Posted on

Nelly’s Free NBA Pick – Wednesday, April 6

#506 Orlando Magic -2 over Detroit Pistons 6:05 PM CT

Miami shot the lights out on Tuesday night to win by 18 hosting a Pistons team still clinging to the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Chicago also lost last night to remain two games back but this looks like a dangerous game on a second straight night ahead of season-making home games with the Wizards and Heat coming up. Orlando looks ready to play spoiler, winning four of the last five with wins over three teams in the playoff picture and the Magic own a very respectable 21-16 home record with one of the NBA’s strongest ATS records. Detroit is just 3-5 in the last eight road games as the strong March run that has Detroit in the postseason picture featured a long home stand. The Magic should be fresh coming off consecutive off days and the scoring for the Magic has been impressive with five straight games reaching 110 points, with Detroit held below 96 in each of the last five games. Detroit won by 16 in late March hosting the Magic as a six-point favorite, outshooting the Magic 54% to 40% to hide turnover and rebounding issues for the Pistons in this matchup. Orlando is actually 13-3 ATS this season as a favorite of fewer than five points and while a better showing from Detroit last night was expected this looks like a difficult follow-up spot for a team with an inflated recent run built on a home heavy month of March.

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-phone-service” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NBA Pick – Friday, April 1

New York Knicks – over Brooklyn Nets

It has been a miserable season for both New York City NBA franchises but this matchup has provided rare instances of energy and crowd support for the hosts with the home team winning the season’s first three meetings. This will be a fourth straight road game and a fourth game in five days for the Nets who lost by 34 and 20 in the past two games. The Nets have been a competitive heavy underdog this season but a much less successful ATS team going against the teams that are also sitting towards the bottom of the league standings. Brooklyn is 2-11 S/U this season in the second of back-to-back games while this figures to be one of the last big home games for the Knicks with only four more Madison Square Garden dates remaining. Brooklyn has now failed to cover in six consecutive road games and this is a taxing spot on the schedule for a team that is 7-30 S/U on the road for the season. The Knicks have 17 home wins this season and each of the last 11 home wins have come by six or more points.

 

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-basketball” sort=”lowhigh” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NBA Pick – Thursday, March 31

Brooklyn Nets +15 over Cleveland Cavaliers

After allowing 139 points on Tuesday the Nets should show a bit more life facing the Eastern Conference leaders. This is a team Brooklyn beat 104-95 at home just a week ago and the Nets are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings with two S/U wins despite huge underdog spreads. This line will be the biggest of the recent history of the series and among the biggest of the season on either side. Brooklyn is a lousy team but they have performed well as a heavy underdog going14-7 ATS when getting nine or more points. In sharp contrast Cleveland is 8-17 ATS when laying nine or more points. The Cavaliers enter this game off a loss on Tuesday in which LeBron James sat and with the Raptors closing to within two games there is some pressure on Cleveland to seal up the top spot in the Eastern Conference. With four losses in the last 10 games this isn’t a team dominating foes like the top teams in the Western Conference are and Brooklyn is still four wins behind Minnesota to hold the fourth worst record in the NBA as they aren’t in real danger of hurting the team’s draft stock. Facing the top team in the Eastern Conference should bring a good effort from a team that is competing well, including a 22-18 ATS mark vs. winning teams this season, going 13-6 ATS on the road in those matchups. Prior to Tuesday’s disaster in Orlando the Nets hadn’t lost by more than 16 points in 19 games going back to early February and only twice in the last 13 games have the Cavaliers won a game by more than 14 points with the Cavaliers also just 4-8 ATS in the last 12 home games. A big game with a surging Atlanta team is on deck tomorrow so Cleveland could easily pull players late and hold on to a comfortable but not overwhelming victory.

 

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-phone-service” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NBA Pick – Wednesday, March 23

#762 Minnesota Timberwolves – over Sacramento Kings 7:05 PM CT

Sacramento has five more wins than Minnesota but the Wolves have been a tough out in recent weeks. Four of the last five losses for Minnesota have come by five or fewer points including a five-point setback to the Warriors on Monday. Minnesota is 8-12 S/U in the last 20 games with wins over formidable teams including the Clippers, Bulls, Raptors, Celtics, and Thunder. Minnesota is also 9-4 ATS in the last 13 home games as the prices on the Wolves in Minneapolis are kept in check with an ugly 11-23 S/U record at the Target Center. This is a fourth straight road game for the Kings with Sacramento 5-9-1 ATS in the last 15 road games. Minnesota is 2-0 in this series on the season with road and home wins and this line has not been adjusted significantly since the last meeting in December despite the results trending in opposing directions since that time. Sacramento has lost 20 of the last 27 games after once being in the playoff race just three games below .500. The injury report is significant for Sacramento as well as this looks likely to be an incomplete team and Minnesota may snare a rare home win.

 

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-phone-service” sort=”newness” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NCAA Basketball Pick – Friday, March 18

Middle Tennessee State +18.5 over Michigan State 1:45 PM CT

Middle Tennessee State jumped up in class several times in the non-conference season and they held their own in most games, losing by six and four to top 100 squads VCU and South Dakota State. Wins over Toledo, UNC Asheville, Toledo, Auburn, and Belmont are notable through a fairly difficult non-conference slate. In Conference USA play the Blue Raiders finished 13-5 to sit behind UAB and the numbers were the strongest in the conference. The Blue Raiders rebound well, create turnovers and are very effective at limiting free throw attempts and quality 3-point looks. On offense the pace is deliberate at times and while foul shooting has been poor the Blue Raiders do have a few sharp shooters outside and shot 39 percent from 3-point range on the season. The best 3-point shooting team in the country is Michigan State, a team many have already anointed in the Final Four. The Spartans have been very impressive down the stretch but 13 of the team’s 29 wins came by 16 or fewer points. The price on this game is certainly elevated with the popularity of the Spartans. Consider that Michigan State and Virginia rate as almost identical caliber teams and Middle Tennessee State rates over 100 spots higher Hampton in most power ratings yet the Spartans will be nearly as high of a favorite as the Virginia was in yesterday’s 1/16 matchup. The Blue Raiders have proven an ability to win and compete well in high scoring games and low scoring grinds, winning the last two conference tournament games with 99 and 55 points respectively. Michigan State will be well supported in St. Louis but value is clearly with the hefty underdog from a Conference USA that may be slightly underrated.

Check out NCAA Tournament Selection from Nelly’s Friday – guaranteed day & evening picks for just $15!

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-basketball” sort=”popularity” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

 

Posted on

NCAA Tournament Location Advantages

 

NCAA Tournament Location Advantages

03/15/2016

While most of the NCAA tournament games will generally be played in unfamiliar venues and spacious arenas with mixed fan bases, it is worth taking a look at the travel required and the groupings of teams in each pod. Here is a brief look at some of the advantages and disadvantages presented by the selection committee this season with regards to location in the opening games.

Providence, Rhode Island:

The team most thrilled to be in Providence has to be Yale, hailing from New Haven, Connecticut just about 100 miles southwest of Rhode Island’s capital city. With Yale ending a long NCAA Tournament drought this season the afternoon session tickets Thursday featuring the NC-Wilmington/Duke matchup and the Yale/Providence matchup are hot tickets. Duke should get solid support in this grouping with a fan base that is well populated in the major northeast cities nearby but like ACC counterpart Miami the team has to be a bit disappointed to not be in Raleigh where #1 seeds North Carolina and Virginia will be playing Thursday. Buffalo fans have a manageable drive to Providence to support the #14 seeded MAC Tournament champions but the evening sessions won’t likely have one overwhelming fan base. Arizona seems the most out of place in this group as the #6 seed facing long travel for a Thursday game in which they won’t know the opponent until Tuesday night, facing off with the winner of the highly anticipated Vanderbilt/Wichita State matchup in the First Four.

Raleigh, North Carolina:

ACC squads North Carolina and Virginia get a favorable placement in Raleigh with a very short trip for the Tar Heels in what should feel like a home game and the venue is less than 250 miles from the Virginia campus as well. While both of those #1 seeds are heavy favorites in the opening games it is worth remembering that both teams really struggled in the first round games last season, barely escaping with victories playing in favorable venues in Charlotte and Jacksonville. Assuming the top seeds move on, the location edge may be more important on Saturday as the 8/9 matchup teams are all making long trips with North Carolina set to face the winner between Providence and USC and Virginia slated to face the winner of the Butler/Texas Tech game.

Des Moines, Iowa:

Three schools from Iowa are in the NCAA Tournament but none finished with a high enough seed to earn a favorable spot in Des Moines. #1 overall seed Kansas had three attractive nearby options for the opening weekend games and Des Moines is the closest, just a few dozen miles closer to campus compared to St. Louis or Oklahoma City. Blue should dominate the seats on Saturday with Kentucky also in this grouping and even though it is close to a 10 hour drive from Lexington the Wildcats are always well supported. Indiana fans like Kentucky fans were certainly hoping to get a St. Louis draw as both teams have to feel a little snubbed by the committee both in seeding and location as well as staring at each other in a potential headlining matchup Saturday just to reach the Sweet 16. Connecticut vs. Colorado figures to be a great opening round 8/9 matchup and while Des Moines is a reasonable trip from Boulder none of the other schools in this grouping figure to have much impact in making a dent on the Kansas crowd.

Denver, Colorado:

With no double-digit spreads in the four Thursday games in Denver, this grouping might be one to watch for potential upsets. None of the eight schools in this group are set particularly close to Denver but flights are rather easy from Salt Lake City to the Mile High City in March as Utah is probably the biggest beneficiary to the Pepsi Center draw. Up tempo squads Iona and Iowa State face off in the early game Thursday and it will be interesting to if the altitude has an impact. Also of note with regards to the altitude will be how teams that are fairly reliant on lumbering big men will handle the thin air with Purdue and Gonzaga most noteworthy to watch. Utah is also led by star center Jakob Poeltl but the elevation jump from Salt Lake City to Denver isn’t that dramatic compared with say West Lafayette to Denver. Iona and Seton Hall are the only eastern schools that were shipped out to Denver with Seton Hall as a #6 seed facing #11 seed Gonzaga perhaps drawing one of the bigger location disadvantages in the tournament relative to the seeding as the slight favorite status of the Bulldogs displays.

Brooklyn, New York:

There is a lot of college basketball played in the greater New York City area but it has been a while since a prominent team emerged and this Brooklyn venue won’t provide any sort of dramatic home court edge to the schools in play. #2 seed Villanova can‘t complain about this landing spot but they did not wind up in the East region which would have meant games in Philadelphia next week if the Wildcats can advance. West Virginia fans also have a reasonable trip as do Temple fans for an intriguing set of Friday games. Ultimately the big city setting may favor the powerful fan bases from the Midwest with Notre Dame and Iowa support likely to be strong and should Michigan survive Wednesday’s First Four matchup the Wolverines would face the Irish in a rivalry better known on the gridiron in what would be a highly anticipated game. West Virginia would draw the winner of that game if they get by a dangerous #14 seed in Stephen F. Austin.

Oklahoma City, Oklahoma:

While the Sooners had a bit of late season slide they were still handed a favorable NCAA Tournament draw, still getting a #2 seed ahead of #3 seed West Virginia who finished ahead of the Sooners in the standings and beat Oklahoma in the Big XII semifinals. Oklahoma is opposite an Oregon squad most consider to be the least proven of the #1 seeds in the West region and the opening weekend games are in Oklahoma City, just a half hour drive from Norman as crimson and cream figure to dominate Chesapeake Energy Arena. That could be overwhelming for Cal State Bakersfield in the program’s first NCAA Tournament appearance as well as potential second round foes VCU and Oregon State who are playing far from home. In the other pod Texas and Texas A&M figure to receive strong support with a reasonable drive north for both fan bases in what could be a great second round storyline in a rematch from earlier this season between former conference foes.

St. Louis, Missouri:

Michigan State wasn’t given a #1 seed and the St. Louis venue is still a nearly eight-hour drive from East Lansing. That was the best option the Spartans had however with only Des Moines as a venue at a similar distance. If Michigan State survives the opening weekend they will be rewarded with games in Chicago which could really pay off in potential matchups with Utah or Virginia. While Michigan State should be well supported in St. Louis the Gateway City will likely also receive a great deal of travelers taking I-70 from Dayton and Cincinnati. It is also a reasonable trip south from Madison as #7 seeds Wisconsin and Dayton received favorable placement for coin-flip opening round 7/10 matchups against Pittsburgh and Syracuse teams with more distance to cover. Weber State and Syracuse have the most substantial travel as most of the schools in this group should get fans at the Scotttade Center with #2 seeds Michigan State and Xavier likely bringing the most enthusiasm.

Spokane, Washington:

Nothing is terribly close by out west but Oregon was dealt a favorable venue in Spokane, a seven-hour drive from Eugene and even closer trip from Portland where plenty of alumni reside. Oregon isn’t expected to have a tough time in the opening round vs. a Wednesday First Four winner and the potential second round matchup would feature an eastern squad Cincinnati or St. Joseph’s to give the Ducks a big advantage. Hawaii and California are technically western squads and Spokane certainly is the closest opening round venue available but that is far from a short trip for those schools and #4 seeded Bears would travel much further east to Louisville should they advance. South Dakota State and Maryland also will have long journeys to get fans to Veterans Arena as this looks like a venue that will be overtaken by Ducks fans.

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-phone-service” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on

Best and Worst Big Dance Draws

Best and Worst Big Dance Draws

03/14/2016

Dissecting the bracket and the decisions of the selection committee is certainly a fun topic Monday morning. Here is a quick look at some of the favorable and unfavorable draws in the bracket. Neither is indicative of ultimate success in the tournament but some teams were dealt better hands than others.

Worst Draws:

West Virginia (#3 East): The Mountaineers made it to the Big XII championship game, narrowly losing against #1 overall Kansas on Saturday. Most power ratings project West Virginia as a clear top 10 team but they have drawn a fairly difficult path as a #3 seed, while staring at the Oklahoma team they finished ahead of and just beat as a #2 seed. Stephen F. Austin hasn’t lost a game since the calendar turned to 2016 taking a 20 game winning streak into the tournament. The Lumberjacks beat VCU in the 2015 tournament and last season played a very close game with Utah in a 5/12 matchup. West Virginia’s success is built on creating turnovers yet they will have to face the only team in the nation with a higher defensive turnover rate in this matchup as these teams have similar strengths, except in 3-point shooting and free throw shooting where the Mountaineers are the much weaker team. Should West Virginia survive they could potentially face Notre Dame or Michigan, two powerhouse fan bases that have will have strong support in the Brooklyn venue.

Baylor (#5 West): The Bears lost as a #3 seed last season against Georgia State and Baylor will again be on upset alert this season in the opening round. In 2013 and 2014 Ivy League champion Harvard won NCAA tournament games and last season the Crimson just missed an upset over North Carolina in a two-point defeat as the league deserves some respect. This game will also take place in Providence giving the Bulldogs a huge location edge with the venue just an hour and a half drive from New Haven and with plenty of alumni in the region ready to snap up tickets for Yale’s first Big Dance appearance since 1962. As the spread suggests a Yale win won’t be much of an upset but if the Bears survive they will only have to go through the defending national champions with Duke sitting as the opposing #4 seed should the Blue Devils advance.

Indiana (#5 East): The Hoosiers don’t have a great argument to have been seeded much higher despite being the Big Ten champions in the regular season. The SEC regular season and tournament champion Kentucky certainly does have a valid gripe however and that potential matchup will be the highest profile game of the Round of 32. If Indiana keeps up its late season shooting they can beat anyone but the Kentucky backcourt seems likely to be a difficult matchup for the Hoosiers and the Des Moines crowd will likely have strong Kentucky support. The Hoosiers had better not get caught looking ahead to that game however as Chattanooga is a dangerous team that lost just five games all season and picked up wins over Georgia, Illinois, and Dayton. The Mocs have been very good at creating turnovers which could capitalize on the chief weakness of the Hoosiers and the 3-point defense for Chattanooga has also been pretty sound. Beat Chattanooga and Kentucky and Indiana’s reward is facing North Carolina in most scenarios as it won’t be easy for Tom Crean to get past the Sweet 16 for the first time since he took over in Bloomington.

Arizona (#6 South): The Wildcats have been unable to get over the hump in the Elite Eight the past two years and they will have a difficult path ahead if Sean Miller is to make his first Final Four in 2016. Arizona may have felt slighted to be a #2 seed last season but they at least played on the west coast. This season the Wildcats have been shipped across the country to Providence. To make matters worse they play on Thursday night but they won’t know the opponent until Tuesday night facing the winner of gem of a First Four matchup between Wichita State and Vanderbilt. Both of those squads wound up on the bubble but both teams have very high ceilings and will be considered viable sleepers to make it out of the first weekend. In the short history of the First Four, all five seasons one of the winning teams has advanced to at least the Round of 32, with three teams making the Sweet 16 and VCU making the Final Four in the initial year of the First Four in 2011.

Cal-State Bakersfield (#15 West): The hodgepodge WAC doesn’t get much respect as a whole as there are some pretty bad teams in the group but the top of the conference produced some respectable results around the country. Bakersfield is 24-8 to earn this spot after knocking off regular season champion New Mexico State last weekend. While the profile lacks any standout non-conference wins most power rankings would place the Roadrunners above several teams that received better placement in the bracket such as Chattanooga, Green Bay, Stony Brook, or Buffalo. In addition to the #15 seed and the difficult matchup with a Sooners team that was ranked #1 much of the year, the Roadrunners will feel like they are playing a road game drawing Oklahoma in Oklahoma City. It won’t be a shock in Bakersfield gives the Sooners a scare but the Roadrunners would have been a more viable upset threat with a seeding more consistent with their strong statistics.

 

Best Draws:

Oregon (#1 West): The Ducks weren’t on the radar for most as a potential #1 seed but the Pac-12 was given great respect by the committee and the emphatic title game win pushed the Ducks to the top line after claiming both the regular season and conference tournament titles. Oregon gets to play the winner of the Holy Cross and Southern Matchup as they will have one of the most favorable opening round draws and getting to play the first weekend in Spokane is a big plus with no other west coast schools in that pod. Duke and Baylor don’t look overly formidable as the #4 and #5 teams in the group particularly on defense given Oregon’s fantastic offensive potential. Upsets are very possible in that Providence grouping as well with Duke and Baylor both set to face challenging opening games. If Oregon lives up to its seeding it would have an Anaheim regional final matchup with likely Oklahoma or Texas A&M two teams with high ceilings but plenty of inconsistency this season while avoiding some of the more proven candidates in those #2 and #3 slots.

Villanova (#2 South): The Wildcats have a big monkey on their back for tournament failures in recent years and not having the pressure of being a #1 seed might be a benefit. #1 overall Kansas is on the opposite side of the region but getting past the opening weekend has to be the priority for Villanova. UNC-Asheville rates as one of the weaker teams in the field losing six games in the Big South but a non-conference win over Georgetown should be enough to capture Villanova’s attention. The 7/10 draw of Iowa and Temple also looks promising as Temple rates as by far the weakest #10 seed and is a team that Villanova beat by 16 in February. While Iowa has a strong season profile this is a Hawkeyes team that has lost six of the last eight games to wipe away the great work the team did in January. Iowa lost to Penn State, Ohio State, and Illinois down the stretch while also losing two home games and snapping out of that funk looks challenging against a team like Villanova should the Hawkeyes even get that chance. Miami is a strong team as the #3 seed but perhaps less threatening than some of the other potential teams that could have been in that spot in the South like West Virginia, Kentucky, or Texas A&M.

Michigan State (#2 Midwest): Most instantly placed Michigan State as a team with a gripe about not being a #1 seed as the Spartans are the Vegas favorites to cut down the nets and it isn’t a hard case to make putting the Spartans on the #1 line. That said, a close look reveals some real benefits to this path if the Spartans can use that slight as motivation to get back to the Final Four. The #1 seed in the Midwest is Virginia, a team the Spartans have beat the past two seasons in the NCAA Tournament and that potential game would be in Chicago with a clear edge for Michigan State. Middle Tennessee State is a better team than any of the #1 seeds will face in the opening round but the Spartans should be comfortable with potential matchups with Syracuse or Dayton in the Round of 32. Utah also looks like the weakest of the #3 seeds and that potential Sweet 16 matchup would also be in Chicago for a huge location edge for the Spartans. Iowa State also looks like one of the weaker #4 seeds and they also line up in the Midwest should Virginia falter early.

Texas (#6 West): The Longhorns lost twice as many games as their NCAA Tournament seed this season but big wins pushed Texas into a favorable position. Northern Iowa had some big wins this season and as the spread suggests it won’t be an easy game but the Oklahoma City venue should be favorable and Texas is very comfortable playing at a slower pace. The Longhorns can’t help but looking ahead to a potential matchup with Texas A&M in the round of 32, a rival and team they had a chance to play early in the season and would have no shortage of motivation and support for. It should be a Big XII crowd at the Chesapeake Arena with Oklahoma also slated to play there which could help the cause. If the Longhorns advance to the Sweet 16 they would likely face a Sooners team they beat by 13 just a few weeks ago. Ultimately the Longhorns have to feel pretty good about how things worked out especially with two other #6 seeds having the challenge of facing a First Four winner while the other #6 Seton Hall has been sent across the country in a pod with three western teams.

Iona (#13 Midwest): Metro Atlantic fans can certainly cry foul for Monmouth’s exclusion but the conference was handed a great opportunity to actually pick up a win in the NCAA Tournament with the draw for Iona. Getting a #13 seed is probably generous for a squad that lost 10 games and whose only top 100 wins came against Monmouth. Of the #4 seeds Iona would want to face Iowa State would have to be high on the list as the Cyclones don’t have the devastating size up front that some of the other #3, #4, or #5 seeds have. Iona is led by an up-tempo offense and that is Iowa State’s preferred pace as well with the Cyclones shaky on defense at times as this game could be a bit of a track meet. Playing in the mountain air in Denver also could give the Gaels a boost as well as the conditioning for Iona should be excellent given the pace of play they employ.

 

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-basketball” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

 

 

Posted on

Free NCAA Basketball Pick – Friday, March 11

#588 Cal-Irvine -3 over Long Beach State 11:00 PM CT

Three of the four Big West games yesterday were blowouts with Long Beach State being the lone favorite that really struggled, trailing Riverside much of the way before winning by eight with 33 points in the final 10 minutes. Long Beach State had a big shooting edge as well as 10 more free throw attempts but the team had to work for the win with heavy minutes for the starters. Long Beach State has a big size disadvantage in this matchup and Irvine won both regular season meetings. The first game was tight with Irvine overcoming an early deficit while the most recent meeting was a blowout. Long Beach State has won 10 of the last 11 games but the schedule turned mostly soft down the stretch and with a share of the conference title on the line Irvine took care of business to win the final four games of the season to catch Hawaii. These teams contrast in tempo significantly and Long Beach State might have a tough time with the adjustment, as they did in both regular season meetings as they could not hold on to early leads.

Join Nelly’s in conference tournament action today with our next 2/3 offer – winning 13 of our last 16 2/3 offers this season with those picks a combined 37-10-1!

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-basketball” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Posted on

Free NCAA Basketball Pick – Thursday, March 3

#548 Cal-Santa Barbara -10 over Cal Riverside 9:00 PM ET

Santa Barbara played a brutal non-conference schedule and then started out the Big West season 3-5, getting all six games vs. the top three teams in the conference out of the way. The schedule has softened in February and the Gauchos have now won six consecutive games to move to 9-5 in Big West play with the final two games at home. Santa Barbara isn’t going to be able to move up in the conference standings but they will be a team that the top seeds won’t want to face in the Big West tournament. This is a veteran team that has battled through one of the toughest schedules in the nation and they beat Riverside on the road by 10 just two weeks ago in a game they led wire-to-wire even with a marginal shooting night. Riverside did score an upset over Hawaii last week but this will now be a third straight road game before Saturday’s home finale and the team is still adjusting to playing without Taylor Johns who was dismissed from the team two weeks ago. Santa Barbara is a slow tempo team but a great free throw shooting team and they have been able to pull away from several teams late in the current winning streak. Riverside rates as one of the worst defensive teams in the conference and a high turnover team and the Gauchos should be up for this game to keep the positive momentum going.

Nelly’s is on a 56-29 run in basketball picks since early January! We are featuring our College Game of the Year Thursday night plus we have our next 2/3 Guarantee available having won 11 of our last 13 2/3 offers with the picks going 31-7-1!

 

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-phone-service” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

 

Posted on

Free NCAA Basketball Pick – Thursday, Feb. 25

#775 Santa Clara +16.5 over St. Mary’s 10:00 PM CT

Gonzaga has set the standard in the WCC for many years and last weekend St. Mary’s won in Spokane for the first season sweep of the Bulldogs in 21 years. The teams can still tie for the WCC regular season title but unless St. Mary’s slips in the final two games of the conference season they will be the top seed in the conference tournament. This week’s action features a home date with Santa Clara before the conference finale at San Francisco on Saturday but tonight is not the final home game in Moraga with a non-conference game scheduled next Tuesday. Santa Clara is just 6-10 in WCC play and the Broncos will be easy to overlook with St. Mary’s winning by 22 in the first meeting this season. St. Mary’s shot over 63 percent at Santa Clara for the comfortable win while getting twice as many free throw attempts. A decline in those numbers seems likely and the final score was the largest lead of the game as the Gaels poured it on with 46 second half points to dramatically shift a four-point margin at the half. Santa Clara is certainly overmatched but there should be enthusiasm for this opportunity with the team playing a bit better down the stretch going 3-3 in the last six games. Santa Clara is actually 9-4-1 ATS on the road this season covering in four of the past five conference road tests while St. Mary’s is on a 2-8 ATS run in league play as a consistently overvalued conference leader that should be in a clear flat spot tonight.

Nelly’s is on a 50-22 run in basketball picks as we look to close down a huge month of February the next few days! We have won 10 consecutive guaranteed 2/3 offers with seven 3-0 sweeps. Get tonight’s three-game offer for $25 featuring NBA & NCAA picks for Thursday night – only $25!

[displayProduct type=”list” category=”nellys-basketball” perpage=”3″ list=image,title,price,button,excerpt]