Description
Hello everyone and welcome to Week 11 of the NFL, Week 12 of College Football, and Week 2 of College Hoops! Today is Saturday, November 16 and I have a 10* CBB Biggie for Saturday to go with all of this weekend’s football plays, including my 25* CFB GOY and 20* Sun Belt GOY!
FOOTBALL: SJSU came through with an outright dog WINNER as our 20* Non-Con GOY on Saturday! I’m now 1078-1035/+106 since September of 2014 and this week, I will be releasing my 20* Sun Belt GOY AND the BIG BOY, my 25* NCAA Regular Season GOY! I’ll also have 10* Biggies all week and the latest edition of the Top 5 Ticket all in a HUGE package for $99.94! I also have a monthly package to take you through November for $199.94. Or, for the best value in the industry, I have my Full Pads Full Season Package that will take you all the way through the Super Bowl for November’s reduced price of just $449.94!
BASKETBALL: College Hoops is off and running! Last season, I followed my record-setting 2022 season with another winning year, extending my run to 508-461/+88 since 2/28/19! This week, I’ll have Biggie plays every day in a weekly package for $39.94. I also have a monthly package that gets you every CBB play in November for $129.94. Or, for the best value, my Full Court full season package gets you every CBB play from now to the Championship Game in April for the low, one-time price of $549.94!
You can call the office to get information and pricing details for any of my packages at 1-800-336-3559 or go online to www.nellysports.com.
Next update:
FB – Monday by 3pm with potential 10* MNF Biggie
CBB – Sunday by 9am with 10* Biggie
Thanks, and good luck!
BONUS: ML Dog of the Day – PITT (CFB) +370
Posted Nov 6, 2023
Hello everyone and WELCOME to the 2023 College Hoops season!! This year marks my 20th season of handicapping College Hoops on Nelly’s Sportsline and I’m so grateful and blessed to be able to be here for another year. Last year was my best season yet as I finished 105-82 for +34 units, which followed my 101-85/+11 season in 2021! In fact, my run in CBB is now up to 481-410/+79 since 2/28/19, which includes successfully navigating shortened seasons and odd schedules during the pandemic! I can’t wait to tip off another big season…..let’s get after it and have some fun this year!
This year’s season tips on Monday, November 6th and we will not look back! From that day until Championship Monday in April, the Big E will have at least one 10* play for college hoops EVERY DAY a game is played! Every single day, the B.E.S.T. will release a 10* Biggie play on the hottest play of the day, and, like my football packages, every month I’ll have a 15* Game of the Month! I will also have 20* Conference Games of the Year scattered throughout the season along with my 25* Games of the Year designated for my very BEST regular season and Tournament plays of the season!
As I’ve mentioned previously, I’ve moved to a more industry standard +/- EV unit-based scoring system as opposed to defaulting to a -110 juice for every play. The reality of the sports wagering world today is both lines and juice vary from state to state and book to book, so using a flat 10% is more inaccurate than not estimating juice at all. All of that said, rest assured, my “star method” won’t change. I’ll still (always) have my traditional 10, 15, 20, and 25* Biggies. The change will be adding a real layer of value in association. For example, a 10* play is a 1-unit bet for a player, a 15* play is a 2-unit bet, a 20* is a 3-unit bet, and a 25* GOY is a 5-unit play. This allows players to define their own units….it could be $10, $100, or $1,000, depending on their bankroll, with the juice implied. A win on a 10* play is +1, a loss would be -1, etc. This allows us all to speak a common language with a common measurement of success. As always, questions and feedback always welcome!
Highlights from the last few years include:
- 25* Reg Season plays are on a 4-1 run since 2018
- 20* Conf GOYs are 64-54 the last 5 years
- 20* AAC GOYs are on a 7-2 run
- 20* ACC GOYs are on a 4-2 run and are 10-7 ALL-TIME
- 20* Big Sky GOYs are on a 9-4 run
- 20* CUSA GOYs are on a 4-1 run
- 20* Horizon GOYs are on a 4-1 run and are 12-4 ALL-TIME
- 20* Ivy GOYs are on a 9-4 run
- 20* MAAC GOYs are on a 7-0 run and are 11-5 ALL TIME
- 20* MVC GOYs are on a 5-1 run
- 20* SEC GOYs are on a 6-1 run and are 11-4 ALL TIME
- 20* Summit GOYs are 7-4 ALL-TIME
- 20* Sun Belt GOYs are on a 5-1 run and are 10-4 ALL-TIME
- 15* GOMs are 8-2 the last 2 years
Let’s take you through a typical week with the Big E. In the TV-dominated world of “all sports, all the time”, 10* Biggies can and will happen any day! Every week, the Big E will have 10* Biggie plays every day there’s a game! These plays are available individually for $9.94 and again, these are GUARANTEED plays, so you only pay if I give you a winner. Clients should ALWAYS be on the lookout for Big E’s promotional Biggies….every month, there is a 15* Game of the Month for $15.94. Games that really stand out can bring a 20* Conference GOY for $20.94. Finally, the top Regular Season and the top NCAA Tourney games of the year will spawn 25* GOY PLAYS for $49.94!
Did someone say packages? The Big E’s got ’em….big ones, too! Catering to the weekly or situational player, the B.E.S.T. will have weekly, monthly, and various promotional packages throughout the year! Just check out www.nellysports.com regularly to see what the Big E is cooking up at any given time. And, if you are someone like me who shops at CostCo and buys things in bulk for cheap, you are amongst friends! Please direct your attention to the Big E’s seasonal packages below and get ALL your picks early for ONE low price!!
FULL COURT FULL SEASON PACKAGE: $549.94
Starts with a 10* Biggie on November 9th and charges ahead, giving you access to EVERY college hoops selection through Championship Monday in April! This package includes:
- EVERY Regular and Post Season 10* Biggie play
- EVERY 15* GOM
- EVERY 20* Conference GOY
- 25* Regular Season GOY
- 25* Post Season GOY
You’ve seen the results above….add them all together and this package is a MUST HAVE!!! In a typical year, this package includes ~200 plays. That means the plays in this package comes out to an unbelievable $2.75/play for wall-to-wall college hoops plays throughout the entire season!
BOWLS & B-BALL PACKAGE: $299.94
Back by popular demand! I’ll be releasing my Big E Bowls & B-ball Package TWO WEEKS EARLY (November 13th) to ensure the inclusion of my 25* NFL AND NCAA GOYs! For $299.94, you get EVERY Football and EVERY College Hoops play through the College Football Championship Game (Jan. 8) in one convenient package! This package includes:
- EVERY NCAA Basketball 10* Biggie play
- 15* NCAA Basketball GOM for December
- EVERY NFL 10* Biggie play
- EVERY 10* Bowl Biggie play
- EVERY late December and January edition of the Top 5 Ticket
- 25* NFL GOY
- 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
I’ve absolutely ROCKED the Bowl Season over the years with 25* Bowl GOY WINNERS in ’07, ’08, ’10, ’13, ’14, ’15, ’16, ’17, ’18, ’20, AND ‘22! Hoops plays during the Bowls and B-ball period have been consistently good over the long term, going 300-267 since 2008! Last year, this package included a combined 99 CBB and Football plays, which comes out to an unbelievable $3.03/play for one of the best crossover packages in the biz!
COMPLETE MARCH MADNESS PACKAGE: $199.94
I think Championship Week is my favorite week of the season…..for me, it trumps even the first week of the Tourney, so I have to include it in any Post Season Package! In fact, March is just so mad, I include the ENTIRE month in this package! In 2019, I went 10-6 from March 1 through Championship Week and 23-16 in tournament action for an overall 33-22 record within this package! At just $199.94, that’s just $3.64/play to get ALL the Madness!
Good luck to all and enjoy the season…..may we all be dancing in March!!
Big E.
