Free Pick | NCAA | Wednesday | Jan. 17

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#678 Rutgers -3 over Nebraska 6:00 PM CT

Nebraska did get a non-conference win at Kansas State in December but sits at 0-3 in Big Ten road games with losses by 11, 16, and 18. Rutgers isn’t a top tier team in the Big Ten this season and Nebraska does already have wins over Michigan State and Purdue in conference play, but Rutgers has won two of three Big Ten home games while going 8-1 S/U at home this season, only losing to full strength Illinois. This is an offense vs. defense pairing with Rutgers the #3 defense in the Big Ten but one of the worst offensive teams. Nebraska is a top five offense but one of the worst defensive teams. Rutgers has elite numbers creating turnovers and defending the 3-point shot with Nebraska a high-volume outside shooting team that has seen inconsistency from its backcourt in conference play. Every Big Ten foe has reached 70 points against Nebraska as even a limited Rutgers offense could have better opportunities than the season numbers suggest. Rutgers has faced one of the top 50 schedules in the nation while in contrast Nebraska faced one of the nation’s absolute weakest non-conference paths to create a misleading record with a 10-1 non-conference record, losing by 29 in the only top 50 test. Rutgers was favored by 14 last season at home in this pairing and while the Knights lost that game and these teams have moved closer together this season, this is still going to be a difficult Nebraska team to trust on the road with a one-possession underdog spread.