Free Pick | NBA | Monday | March 24

#547 Toronto Raptors +2 over Washington Wizards 6:10 PM CT

The Wizards have been a favorite just once this season and are on a 1-9 ATS run laying points since the start of the 2023-24 season. Toronto is just 8-26 S/U on the road this season but since late January the Raptors are on a 7-7 S/U run with an 11-3 ATS record in road games. Often Toronto is a substantial underdog on the road and while the Raptors are on a four-game slide, the late March schedule is favorable for Toronto to get back on track. The Raptors are in the #11 position in the Eastern Conference standings and with Miami sliding in recent weeks it isn’t unthinkable that the Raptors could climb into a play-in position. Toronto was blown out Sunday hosting the Spurs in the first game back at home after a tough west coast trip. It was a game where the Raptors didn’t match the energy of the Spurs, falling behind by 20 points in the first quarter and ultimately shooting 10 percent worse than San Antonio for the game. The blowout meant that no players for Toronto were on the court more than 30 minutes as the roster remains thin with three starters out of action right now. Washington has been on the road for 10 of the past 12 games and enters this game on a four-game slide as well. Every loss on the current 2-6 run for the Wizards has come by at least 13 points and this could be a challenging home game in-between higher profile road games with the Knicks and 76ers. Washington is just 7-26 S/U at home this season and while two of those wins have come in the past month, this remains the league’s worst team in overall record and home record. NBA teams with a winning percentage worse than .250 are 45 games below .500 ATS since 1990 in late season games at Game #60 or later in the season. Toronto has shown much more life in recent weeks even through an evolving roster and owns a scoring differential that is nearly seven points per game better than Washington on the season. The Raptors are also on a solid 8-5-1 ATS run on the road off a home loss.