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Free MLB Pick Tuesday

#974 Kansas City Royals (Duffy) +120 over Minnesota Twins (Gibson) 7:15 PM CT

The Royals are heading for a very rough season but the lineup has shown some life with a .270 team average the past month, towering over a .237 mark for the Twins. Minnesota held on for an 8-5 win Monday night to open this series despite the Royals having more hits. Three runs came on a blooper double in the eighth inning that proved to be the difference with Kansas City going 4-19 with runners in scoring position.

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Kyle Gibson has strong road numbers this season but he has been consistently mediocre of late and hasn’t won a game since his first start of the season in late March. He has allowed 15 runs in his last five starts and his BB/9 of 4.3 is a concern.

Danny Duffy looked like one of the AL’s better pitchers going 12-3 in 2016 and he was solid last season for the Royals. His 2018 numbers have been disastrous with a 6.14 ERA so far but Duffy still has the pedigree of a much better starter. He has been burned by 14 home runs this season which is much less of risk against this Minnesota lineup and he has made only two of his last eight starts at home as he hasn’t been able to find a great rhythm with his only home start in May coming against the Yankees. Duffy has a career ERA of just 2.49 vs. the Twins with only one career loss in 13 starts vs. Minnesota.

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The Twins have a bullpen edge but the Royals continue to produce at the plate with an average of five runs per game the past seven contests while the Twins have scored five or more runs twice in the past 17 games.

The NBA Finals commence on Thursday – Nelly’s enters the Finals having won four of our last five in the NBA Playoffs. Bobby Dalton won a Game 7 10* on Monday and is on a 33-17 run in playoff side plays!

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Nelly’s hit a solid underdog on the diamond Monday night plus in 4 of 7 weeks this season. Bobby Dalton has won 8 of his last 9 National League picks – check out daily MLB offers!

 

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Free MLB Pick Friday

#965/966 ‘OVER 9’ Chicago White Sox (Lopez) at Detroit Tigers (Fiers) 6:10 PM CT

Despite only one win, 24-year-old Reynaldo Lopez has delivered on the mound for the White Sox this season with a 2.98 ERA. Expectations for Lopez moving forward should be grounded however with a marginal strikeout rate and an xFIP that is nearly twice as high as his ERA at 5.44. Lopez is coming off an eight-inning shutout effort in his last start but that game was at home and in his past two road starts he surrendered 17 hits and 10 runs.

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Mike Fiers won eight games for the eventual World Series champions last season but wasn’t involved in the postseason run for the Astros. He already has four wins in eight starts for the Tigers but a 5.44 FIP suggests he could be heading towards another season of struggles as he looks to stay in the big leagues as a barely above replacement level starter. Fiers has only pitched slightly better at Comerica Park this season and left-handed batters have a robust .279 average against him with Chicago set to place five left-handed bats in the lineup tonight.

Even with some improved recent returns on Chicago’s side the bullpen numbers are rough for both teams and the ‘over’ is 20-8 in the past 28 meetings between these teams in the Motor City. A few big names are sidelined tonight but unseasonably warm conditions should play favorably for both offenses in matchup of marginal starting pitchers.

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Bobby Dalton has won five in a row in the NL while riding a 45-26 interleague run – don’t miss Friday’s Trips-2-Win 2/3 guarantee!