Free Pick | NFL | Sunday | Dec. 22

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#108 Chicago Bears +7 over Detroit Lions 12:00 PM CT

The Bears were down 23-7 in the 4th quarter in Detroit on Thanksgiving but wound up in position to win with 2nd & 10 from the Detroit 25-yard line in the final minute. In the final 43 seconds the Bears had a penalty, a sack, and an incompletion in a bizarre sequence, leaving a timeout on the board and not even able to attempt a tying field goal. Matt Eberflus was fired after that game and Chicago has lost by a combined score of 68-25 the past two weeks since that game. Those were road games however and Chicago has been stronger at home this season, going 4-1-1 ATS and the Lions have played one outdoor game all season long, with windy conditions possible on Sunday which could help to level the playing field in this matchup. Detroit’s loss last week opens the NFC North race, and the Lions had two more significant injuries as the dream season may be dissolving for the franchise. Detroit is just 3-5 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS in the past seven trips to Soldier Field while the Bears have only been a home underdog twice this season, with no ATS losses. The Lions have been a road favorite of 6 or more points 12 times since 1980, going 4-8 ATS with a 1-1 mark this season and this is a historically high price for an injury depleted team that just allowed 48 points and now faces a division rival on the road, with that rival playing within three points of the Lions just three weeks ago.