was expected to be the second highest home favorite spread in this series since 2008. The Steelers had an incredible comeback to maintain its perfect start last week but that wasn’t the first time has struggled vs. a lesser squad this season. The Bengals were off last week and have scored 92 points the past three games all vs. winning AFC teams. Both teams have players on the Covid reserve list including Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers as this line has come off the board at many outlets after opening as high as -10½. Joe Burrow continues to impress and only once this season have the Steelers won by more than 10 points as close games are the norm. Even if the key players are able to go for Pittsburgh, the disruption in the week’s schedule after a huge comeback win will be a challenge. For whatever reason NFL teams that start 8-0 have struggled getting to #9, going 4-11 ATS since 2005 with three of the past four 8-0 teams falling to 8-1. Both New England and San Francisco lost in Game #9 last season as well.

Big Ben and other key players for Pittsburgh look likely to play after being on the Covid list but lacking practice all week won’t be beneficial and while this would have been a rated pick north of +7 the Bengals are still appealing short of that key number with a competitive effort likely.

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Big Play Saturday

The Big E is 7-2 in 15* and higher selections this season and is on an 11-3 run in NCAA 25* picks since 2013. His 25* College Game of the Year is ahead for this Saturday – $49.94 pay after you win! Big E also has his next 20* Conference Game of the Year in the Sun Belt this week for $20.94 or get both of those picks plus Saturday & Sunday 10* Biggies and the Top 5 Ticket for $99.94!

Maximum Sports is 3-0 in 10* Picks this football season and is ready to deliver a Saturday 10* with his Revenge Game of the Year in college football – Just $25 pay after you win as Max looks to go to 4-0 on big plays this season!

Nelly’s has our weekly 2/3 offers lined up for Saturday & Sunday this week with six 2* picks as we go for a big weekend. We went 3-0 last Saturday and on the season have turned in a steady 36-27-1 record in our phone service releases.

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton was a winner in the NFL on Thursday night with the Colts and is coming off a 4-1-1 Sunday last week while netting a profit Thursday, Friday, and Saturday last week, gaining stars in five of his last six updates!

Point Train has picked up over 50 units since October 1 and started the week with a Thursday winner. Point Train is on a 13-5 NCAA run and a 17-8 NFL run while 4-1 in the past five NCAA 6-unit Top Plays!

Check Saturday morning for a Free NCAA Pick from the Green Sheet with the newsletter 11-3 this season in Rating 5 Keys and 14-7 in all Key Selections the past two weeks!

Free Pick from Green Sheet Issue #17: #225 Louisville +4 over Virginia 2:30 PM CT

Virginia won the ACC Coastal last season despite losing to Louisville in a game that wasn’t as close as the seven-point final. Both teams have struggled in 2020 with a decline though Louisville has shown some life with a win and two single-score losses in the past three games. Virginia was able to snap a four-game slide by upsetting North Carolina in its last game before these teams pushed this contest back a week. Louisville could be dealing with some roster challenges with 15 players reported as testing positive last week forcing the schedule change. Turnovers have been a big issue for Virginia from the quarterback position while the offensive statistics for Louisville suggest that of a better team. The Cardinals rush for 5.1 yards per carry and while Micale Cunningham has eight interceptions he has also thrown for 15 touchdowns while rushing for three more. Louisville has some potential in this contest even with a lower underdog spread than last season’s game at home.

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NFL SUNDAY WEEK 9

Nelly’s won a top play last Sunday in the NFL for a great start to November and we added a 3-0 Saturday yesterday. Don’t miss our NFL 2/3 Guarantee for Sunday’s Week 9 schedule.

Point Train hit another top play Saturday to build on a huge run since early October, including a 5-1 start in November with a 3-0 start in the NFL. Join Point Train for the first 7-unit play of the season Sunday. Yesterday’s Total 6-unit Top Play featured an ‘over’ that wound up with 90 points.

Maximum Sports delivered a 10 star winner Saturday to move to 3-0 on those big play. Check out Sunday’s 3-game card.

Bobby Dalton has his biggest NFL card of the season with early and late Trips-2-Win 2/3 offers! Dalton is 3-0 in 7star picks the past two days!

Big E has his next Biggie play ahead today as well while looking to keep a strong run going in the Top 5 Ticket and his Biggie plays, 7-2 this season in 15* & higher selections.

FREE PICK SUNDAY #464 Jacksonville Jaguars +7 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CT

Houston has won five in a row in this series and 16 of the past 20 meetings. The only Texans win this season came hosting the Jaguars in October with nearly 500 yards of offense in the first game after Bill O’Brien was fired. That was a six-point game in the fourth quarter before late scoring for Houston on a pair of short-field drives but the Jaguars come out of the bye week on a six-game losing streak and with Gardner Minshew revealing a hand injury. Jake Luton is expected to start for the Jaguars this week, a 6th round draft pick in the spring that had good numbers on a losing Oregon State team last season. He has great size but not much mobility but the primary issues for Jacksonville this season have been on defense. Surprisingly these teams combined for only 20 points through three quarters in the recent meeting before Houston put up 17 in the fourth. Houston is a bigger favorite here than at home a few weeks ago without much valid reasoning. Luton was considered a sleeper in the NFL draft by many teams and not having any film to work with on him in this offense provides him with an advantage in his first action. This is a Houston squad with little to play for and brutal pass defense numbers as a crisp defensive effort from a hugely disappointing team that just shopped several of its key players and has a lame duck interim coach is unlikely.

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NFL Close Calls Week 7

NFL Close Calls – Week 7

10/27/2020

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread and total in the fourth quarter in Week 7 of the NFL regular season.

Philadelphia Eagles (-5) 22, New York Giants 21 (44½): The underdog and ‘under’ looked promising throughout the Thursday NFC East clash as New York led 14-10 through three quarters. An impressive 97-yard drive for New York seemed to seal those fates going up 21-10 with just six minutes remaining but anyone that took New York on the moneyline could sense what was coming. The Eagles needed only four plays to score, burning not even two minutes of clock and getting the two-point conversion to trail by five. The Giants punted just before the two-minute warning and tacked on 15 yards to the return with a penalty. Without seeing a 2nd down the Eagles were down to the New York 5-yard-line with just over a minute to go before the drive stalled. A defensive holding call converted a 3rd down and then with 40 seconds to go the Eagles took the lead. The total would come down to the two-point conversion with Jalen Hurts in the game and it was unsuccessful. Those on the Giants and ‘under’ felt relief until Daniel Jones was sacked on a final desperation drive, but the fumble was harmlessly recovered without a return.

Cleveland Browns (-4) 37, Cincinnati Bengals 34 (50): The Bengals didn’t trail until a back-and-forth 4th quarter as the Browns scored first in the final frame to take a 24-20 edge, just past the road favorite spread that was commonly at -3 or -3½ before closing at -4. Touchdowns were exchanged as the Browns still led by four inside of five minutes. Joe Burrow converted a big 3rd-and-11 and then with just over a minute to go on 4th-and-1, Burrow hit Giovani Bernard for the go-ahead score. Baker Mayfield and the Browns only needed a few plays to go 75 yards however, with a 24-yard connection just in bounds for the win with only 11 seconds left. Seemingly Browns backers had escaped but incredibly Cody Parkey missed the PAT and the final margin stayed at 3.

Detroit Lions (+1) 23, Atlanta Falcons 22 (55): The Falcons led by one through three quarters to match the closing spread though most likely had -1½ or -2 on Atlanta. The Falcons eschewed a short field goal that could have put them up by four early in the fourth quarter but they failed on 4th-and-5. The Lions would go 60 yards but Matt Prater would miss from 46 yards as Atlanta clung to a narrow lead. It didn’t last long as Matt Ryan fumbled on a sack with just over five minutes to go, putting the Lions immediately in field goal range. Detroit only gained a yard on that possession but Prater was good from 49 as Detroit went up by two. The Falcons were again in the red zone and Detroit had exhausted its timeouts with just over a minute remaining. Facing 3rd-and-1 Todd Gurley got the first down and survived a brief fumble. Atlanta could have run the clock down and kicked a game-winning field goal but instead Gurley broke through the line and in a late attempt to go down, the ball narrowly passed the goal line. That touchdown did give Atlanta the lead they needed but it left more than a minute on the clock and even with a successful two-point conversion the lead was only six. Matthew Stafford and the Lions didn’t face a 3rd down on a march to the Atlanta 11-yard-line where they clocked it. Eluding pressure Stafford hit T.J. Hockenson in the end zone to tie the game and Prater’s PAT was good for a narrow Detroit win.

New Orleans Saints (-7) 27, Carolina Panthers 24 (50): The Saints led 14-3 early but Carolina had back-to-back touchdowns from DJ Moore to briefly lead in the second quarter until Drew Brees engineered a touchdown drive just before halftime. Late in the third quarter the Saints pushed the margin to seven points on a spread that was -7½ much of the week before Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders were ruled out, sending the number down to -6½ and -7 by Sunday. The Panthers converted a pair of 3rd downs on an efficient drive to tie the game at the end of the third quarter. New Orleans would settle for the go-ahead field goal about halfway through the fourth quarter but the Panthers were not able to equal the score with a costly 3rd down sack just before the two-minute warning necessitating a 65-yard kick that fell short. The late Saints field goal pushed the scoring to 51, even with the opening number but most saw the total drop to 50 by game day.

Buffalo Bills (-9½) 18, New York Jets 10 (46½): The Jets jumped out to a 10-0 lead in this game but it became clear that might be all the points they would get as those on the ugly underdog hoped to hold on. Buffalo would wind up with a 422-190 edge in yardage and five second half drives for the Jets netted four yards. The Bills could not find the end zone however as Tyler Bass hit from 53, 48, 46, 37, and 29 before Buffalo had the ball back up five with about five minutes to go. The Bills were stopped on a Josh Allen rush on 3rd-and-2 that forced Bass back out for another field goal of 40 yards, putting the Bills up eight instead of 11. Sam Darnold was intercepted at the New York 15 on the final Jets play but New York was out of timeouts and the Bills were able to just take a knee deep in New York territory rather than kicking the seventh field goal that those on the favorite needed.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) 27, Tennessee Titans 24 (51): The Steelers seemed to have total control of this game up 24-7 at the half but they settled for a short field goal to lead by 20 early in the third quarter. The Titans answered with a 73-yard touchdown to get back in the game, and then added a field goal to trail by 10 after a Ben Roethlisberger interception. With about 10 minutes to go the Titans got another shot after an incomplete pass on 4th-and-goal was wiped out with defensive holding. Derrick Henry rushed in on the next play to put Tennessee down just three. The Steelers were in position to put the game away while sealing the ‘over’ as well reaching the Tennessee 9-yard-line but Roethlisberger wound up intercepted in the end zone. Tennessee converted a pair of third downs and reached the Pittsburgh 25 but Ryan Tannehill was called for intentional grounding. Tennessee only got seven of those yards back in the next two plays and Stephen Gostkowski narrowly missed from 45 yards trying to tie the game in the final seconds.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) 45, Las Vegas Raiders 20 (51½): Despite the lopsided final, this game featured a 24-20 edge for the Buccaneers into the fourth quarter. An 11-play touchdown drive with a couple of big 3rd down conversions led to the touchdown to put Tampa Bay up by 11 about halfway through the final frame. Derek Carr was intercepted on the next play and the Buccaneers eventually added two more short-field scores to pad the numbers to a misleading blowout final score.

Los Angeles Chargers (-8) 39, Jacksonville Jaguars 29 (48): As a substantial underdog Jacksonville led this game 29-22 late in the third quarter. Justin Herbert struck Jalen Guyton who ran for a 70-yard touchdown in the final two minutes of the quarter and then after the Jaguars fumbled on the subsequent kickoff return, Los Angeles added a 19-yard touchdown drive to suddenly lead by seven going into the fourth quarter. The Jaguars crossed midfield but Gardner Minshew took a sack to force a punt and the Chargers slipped past the spread with a field goal with about six minutes remaining. An eight-play final drive for the Jaguars didn’t threaten to get the underdog back within the spread as the Chargers held on with all 29 points for Jacksonville being scored in the middle quarters.

Arizona Cardinals (+3½) 37, Seattle Seahawks 34 (55): Seattle led 27-17 at halftime and 34-24 relatively late in the fourth quarter but the Cardinals wouldn’t go away. A 14-play touchdown drive put Arizona within three with 2:28 to go and Arizona’s defense only allowed one first down while using all three timeouts to preserve almost a minute on the clock, getting the ball back at the 20 after a touchback on the punt. Kyler Murray delivered an efficient drive to set up a 44-yard field goal to force overtime. Seattle went first in overtime and the Arizona defense held, forcing another Seahawks punt. Kliff Kingsbury’s game management fell off a cliff on Arizona’s next drive after a 32-yard gain put the Cardinals in range to win with a field goal. The Cardinals lost five yards trying to set up the kick on the preferred side then had to burn a timeout to avoid a delay of game call. Kingsbury effectively iced his own kicker as Zane Gonzalez missed from 41 yards kicking on 2nd down rather than Arizona trying to get a bit closer. It seemed like Seattle would again find a way to escape with a win crossing midfield as the overtime clock pushed towards a minute remaining. Russell Wilson hit D.K. Metcalf for a touchdown but it was nullified with an offensive holding call. On the next play Wilson suffered his third interception of the game, leaving Arizona near midfield. Murray was able to add 19 yards for the Cardinals and this time Gonzalez delivered the winning kick from 48 yards.

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Free NFL Pick Sunday

Check out Nelly’s NFL 2/3 for Week 7 – we fell to 3-3 for the week after a losing day Saturday but hope to finish strong on Sunday coming off back-to-back winning NFL releases Monday and Thursday. Get 2/3 on Sunday for $25.

Big E won his 20* on Saturday and has won five straight 10* Biggie plays in NFL action. Get a 15* Game of the Month or a 10* NFL Sunday Biggie from the B.E.S.T.

Maximum Sports is 9-4 in NFL 5* picks and his first 10* Top Play of the season is Sunday for Week 7. Win with Maximum for $25 pay after you win!

Point Train has a three-game package looking to build on a strong start to October!

Bobby Dalton will have NFL releases for Sunday coming soon!

FREE PICK SUNDAY:

454 Washington Football Team -1 over Dallas Cowboys 12:00 PM CT

Dallas has won 11 of the past 14 in this series with strong ATS results as well, covering in both meetings last season and going 8-3-1 ATS since 2014. Dallas needed to win in Week 17 last season to have a chance at the division title in the last meeting between these teams and did its part with a lopsided result but Philadelphia also won to take the East crown. Dallas remains a 1st place team despite an embarrassing Monday night performance in the first game started by Andy Dalton. The Cowboys had four turnovers and two early Ezekiel Elliott fumbles were game-changers, resulting in the 14-0 deficit in the second quarter. Washington has lost five straight since winning the opener but they did deliver a significant yardage edge in New York last week, only to fail going for the win late on a two-point conversion. Kyle Allen was adequate at QB and the defense is capable while still playing hard for Ron Rivera despite the challenges this season. Dallas is among the worst run defenses in the NFL allowing 5.1 yards per carry and the short week for a struggling group laden with offensive line injuries looks problematic. Any statistical edges that Dallas may appear to have in comparing these teams can be thrown out the window as Dak Prescott was on pace for record-setting production this season and the drop-off to Dalton is severe. Dalton had strong results in his first five years in the league on decent Bengals teams but since 2016 his record as a starter is 20-36-1, including 2-12 the past two seasons. He has thrown 16 interceptions in 14 games since the start of last season while taking 41 sacks and he now faces a Washington defense with 16 sacks already this season.