Free Pick | NCAA | Saturday | Jan. 21

Free Pick Saturday: #726 Arkansas Little Rock +2 over Tennessee State 3:30 PM CT

Tennessee State is on an 0-5 ATS run and looks like a risky favorite on the road even with an 11-9 S/U record going against a 5-15 Little Rock squad. With a difficult non-conference path Little Rock went 4-9 before now starting just 1-6 in OVC play, changing over from the Sun Belt. Most losses have been on the road as Little Rock is 5-3 S/U at home this season and the home losses have all come by six or fewer points. Tennessee State has just one road win all season beating Lindenwood by three points and this will be an unfamiliar venue. Tennessee State won 94-69 hosting Little Rock on New Year’s Eve but now will be a similarly-priced favorite on the road. That was a dominant wire-to-wire result for the Tigers, but it was also a game they made 14 3-point shots on a great overall shooting night to win despite having 19 turnovers. Tennessee State has faced the weakest conference path at this point in the OVC schedule and the statistical gaps between these teams look minimal. Little Rock is likely to again create more turnovers in this pairing and is a better squad at the line as a much more competitive result is likely in this rematch.

Check out 2/3 from Nelly’s for Saturday college basketball – we’ve won 8 of 10 weeks this season!