UNDER 9 Texas Rangers (Minor) at Oakland Athletics (Fiers) 2:40 PM CT
Minor has lost both of his starts this season but his FIP of 3.36 sits well
below his 5.91 ERA, he has simply had terrible luck with nearly half of his
base runners coming around to score. Minor has been a reliable option for the
Rangers the past two seasons but he has struggled vs. Oakland allowing 17 runs
in three starts last season. The Athletics crushed left-handed pitching with an
.811 OPS in 2019 but the splits have gone the other way so far this season.
With five straight wins and 28 runs so far in August, Oakland is emerging as a
serious AL contender but the Coliseum remains a favorable pitching park. Mike Fiers
also had a FIP much lower than his 5.40 ERA and should have better luck with base
runners in upcoming starts. Fiers actually pitched quite well in his last three
starts of 2019 vs. the Rangers and last night’s 10-run output was quite
misleading. There were only 14 hits in the game and a combined seven at-bats
with runners in scoring position. Even with the loss the Rangers preserved its
bullpen last night while Burch Smith gave an extended relief outing to keep
Oakland with most top options available today. Last night’s total was just 8
and there isn’t significant reason to move today’s number a full run given a
pitching matchup that is of similar caliber, albeit with much less strikeout potential.
Both teams are outside MLB’s top 18 in team wOBA and strong walk rates for both
lineups aren’t likely to be a big factor in this pitching matchup.
Nelly’s Baseball has hit 60% in 2020 including three straight wins the past three days including a nice underdog win on the Blue Jays last night. Join us for a TOTAL for Thursday night for only $15!
Nelly’s has also hit 60% in the NBA Restart to build on great gains in the
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Bobby Dalton has offers in MLB, NBA, and NHL action today – also check back for Horse Racing this weekend with the Big Dog!
Bobby Dalton has you covered for a HUGE sports Saturday – after a long layoff sports are back and this is the first big Saturday on the schedule. Dalton has offers in the NBA, MLB, NHL, and Horse Racing!
Check our his HORSE RACING selections at Monmouth, his home track. His first selection was in the money in 27 of 31 races last weekend!
Dalton is 2-0 in MLB 10* Best Bets this season – get his SATURDAY 10* PAY AFTER YOU WIN!
Nelly’s wrapped up a 60% July in MLB with an underdog winner Friday night – we are perfect on totals this season and have an over/under pick ready to go for Saturday night!
We have split our first two NBA restart picks with a brutal miss yesterday on the Celtics +5, a tie game into the final minutes before a controversial finish. We feel locked in even with the tough miss looking to build on an active 11-2-1 run and three straight regular seasons over 60%! Get Saturday’s Side Play for $15!
Free Pick Saturday:
#961 Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) + over Minnesota Twins (Maeda) 6:10 PM CT
This series for the top spot in the AL Central could continue to zig-zag with these teams splitting the first two games of the series. Scoring has been at a premium and more quality pitching should be on its way Saturday. Carlos Carrasco’s promising career was sidetracked last season but he looked like his peak self in his 2020 debut with 10 strikeouts in six innings as the pitching-rich Indians should be in a great position to take back the lead in the Central today. Carrasco was unfortunate in that start with a .385 BABIP but still effectively got the win. Yesterday’s 4-1 loss was a bit misleading as the Indians had plenty of men on base but faltered in some big at-bats while also getting some tough breaks with well hit balls being caught for huge outs. Minnesota used its top four options in the bullpen last night and two of those pitchers threw at least 19 pitches as there could be some wear if either is called on tonight. Kenta Maeda made a successful Twins debut in Chicago but there were some red flags in his numbers last season, including a .243 BABIP to help produce a still mediocre 4.04 ERA in 153+ innings. That was pitching with the Dodgers in a very favorable ballpark with plenty of support. Maeda gave up 22 home runs last season and isn’t the same caliber of strikeout pitcher that Carrasco can be. Even so this line has shifted back to the Twins as a slight favorite after Cleveland was favored on Friday and it will again make sense to take the favorable price with the adjustment. As was the case Thursday, Cleveland has the much higher ceiling starter on the mound yet is the underdog in what may continue to be a back-and-forth series. As formidable as Minnesota’s lineup is, Josh Donaldson will likely sit today and after the big first series, the Twins have scored only seven runs the past three games.
#618 Rutgers +1.5 over Penn State 6:00 PM CT
Rutgers needs to be taken seriously in the Big Ten race. The Scarlet Knights are already 2-1 in league play with the only defeat in East Lansing while this team also has a non-conference win over Seton Hall. The overall schedule hasn’t been overly difficult but Rutgers won a Big Ten road game last week and is 10-0 at home this season with seven of those wins coming by double-digits. Losing Geo Baker to a thumb injury is a big blow for the long term hopes for the Knights but Rutgers won convincingly at Nebraska Friday and could still remain a competitive team against the middle tier teams in the conference. The interior scoring should remain strong and Steve Pikiell’s team has delivered nationally elite defensive numbers so far in his fourth season. Penn State has seven top 100 wins this season but only two would counts as high of quality as Rutgers and both of those games were in favorable close-to-home or home venues. Saturday’s three-point win in Philadelphia over Iowa featured great fortune as they trailed nearly the entire second half before watching the Hawkeyes falter at the line. Penn State only has one true road win all season and that game was nearly two months ago as this is a dangerous spot on the schedule for a team that has had several narrow wins on the season to boost the record. Penn State lost at home in this series last season while winning by only one in the road meeting and while both teams are clearly improved the Lions haven’t proven they can win Big Ten road games yet.
Nelly’s has turned in back-to-back college winners the past two days including an underdog that won by double-digits last night. We’ve hit over 60% this season and are on a 16-6 run in college basketball while plus nearly 100 stars the past three basketball regular seasons combined!
Bobby Dalton is on an 8-0 run with a perfect start in 2020 while 10-0 conference game picks so far this basketball season!
Big E is riding an 11-5 run in basketball Biggies and has 15* and 20* picks planned this week: