Free Pick | Saturday | NCAA | Dec. 7

Nelly’s is on a 10-5 college football run and a 6-1 NFL run heading into Saturday!

We are also 2-0 the past two night in basketball!

#673 Florida State +4.5 over NC State 3:00 PM CT

NC State has lost three straight games and not coincidently those are the only three teams inside the nation’s top 200 the Wolfpack have played this season, with the team’s best win coming hosting William & Mary. NC State has shot poorly from 3-point range and the free throw line this season. We all recall that this was a team that got hot in March, winning five games to take the ACC Tournament and then making the Final Four in the Big Dance, this was a 9-11 ACC team that was 17-14 in the regular season, and that is more likely the baseline for this year’s team than the tournament success. NC State lost five ACC home games last season and lost at Florida State last February 90-83. After a few down years, Leonard Hamilton appears to have the Seminoles back to being a quality ACC competitor with a 7-2 start and both losses were close games vs. quality teams. Florida State pushes the pace on offense and creates a lot of turnovers on defense while featuring one of the nation’s best 3-point defenses so far through a decent schedule that includes four wins that grade stronger than any win NC State has produced this season. Florida State has a significant size edge in this matchup and only two NC State starters were part of last season’s run as the roster has turned over significantly now without DJ Bruns and DJ Horne.