Description
When the temps drop, I heat up! Hello everyone and welcome to Week 16 of the NFL, Week 2 of the Bowl Season, and Week 7 of College Hoops! Today is Friday, December 20 and I have a 10* CBB Biggie for tonight’s action as well as FIVE FB Biggies for this weekend!
FOOTBALL: NFL Biggies are on a 7-2 RUN! I’m now 1099-1065/+93 since September of 2014 and this week the CFB Bowl Season is in full swing! I’ll have 10* Biggies all week as well as the latest edition of the Top 5 Ticket all in this week’s package for $69.94! I also have a monthly package to take you through December for $199.94. Or, for the best value in the industry, I have my Full Pads Full Season Package that will take you all the way through the Super Bowl for December’s reduced price of just $249.94! Finally, I’ve released my favorite package of the year, my BOWLS & BBALL PACKAGE, which will get you EVERY FB and EVERY CBB play from now to the CFB Championship Game on January 20, all for $299.94!
BASKETBALL: CBB Biggies are on a 8-4 RUN highlighted by last Saturday’s 15* DEC GOM WINNER on Rhode Island! I’m now 526-478/+91 since March 2019 and this week I’ll have 10* Biggie plays every day in a weekly package for $39.94. I also have a monthly package that gets you every CBB play in December for $179.94. Or, for the best value, my Full Court full season package gets you every CBB play from now to the Championship Game in April at December’s reduced price of just $499.94! And don’t forget about the BOWLS & BBALL PACKAGE above!
You can call the office to get information and pricing details for any of my packages at 1-800-336-3559 or go online to www.nellysports.com.
Next update:
FB – Tuesday 3pm with potential Bowl Biggie
CBB – Saturday by 9am with 10* Biggie
Thanks, and good luck!
BONUS: ML Dog of the Day – HOLY CROSS (CBB) +190
Hello everyone and welcome to my 22nd YEAR as a featured handicapper here at Nelly Sports! I am so ready for football to be back and ready to provide the best clients in the world with as many winners as possible! If history is any indication, we are in for a big year! Last year was a bit of a disappointment from an unexpected source: the NFL Playoffs. That area has been a historic source of profit, but last year I struggled, and it cost us a winning season. That marked the first time in more than a decade that I’ve had back-to-back losing seasons. I smell bounce-back! It is impossible to mention all the storylines we have coming into the CFB and NFL seasons, but college football’s realignment and 12-team playoff and the mighty Chiefs looking for a 3-peat must be at the top of the list. Football never fails deliver and, my friends, FOOTBALL IS BACK!
A few years ago, I moved to the industry standard +/- EV unit-based scoring system as opposed to defaulting to a -110 juice for every play. The reality of the sports wagering landscape today is both lines and juice vary from state to state and book to book, so using a flat 10% is more inaccurate than not estimating juice at all. All of that said, my “star method” hasn’t changed. I still have my traditional 10, 15, 20, and 25* Biggies and lower Top 5 Ticket values. The change comes with the addition of a common layer of value in association. To illustrate, a 10* play is 1 unit, a 15* play is 2 units, a 20* is 3 units, and a 25* play is 5 units. This system allows players to define their own units….it could be $10, $100, or $1,000, depending on their bankroll, with the juice implied. A win on a 10* play is +1, a loss would be -1, etc. This allows us all to speak a common language with a common measurement of success. As always, questions and feedback always welcome!
No matter how you measure them, the last 10 years have formed a tremendous run of long-term success! Since September 2014, ALL football selections from the B.E.S.T. have gone 1022-973 which has resulted in +107.5 units in that span! That means a $100 player is up over $10,000 in that span! Highlights from the last few years include:
• All Biggies are 412-391/+57 over the L7Y
• 25* plays are 32-20 L11Y including a 12-2 run in NCAA Reg Sea and 8-3 run in Bowl GOYs
• 20* Conference GOYs are 80-63 since 2011
• 20* Conference GOYs are now 107-87 ALL TIME
• 15* NFL Games of the Month have gone 26-12 over the L10Y including 3-0 LY
• Incredible 17-3 in Bowl selections in 2018, 121-85 over the L10Y
• NFL Playoff selections now 84-64 ALL TIME
• Top 5 Tickets have gone 42-33 over the L4Y
Let’s take you through a typical week with the Big E. After the full schedule of the upcoming week’s lines is released, The Big E releases his patented “Top 5 Ticket” on Thursday by 3:00 PM CT. The Ticket targets FIVE NCAA and/or NFL plays that show early value for the week, each rated at .5 units. Already a tremendous value at $19.94, the best part is if those units don’t add up to positive results, you get that week’s Top Five Ticket ABSOLUTELY FREE!! You only pay if you win; the Big E wouldn’t have it any other way! For example, 2012 was a great year for consumers: The Ticket only won outright during 7 of 18 weeks yet yielded +units on the year! This means customers paid for only 7 weeks but profited by the end of the year……don’t let anyone tell you the Big E isn’t customer friendly!
In the TV-dominated world of “all football, all the time”, 10* Biggie plays can happen any day, but Thursdays and Fridays are when things really start to ramp up. Every week, at the VERY least, the Big E will have two 10* Biggie plays; one on the top NCAA play on Saturday and one on the top NFL play on Sunday. These plays are available individually for $9.94 and, again, these are GUARANTEED plays, so you only pay if I give you winners.
Clients should ALWAYS be on the lookout for Big E’s promotional Biggies….every month, there is a 15* NFL Game of the Month for $15.94. CFB games that really stand out will bring a 20* Conference GOY for $20.94. Finally, the top NFL Preseason game, the top NFL Regular Season game, the top NFL Playoff game, the top NCAA Regular Season game, and the top NCAA Bowl game of the year spawn 25* GOY PLAYS for $49.94!
Did someone say packages? The Big E’s got ’em….big ones, too! Catering to the casual or situational player, the B.E.S.T. will have weekly, monthly, and seasonal packages galore throughout the year! Just check out www.nellysports.com regularly to see what the Big E is cooking up at any given time.
Are you a guy like me who shops at CostCo and buys things in bulk for cheap?? If so, please direct your attention to the Big E’s seasonal packages below and get ALL your picks early for ONE low price!!
FULL PADS PACKAGE: $999.94
Starts with a 10* Biggie on The Hall of Fame Game and entitles you to EVERY NFL and NCAA football selection through Super Bowl 58 in February! This package includes:
• EVERY Pre, Regular and Post Season 10* Biggie play
• EVERY edition of the Top 5 Ticket
• EVERY 15* NFL GOM
• EVERY 20* NCAA Conference GOY
• 25* NFL Preseason GOY
• 25* NFL Regular Season GOY
• 25* NCAA Regular Season GOY
• 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
• 25* NFL Playoff GOY
You’ve seen the results above….add them all together and this package is a MUST HAVE!!! Last year, this package included a TOTAL OF 211 selections. At $999.94, that comes to $4.74/play, FAR under the $9.94 mark for individual 10* Biggies. This package is a tremendous value year after year!
