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Saturday Hoops & Hockey

Nelly’s Basketball is on a 15-7 NCAA run since January 12 and we have three college picks for the big Saturday schedule! Our last two 2/3 offers have both gone 3-0, Wednesday and last Saturday! We are approaching February where we own an 82-53 record in basketball the past three years and have won 13 of the past 16 seasons. Consider joining for the monthly subscription and get today’s picks included!

The Big E cashed his 20* last night and his next big play is a big one in the A-10 with his next conference game of the year ready to go. Don’t miss his 20* A-10 Conference Game of the Year Saturday for $20.94!

The Big Dog is 16-7 in hockey picks since January 21 and he has a $10 afternoon offer and a 10* Best Bet in the evening schedule in NHL action. College Basketball options will be coming on Saturday as well!

Check back for Super Bowl offers later next week!

FREE PICK SATURDAY: #626 West Virginia -4 over Florida 1:00 PM CT

Florida will be an easy team to root for this season as the team has rallied after the scary situation with Keyontae Johnson’s health. With three straight wins the Gators are now 6-3 in SEC play but only the home win over Tennessee stands out and the Volunteers are clearly sliding from their hot start to the season. Florida has faced the 13th rated SEC schedule and now leaves conference play for a very difficult road test. West Virginia is only 4-3 in the Big XII but the three losses have been vs. top 20 caliber squads with two of those games on the road. The only home loss all season came by two points to Texas in a wild finish of a game the Mountaineers led most of the second half. Bob Huggins is leading a team that likely can wind up as a top 30 offensive and defensive efficiency team by season’s end and this is as usual a team with great numbers in the rebounding and turnover departments. Florida has been a strong outside shooting team but this isn’t a group that takes a high volume of 3-point shots and the current lineup is young and small as handling this as handling the furthest road venue of the season so far will be a challenge. Three of Florida’s four losses have come by double-digits and against top 15 caliber teams the Gators are 0-2 with losses by 12 and 15. Despite one of the most favorite schedules in the SEC Florida grades as the 10th best defense in the conference and Michael White’s team has lost the past two years in this annual contest with the Big XII.

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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#630 Texas Tech -9 over Oklahoma 8:00 PM CT

Beating Oklahoma State isn’t overly consequential this season but the Sooner bested their rival 82-69 on Saturday for an impressive home result, leading wire-to-wire and leading by 20 at one point in the second half. A lot went right with 12 3-point makes and a 50 percent shooting game overall against a Cowboys team that has slide to 0-8 in the Big XII. Oklahoma is 4-4 in league play but the wins have all come against the bottom half of the league. The Sooners have lost three straight road games and are 2-6 in true road games this season with the last road win nearly a month ago.

After last season’s near national title, Chris Beard had significant work to do this season at Texas Tech, needing to replace a number of key players. The Red Raiders have eight losses already but five of those defeats against top 20 caliber teams. The two home losses came by five points vs. now #1 Baylor and in overtime by two points vs. Kentucky. Last Saturday Texas Tech lost by only three in Lawrence vs. highly-ranked Kansas and in the last home game the Red Raiders blasted a highly ranked West Virginia team with 89 points.

The line on this game has been adjusted a bit too high but the Red Raiders have won by a combined margin of 63 points in three Big XII home wins and while these teams are both 4-4 in the conference the records and numbers suggest dramatically different teams. Texas Tech is a top four team in both offensive and defensive efficiency despite a much more difficult schedule so far and the Red Raiders are #1 in the Big XII on offense and defense in 3-point shooting percentage. That will be critical against a Sooners team that is second in the conference in 3-point attempts. The Red Raiders are five percent better at the free throw line and much better at creating turnovers as well. Some evening buy-back looks possible with this line jumping from 7.5 to 9 and if it slips back downward the Red Raiders may be play-able at more than a free pick level.

Nelly’s Basketball is 17-5 since January 21 for a huge run in the heart of the season. We won our first top play of the season last week and have another great college 2* opportunity ahead Tuesday night. Pay after you win for $25 or join us for the rest of February for $199. We’ve won in all three months this season and have a winning record in 12 of the past 15 months of February historically.

Bobby Dalton also had a big January and has won six consecutive 10* Best Bets – get a 10* as part of a Trips-2-Win offer for Tuesday night.

The Big E is on a big basketball run the past seven weeks, winning again last night. A 10* Biggie will be up for Tuesday before huge games Wednesday and Thursday. His 15* Game of the Month is scheduled for Wednesday (3-0 in 15* picks) and his 20* Big Sky Game of the Year is scheduled for Thursday (6-2-1 in 20* picks).

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Free NCAA Pick Tuesday

#636 Kansas State -3 over Kansas 8:00 PM CT

Kansas picked up a dominant home win over Texas Tech on Saturday to break a 2-game slide but the Jayhawks have lost five of six road games this season with only a narrow win at Baylor in early January. This is always a huge game for Kansas State and this year’s Wildcats team has what it takes to break an eight-game slide in this series including losing all three meetings last season. Kansas State battled injuries and offensive inconsistency early in the season but has turned a corner for a 6-0 Big XII run to sit ahead of its rival in the current standings.

Kansas State has only one home loss all season while besting TCU and Texas Tech by double-digits in the past two home games, holding those teams to just 100 points combined. Kansas State has significant defensive edges in this matchup and should negate the ability to score inside for the Jayhawks. Kansas has also been the Big XII worst free throw shooting team which should be a negative factor for the road team in a potentially close game.

This year’s Kansas team has battled turnovers and Kansas State is one of top teams nationally at creating turnovers on defense and the Wildcats are underrated having played part of the season without star Center Dean Wade. Kansas might still also be without starter Marcus Garrett who missed the last game after already losing Udoka Azubuike earlier this season as this isn’t the team Bill Self expected to have coming back after last season’s Final Four run. The line swinging four points from its release pushes this selection down to a Free Pick level however.

Nelly’s Basketball is 56-28 since Dec. 6, winning two thirds of our selections over the past two months. We had a dominant win from a NBA underdog last night to reach a 21-9 on current NBA run along with a 29-15 college run. We had a huge 31-13 February in 2018 and are ready for another big month – join us for all remaining February picks for $229!

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Thursday NCAA – Baylor at West Virginia

Thursday Night NCAA Football – Baylor at West Virginia

This week’s Thursday night game is a prominent Big XII clash as Baylor and West Virginia face off. Baylor looks to build on its season of improvement having already quadrupled last season’s win count while West Virginia is still a Big XII title threat despite its ugly loss at Iowa State two weeks ago. Here is a look at Thursday’s Big XII game to start the final October college football weekend.  


Match-up: Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers

Venue: At Milan Pusker Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia

Time/TV: Thursday, October 25, 7:00 PM ET ESPN

Line: West Virginia -14, Over/Under 62

Last Meeting: 2017, West Virginia (-10) 38, at Baylor 36


The Mountaineers climbed to #6 in the polls with a 5-0 start to the season but hopes of emerging as a sleeper in the national picture were extinguished with a mid-October loss at Iowa State. The 30-14 final score didn’t do justice to how badly West Virginia lost as one of its touchdowns came on a blocked field goal return while they wound up out-gained 498-152 in what head coach Dan Hologorsen called “the worst offensive performance I have ever seen.”


Having a bye week to regroup should be useful for West Virginia, who still controls its destiny in the Big XII race. Next week West Virginia head to Austin to face the current conference leader Texas while the Mountaineers host Oklahoma in the regular season finale. West Virginia is 3-0 at home with dominant numbers including a 35-6 win over Kansas State and they beat the other one-loss squad Texas Tech on the road.  


The offense is led by Will Grier, who has thrown for over 1,900 yards with 22 touchdowns and 10.0 yards per attempt. He owns the third best QB Rating in the nation but has thrown seven interceptions while taking 18 sacks as a lot is asked of him in Holgorsen’s offense. Grier has a very talented receiving corps to work with and big plays have been the norm in this offense that features about a 50/50 run/pass split.


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After allowing 20 points in the first two FBS games of the season West Virginia has allowed 86 points in the past three Big XII games. Last season West Virginia surrendered over 31 points per game and 446 yards per game while finishing 7-6 and improvement defensively down the stretch will be the key to keeping the Mountaineers in Big XII contention.


Holgorsen is in his eighth season and despite some setbacks he has posted a 58-38 record and has had the Mountaineers in a bowl games in all but one season. Two years ago the Mountaineers won 10 games with a 7-2 Big XII record and getting his team in the Big XII title game would be a big milestone for the program.


Matt Rhule stepped into a challenging situation last year at Baylor following the multi-year fallout surrounding the departure of Art Briles. Rhule had a successful rebuild at Temple and was a respected hire if not a flashy choice. His tenure could not have started worse, losing to then FCS level Liberty as well as Texas-San Antonio in the first two games and eventually winding up 1-11 with only a win over Kansas.


Several results were competitive for the Bears however with an eight-point loss to Oklahoma and a two-point loss in this matchup with West Virginia. That game was fairly even statistically but West Virginia had a 38-13 lead before a great fourth quarter rally from Baylor.


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Then a freshman, Charlie Brewer took over at quarterback in that game and posted solid numbers the rest of the season. This year Brewer has just three interceptions along with 10 touchdowns leading the offense. He has already surpassed last season’s passing yardage total but is completing passes at a much lower completion rate this season while also posting a lower yards per attempt average.


Baylor hasn’t been a great rushing team but after averaging only 3.4 yards per rush last season the Bears are posting 4.4 yards per rush this season with a committee approach led by JaMycal Hasty. Jalen Hurd has been the go-to receiver with 622 receiving yards and 47 receptions this season.


Baylor and West Virginia had fairly similar defensive statistics last season despite the contrasting records. This season the pass defense numbers are also very close with a slight edge to the Bears in completion rate and yards per attempt but Baylor has allowed more passing touchdowns while generating fewer interceptions. Run defense was the weakness for Baylor last season and this year the Bears have surrendered 5.7 yards per rush, seventh worst nationally and it will be interesting to see if the Mountaineers attack on the ground more than usual this week.


This year Baylor has allowed 31 points per game but surrendering 66 at Oklahoma weighs on the numbers. The Bears have already played Oklahoma and Texas while West Virginia is still to play both of the conference heavyweights to factor into the numbers. In its last game Baylor had the ball down six at Texas seeking a major upset. Brewer led the Bears inside the Texas 20-yard line but his final three passes all fell incomplete for a narrow defeat but it was a confidence-building effort as the Bears will feel like they can compete in every conference game.


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Last season: West Virginia was in the national top 25 visiting winless Baylor in late October. The Mountaineers led 17-6 at halftime and 38-13 through three quarters to sit comfortably in front. Baylor scored two quick touchdowns early in the fourth quarter with a successful on-side kick in-between the scores. The Bears would add a field goal to trail by eight, eventually getting the ball back with fewer than five minutes remaining. Baylor was able to complete an 86-yard touchdown drive with 17 seconds remaining with a 3rd down score but failed on the two-point conversion that could have forced overtime. Grier threw five touchdowns in the game while the Bears out-rushed West Virginia 127-118 in a contest without a turnover.


Series History: Since West Virginia joined the Big XII in 2012 the Mountaineers are 4-2 S/U but just 1-5 ATS in this series. There has been great variance in the spreads with Baylor -30 in the 2013 meeting while West Virginia was -17½ in 2016. The most memorable and consequential meeting was the 2014 upset in Morgantown by West Virginia, winning 41-27 as an 8-point underdog. That was Baylor’s only loss on the regular season and they finished 11-1 and ranked #5 in the College Football Playoff rankings by season’s end. Ohio State controversially passed up TCU, who had been ranked #3 and shared the Big XII title with Baylor, in the final rankings to leave the Big XII out of the playoffs that season.


Historical Trends: West Virginia is 33-44-3 ATS at home since 2006, going 28-38-3 ATS as a favorite, and 20-25-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Baylor is 16-20 ATS on the road since 2011, going 8-7 ATS as a road underdog and 6-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog.


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Thursday NCAA Texas Tech/TCU

Thursday Night College Football – Texas Tech at TCU

This week’s Thursday night game is a prominent Big XII clash as Texas Tech and TCU face off. While both teams are closer to the bowl bubble than the Big XII title game at this point in the season, this will be a key game in the conference pecking order not to mention one of the main rivalry games of the season for both squads.

Match-up: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Christian Horned Frogs

Venue: At Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas

Time/TV: Thursday, October 11, 7:30 PM ET ESPN

Line: TCU -7, Over/Under 62

Last Meeting: 2017, TCU (-7) 27, at Texas Tech 3

This line on this game was released late with questionable quarterback situations for both teams. Since the ‘West Texas Championship’ renewed on an annual basis in 2012 these squad have each won the Saddle Trophy three times with the road team now winning the past three years.

Both TCU and Texas Tech are knotted at 1-1 in league play and while West Virginia and Texas are both 3-0 on top of the standings, those teams will need to face off and both have some difficult hurdles remaining as it is still a wide-open race for a spot in the Big XII title game. The Big XII has Texas back in the national spotlight rising to the top 10 of the polls but the conference as a whole is likely clinging to a long shot 13-0 run for West Virginia in regard to the national playoffs with Oklahoma upset last week.

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TCU looked the part of a Big XII contender and possible national sleeper with a 2-0 start and an 8-point lead over Ohio State well into the third quarter in a big mid-September game in Arlington. The Buckeyes scored three touchdowns in four minutes to send TCU’s season spiraling in the other direction. The Frogs lost to the Texas the following week with a combined seven turnovers in those two defeats before getting back on track in late September with a narrow 17-14 victory hosting Iowa State.

A critical sixth season for Kliff Kingsbury coaching his alma mater started poorly with a 24-7 1st quarter deficit against Ole Miss in Houston on the opening Saturday, with starting quarterback McLane Carter injured. Freshman Alan Bowman was handed the offense from there and posted big numbers including leading notable wins over Houston and Oklahoma State. Bowman was seriously injured and hospitalized after taking a hit in the 42-34 loss to West Virginia with the Red Raiders down to sophomore Jett Duffey for the duration of that game. All three quarterbacks may be available for this week’s game.

For TCU sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson has had mixed results with six interceptions in four FBS games but offering big play potential in the air and on the ground. Robinson was injured late in the win over Iowa State with a shoulder issue on his non-throwing arm and while he has been cleared to return, Gary Patterson has hinted that he may not start this week with sophomore Michael Collins likely to play in the game as well. Collins has only thrown 14 passes this season and not in any meaningful moments.

Texas Tech was anticipating being a stronger defensive team this season as after years of being consistently involved in shootouts, the Red Raiders improved dramatically in the defensive numbers last season. This year the positive gains haven’t been there despite an experienced unit led by linebacker and future NFL draft pick Dakota Allen. Texas Tech has allowed nearly 450 yards per game and 31 points per game including allowing 42 or more points in three of four FBS games.

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Patterson has a reputation for defense and this year’s team has allowed fewer than 21 points per game, holding three of five foes to 14 or fewer points. Texas and Ohio State combined to score 71 points against the Horned Frogs but a 7-0 turnover deficit in those games contributed significantly. TCU has only surrendered 178 passing yards per game this season and that will be the key matchup against a Red Raiders offense averaging 408 passing yards per game. TCU is 14th nationally allowing only 5.7 yards per pass attempt while Texas Tech has allowed 7.7 yards per pass attempt although opposing quarterbacks have completed below 56 percent of throws against both teams.

With Oklahoma up next this is a critical spot for TCU as a 1-3 Big XII start would be realistic with a loss this week. TCU will still have to play in Morgantown in November as a bowl bid could even be cast into a doubt for a squad that was projected to compete for a Big XII title after being the runner-up last season. The stakes may be higher for Texas Tech who still has Iowa State, Oklahoma, and Texas on the schedule. If the Red Raiders fall to 3-3 overall this week they might be in line for another dramatic run in late November with Kingsbury in danger of missing a bowl game for the third time in six seasons.

Last season: TCU was 8-2 heading to Lubbock last November in the game following a 38-20 loss at Oklahoma. The Horned Frogs turned in a great performance with a 27-3 win on the road. The defense did the heavy lifting as TCU managed only 289 yards of offense and led just 10-3 late in the third quarter. TCU completed only six passes in the game in what was Robinson’s first career start and then added a late defensive score. That loss left Texas Tech at 5-6 but they beat Texas in the season finale to earn a bowl bid. The three-point showing was the lowest output for Texas Tech since losing 12-3 at TCU in 2006.

Historical Trends: Texas Tech is 14-8 S/U and 14-10 ATS in this series since 1980, covering in 13 of the past 19 meetings. TCU has won S/U in three of the past four games but has lost S/U and ATS in two of the past three home games in the series. TCU has won S/U in eight consecutive home games since the start of last season but is just 3-12 ATS at home since the start of the 2016 season. TCU is 1-5 S/U and ATS in six instances since 2016 as a home favorite of 10 or fewer points. Texas Tech is 22-14 ATS on the road since 2011 including going 8-3 ATS as a road underdog since 2015 with five S/U upsets.

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Early Big XII Preview

Early Big XII Preview

Many felt like adding a Big XII title game would cost the conference a possible playoff bid but last season Oklahoma managed to survive a rematch with TCU and was selected into the national field. In four seasons Oklahoma has represented the conference twice in the College Football Playoffs but no other team has been selected and the conference is still searching for its first victory on that stage.
This season the conference lacks a clear frontrunner as getting a team to go 10-0 in the always deep league looks unlikely. Last season the Sooners were able to shake off the home upset loss to Iowa State on the strength of their victory over Ohio State in non-conference play but they won’t have that margin of error this season. Ultimately a competitive race looks likely on top of the conference this season and getting a one-loss team in the tournament might be a challenge. Here is an early look at the 10 Big XII teams ahead of the 2018-19 season.

Texas: Tom Herman led Texas to its best win count since 2013 last season even if the expectations were much higher as a high profile hire that led dramatic success at Houston in just two seasons. Texas lost exclusively close games last season and had erratic defensive performances despite being one of the nation’s top run defenses. The offensive production also dropped by nearly 100 yards per game compared with Charlie Strong’s 2016 squad in Austin. This year’s team will be one of the more experienced Big XII groupings. The schedule is similar to last season facing both Maryland and USC again for a tough non-conference schedule but the Trojans will visit Austin as will TCU and West Virginia. Ultimately the Red River Rivalry game will determine whether or not Texas takes a big leap or has another decent season that isn’t up to the expectations of the Longhorns brass.

Oklahoma: Oklahoma was stunned at home against Iowa State last October but the Sooners rallied to return to the College Football Playoffs for the second time in three years. Oklahoma wound up on the wrong side of an epic battle with Georgia but it was an impressive first season for Lincoln Riley who took over suddenly for Bob Stoops last summer. Replacing the #1 pick in the NFL draft plus several other top contributors will be a challenge but this should remain a top offense team with Kyler Murray likely to quarterback the team for one season before pursuing a baseball career. Oklahoma was not an elite defensive team last season and it will be difficult to match the amazing production the Sooners had under Baker Mayfield. The schedule offers Oklahoma a realistic opportunity to run the table but they won’t have a marquee non-conference win like they did last season after beating Ohio State. That could mean little margin for error for a program that always seems to have at least one stumble in the regular season.

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TCU: Gary Patterson has led TCU to 11 or more wins in three of the last four seasons as it would be foolish to count out the Frogs as a serious Big XII threat. TCU loses a lot of key players from a very good defense from last season and they also need to break in a new quarterback. TCU faces Ohio State, Texas, and Oklahoma in the first seven games of the season as there will be opportunities to move up in the national and conference race with notable wins but it also means the Frogs could reach last season’s loss count rather early. TCU has gone undefeated at home three of the past four seasons and if they accomplish that again in 2018 a top three finish in the Big XII looks assured with five of nine games in Fort Worth, although a road heavy September could take a toll on the season goals.

West Virginia: Dana Holgorsen should finally feel some security in Morgantown with winning results in six of seven seasons. Will Grier returns for the Mountaineers after posting some of the nation’s best numbers last season prior to an injury that changed the trajectory of the season. TCU and Oklahoma will visit Morgantown this season as the Mountaineers will have opportunities for big wins with an offense that should be among the most productive in the conference if not the nation. The defense struggled at times last season however and has minimal depth back in action as shootouts should be the norm with Grier capable of being the top quarterback in the conference and a Heisman sleeper.

Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State has won 10 or more games in six of the last eight seasons but they have been stopped at 10 the past three seasons with expectations of a possible breakthrough to a Big XII title or a playoff bid. Highly productive quarterback Mason Rudolph departs but most of the backfield is intact as this can still be an above average offensive team. The defense should remain a stable though not dominant group but the schedule ahead in 2018 looks like a challenge. Five Big XII road games are ahead including several difficult tests and a non-conference game with Boise State lurks as a dangerous September matchup. Matching the 10-win level of recent years looks like a reach for the Cowboys this season.

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Kansas State: Kansas State lost five times last season but four of those misses were by seven or fewer points as the Wildcats found a way to compete even with one of the lesser offenses in the Big XII and a revolving quarterback situation. The offense could be better this season with much more experience but the defense could regress for a second straight season. While Kansas State had mostly close losses last season they also had several narrow fortunate wins as this team was soundly out-gained on the season despite a solid scoring differential. Coach Snyder always finds a way to keep this team in the mix as another winning season shouldn’t be ruled out.

Iowa State: Matt Campbell eschewed opportunities elsewhere to stay in Ames where last season’s 8-5 campaign was a historic rise for the Cyclones. Wins over Oklahoma and TCU were incredibly impressive and the Cyclones also stopped a great Memphis offense for a bowl win. Matching that success will be a challenge and Iowa State plays the heavyweights early in the Big XII campaign this season. Several key players are back as this is a program with average experience and while there were narrow wins last season all five losses came by 10 or fewer points as well as a more dramatic breakthrough had been possible. Iowa State is no longer the conference doormat and will be a competitive team likely on the bowl border.

Texas Tech: Kliff Kingsbury has done enough to stay on in Lubbock with five underwhelming seasons and a 30-33 record. There have been some close calls but still a few blowout losses every year to paint the gap between the Red Raiders and the elite teams in the conference. Texas Tech showed a dramatic improvement on defense last season and with 10 starters back the Red Raiders can take another stride to shake off their former reputation as perennially one of the worst defensive teams in the nation. The offense has some question marks however needing a third new starting quarterback in three seasons and losing most of the top receivers from last season. Oklahoma and Texas both play in Lubbock but that might mean fewer realistic opportunities for wins with a pair of challenging non-conference games in September as well.

Baylor: Matt Rhule stepped into a very tough situation at Baylor and a 1-11 season was the result. Baylor did show signs of progress late in the season and should show improvement but getting back to being a Big XII force looks like it will take a long rebuilding process. This will be one of the most experienced teams in the nation thanks to a lot of young players getting time last season and Charlie Brewer gave the offense life after taking over at quarterback. Statistically this didn’t look like a 1-11 squad that lost to a FCS school in September and if the Bears play all season like they did last November a handful of wins will follow.

Kansas: Kansas has been patient with a major transition hitting year four for David Beaty and a combined three wins in three seasons. The non-conference schedule offers three viable opportunities for Kansas but the gap with the rest of the Big XII remains severe with only one Big XII loss even within 15 points last season. 19 starters return for Kansas as the pieces are there to take a step forward but it remains a steep uphill climb in Lawrence and the best opportunities for conference wins this season will unfortunately all be road games.

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Free NCAA Pick Friday

#872 Texas Tech +2 over West Virginia 8:30 PM CT

These Big XII powers split in the regular season with home court holding in both games but the late February loss in Morgantown for the Red Raiders came three days after a demoralizing loss to Kansas and also came with star Keenan Evans out of the lineup. West Virginia won 78-65 against Baylor last night in what has been a favorable matchup for the Mountaineers who are now 3-0 vs. the Bears.

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West Virginia is just 8-8 since starting the season 15-1 as this team has had great inconsistency and favoritism in this matchup looks out of place in Kansas City. Texas Tech is one of the best defensive teams in the nation and West Virginia has struggled defending the 3-point shot to leave a potential opportunity for the Red Raiders on offense.

Texas Tech was in a prime position to unseat Kansas for the Big XII championship before fading in late February with four straight losses. This is a Red Raiders team that is capable of making amends with a tournament title looking to boost its seeding in just the second season under excellent head coach Chris Beard. Turnovers look like the one possible issue for Texas Tech in this matchup but the 13-5 deficit from the February 26 meeting came with the team’s most important player sidelined.

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Nelly’s is 13-3 in March basketball picks, sign up for March Madness for just $199. Bobby Dalton has an evening Trips-2-Win 2/3 entering Friday on a 19-4-1 run since March 2. Maximum has an evening 2/3 offer as well and the Big E has a pair of picks for Friday’s schedule in a 2-for-1 offer.


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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#565 Kansas -3 over Oklahoma State 3:00 PM CT

Ordinarily this might be a flat spot for a team like Kansas as they have rallied to win another Big XII title, benefitting from slides from West Virginia and Texas Tech. Kansas won its home finale on Monday but this game will still carry some weight as the Jayhawks are looking to move into a possible #1 seed range in the NCAA Tournament draw. This is also a major revenge spot as Oklahoma State stunning Kansas in Lawrence in early February.

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The Cowboys led by 18 late in the second half of that game with a hot start but nearly gave away the game late in a five-point road win. Kansas has won five in a row since while Oklahoma State has picked up a few big wins they have also lost by 10 or more points in four of the last nine games. The Cowboys have five home losses on the season and next week’s Big XII tournament is the only opportunity for the Cowboys to climb into the Big Dance.

A Kansas offense that has been on a roll with some of the best shooting numbers in the Big XII outside the free throw line and they now face arguably the worst defense in the Big XII as just a slight road favorite. This has been an atypical Kansas team that has been a better road team than a home team with nine top 100 wins away from Allen Fieldhouse and with a much better offensive profile than a defensive profile. This matchup should suit the Jayhawks well in a revenge opportunity.

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Nelly’s is 3-0 in March after going 31-12-1 in February – our 3* College GOY goes early today and we also have a 2/3 Guarantee. Bobby Dalton went 3-0 Friday and has a HIGH FIVE 3/5 guarantee offer to build on great March success historically. Big E has released his 20* ACC Conference GOY for Saturday while Maximum has a 10* included in a huge 10-play card for college basketball today!




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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#378 Baylor +9 over Iowa State 1:30 PM CT

The Cyclones lost a heartbreaker last week in a shootout with Oklahoma State while also now being down to fourth string quarterback Zeb Noland, who had some success in relief of Kyle Kempt last week. Kempt could possibly return but ultimately a Cyclones team that delivered a pair of impressive wins this season isn’t accustomed to going on the road and winning convincingly against anyone.

Iowa State was a road favorite of this magnitude against Akron in September but has been a Big XII road favorite of more than touchdown once since 2004 and the Cyclones didn’t cover in that game at Kansas. Baylor hasn’t looked like a 1-9 team in several Big XII games, losing by eight vs. Oklahoma and by two against West Virginia.

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Last week the Bears out-gained Texas Tech soundly but lost by 14. In this home finale the Bears are a serious threat despite the contrasting season results. Iowa State is 2-7 S/U at Baylor since 2005 while Baylor is on a 6-1 ATS run as a home underdog. Barring multiple monumental upsets Iowa State is out of the Big XII championship race while this home finale will be a big draw for Baylor who was -17 at Iowa State just over a year ago for a massive line swing.

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

#380 Texas Tech -3.5 over Kansas State 11:00 AM CT

Kansas State got in the win column last week but struggling against Kansas paints a significant gap between the Wildcats and the real contenders in the conference. Texas Tech has lost three in a row to reach a critical juncture in the season. The Red Raiders played right with Oklahoma early last week before failing to score in the final 27 minutes.

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Kansas State won 44-38 last season and has won five of the past six meetings but this is a season-defining game for the Red Raiders and perhaps the Kliff Kingsbury era as a loss this week likely means another losing season. The home team has won four of the last five meetings in this series and a lesser Texas Tech team was favored by five in the last Lubbock meeting two years ago, a 59-44 win for the Red Raiders.

Texas Tech out-gained West Virginia by 117 yards in the loss in mid-October and the Red Raiders have already played three of the top four teams tied on top of the Big XII standings to skew the numbers with Kansas State only playing two of those games so far and both of those games were at home despite getting out-gained by nearly 400 yards combined. Kansas State could have an edge in the running game in this matchup but that will be due to inept passing under Alek Delton who has taken over at quarterback.

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Kansas State has been out-gained in all five Big XII games, losing the yardage battle by 140 or more yards in each of the last five games and Kansas State has already played the two winless teams in the conference. Texas Tech is on an 11-4-1 ATS run at home and while Bill Snyder once held an amazing underdog track record has deteriorated and the Wildcats are just 3-5 ATS in the last eight instances as a road underdog.

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