Hello everyone and welcome to Week 3 of the NFL and Week 4 in College Football! Today, I am releasing all of this weekend’s plays, including my 20* P12 Conference GOY and my 15* NFL GOM for September!
We had a 3-0 SWEEP in the NFL last week…..and how did that ML Dog of the Weekend on Sparty turn out for everyone? Next week, I’ll have my 20* Big 12 GOY in CFB and 10* Biggie plays all week as part of my weekly package for $59.94. I also have October’s monthly package for $149.94. Or, for the best value throughout the season, my Full Pads Full Season package will give you EVERY football play from now through the Super Bowl at October’s REDUCED price of just $799.94!
You can call the office to get information and pricing details for any of my packages at 1-800-336-3559 or go online to www.nellysports.com.
FB – 3pm Thursday with Top 5 Ticket and potential 10* Biggies
Thanks, and good luck!
BONUS: ML Dog of the Weekend – BAYLOR
Welcome to The Big E’s 19th YEAR as a featured handicapper here at Nelly Sports! First and foremost, I hope all of you are well and are navigating your way through this pandemic in a smart and calculated way. It is my sincere hope that I provide an outlet for positive entertainment during these unprecedented times. While we aren’t out of the woods yet, thankfully, the football season is looking a lot more normal this year than last. As with all things, I’ll do my best to adjust in the event that things go sideways. Let’s continue to get through this as a team and let’s have an EPIC season together, eh? Let’s get into it!
FULL PADS PACKAGE:
Starts with a 10* Biggie on The Hall of Fame Game on August 5th and entitles you to EVERY NFL and NCAA football selection through Super Bowl 56 in February! This package includes:
- EVERY Pre, Regular and Post Season 10* Biggie play
- EVERY edition of the Top 5 Ticket
- EVERY 15* NFL GOM
- EVERY 20* NCAA Conference GOY
- 25* NFL Preseason GOY
- 25* NFL Regular Season GOY
- 25* NCAA Regular Season GOY
- 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
- 25* NFL Playoff GOY
You’ve seen the results above….add them all together and this package is a MUST HAVE!!! In the last full season, this package included a TOTAL OF 216 Big E plays. At $999.94, that comes to $4.63/play, FAR under the $9.94 mark for a 10* Biggie. This package is a tremendous value year after year!
Last year, I moved to the industry standard +/- EV unit-based scoring system as opposed to defaulting to a -110 juice for every play. The reality of the sports wagering landscape today is both lines and juice vary from state to state and book to book, so using a flat 10% is more inaccurate than not estimating juice at all. All of that said, my “star method” hasn’t changed. I still have my traditional 10, 15, 20, and 25* Biggies and lower Top 5 Ticket values. The change comes with the addition of a common layer of value in association. To illustrate, a 10* play is 1 unit, a 15* play is 2 units, a 20* is 3 units, and a 25* play is 5 units. This system allows players to define their own units….it could be $10, $100, or $1,000, depending on their bankroll, with the juice implied. A win on a 10* play is +1, a loss would be -1, etc. This allows us all to speak a common language with a common measurement of success. As always, questions and feedback always welcome!
No matter how you measure them, the last seven years have been a tremendous run of long-term success! Since September 17, 2014, ALL football selections from the B.E.S.T. have gone 700-660, which has resulted in +108.5 units in that span! That means a $10 player is up over a dime in that span! Highlights from the last few years include:
- All Biggies are 232-216/+60 the last 4 years
- 25* plays have gone 16-6 L5Y and 26-11 L8Y including a 7-1 run in 25* Bowl GOYs
- 20* Conference GOYs have had winning seasons in EIGHT of the last NINE seasons (7-4 LY) and are 64-44 since 2011
- 20* Conference GOYs are now 91-68 ALL TIME
- 15* NFL Games of the Month have gone 17-9 over the L7Y
- Incredible 17-3 in Bowl selections in 2018, 86-57 L7Y
- NFL Playoff games have stayed hot, driving my ALL-TIME record to an incredible 69-49
- Top 5 Tickets went 11-5 last year
Let’s take you through a typical week with the Big E. After the full schedule of the upcoming week’s lines is released on Tuesday, The Big E releases his patented “Top 5 Ticket” on Wednesday by 3:00 PM CT. The Ticket targets FIVE NCAA and/or NFL plays that show early value for the week, each rated at .5 units. Already a tremendous value at $19.94, the best part is if those units don’t add up to positive results, you get that week’s Top Five Ticket ABSOLUTELY FREE!! You only pay if you win; the Big E wouldn’t have it any other way! For example, 2012 was a great year for consumers: The Ticket only won outright during 7 of 18 weeks yet yielded +units on the year! This means customers paid for only 7 weeks but profited by the end of the year……don’t let anyone tell you the Big E isn’t customer friendly!
In the TV-dominated world of “all football, all the time”, 10* Biggie plays can happen any day, but Thursdays and Fridays are when things really start to ramp up. Every week, at the VERY least, the Big E will have two 10* Biggie plays; one on the top NCAA play on Saturday and one on the top NFL play on Sunday. These plays are available individually for $9.94 and, again, these are GUARANTEED plays, so you only pay if I give you winners.
Clients should ALWAYS be on the lookout for Big E’s promotional Biggies….every month, there is a 15* NFL Game of the Month for $15.94. NCAA games that really stand out will bring a 20* Conference GOY for $20.94. Finally, the top NFL Preseason game, the top NFL Regular Season game, the top NFL Playoff game, the top NCAA Regular Season game and the top NCAA Bowl game of the year spawn 25* GOY PLAYS for $49.94!
Did someone say packages? The Big E’s got ’em….big ones, too! Catering to the casual or situational player, the B.E.S.T. will have weekly, monthly, and seasonal packages galore throughout the year! Just check out www.nellysports.com regularly to see what the Big E is cooking up at any given time.
Thank you, all, and good luck this season!