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NFL Close Calls

NFL Close Calls – Week 4

10/06/2020

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread and total in the fourth quarter in Week 4 of the NFL regular season.

Denver Broncos (+1) 37, New York Jets 28 (41½): While greatness was not on display, the 0-3 vs. 0-3 matchup Thursday night to start Week 4 proved to be quite an entertaining game. Denver led 27-16 early in the fourth quarter but the Jets would score 12 points over around six minutes of clock with a pair of field goals around a defensive touchdown, leading 28-27, having gone unsuccessfully for two on the touchdown when they were trailing by two. A facemask penalty took away a third down sack for the Jets and Denver eventually went back in front with a 53-yard field goal with just over three minutes remaining. New York was stopped on downs at midfield and Melvin Gordon put the game away for the Broncos rushing for 43 yards on first down.

Minnesota Vikings (+3½) 31, Houston Texans 23 (52½): Houston cut an early deficit to just 17-16 in the third quarter but the Vikings would score a pair of touchdowns to take a commanding 31-16 edge early in the fourth quarter. After a collapse in Week 3, Minnesota appeared in danger again as the Texans had cut the margin to eight points and forced a Vikings punt. Getting the ball back with still nearly three minutes to go Houston would reach 1st-and-goal at the 4-yard-line. The Vikings were able to hold, stuffing David Johnson twice, watching Deshaun Watson fumble to lose yardage, and then ending the threat with an incompletion that withstood review.

Seattle Seahawks (-4½) 31, Miami Dolphins 23 (55): Miami trailed by five heading into the third quarter and completed a 17-play drive with a short field goal to trail by only two. It took just a few minutes for the Seahawks to push past the spread however and after Seattle went up by nine before quickly intercepting Ryan Fitzpatrick and putting in another touchdown to lead by 16. Those on the ‘over’ suddenly had a chance after the very low scoring start as Miami was able to get a touchdown and a conversion to trail by only eight. The onside kick failed for the Dolphins however and the Seahawks were able to take a knee at midfield following narrowly reaching a first down that withstood review just after the two-minute warning.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7½) 38, Los Angeles Chargers 31 (42½): The Chargers stormed out to a 24-7 lead including getting a long interception return touchdown and productive numbers from rookie Justin Herbert. A fumble just before halftime proved to be a critical swing as Tampa Bay was able to add a touchdown to trail by 10 before the break. Tampa Bay scored on its first drive of the second half to climb within three and added another quick touchdown to go in front after the Chargers missed a field goal. Los Angeles would go 75 yards in three plays to go back in front at the end of the third quarter but Tampa Bay didn’t endure a 3rd down on its next drive, taking a four-point lead. After a 3-and-out for the Chargers, Tampa Bay added a field goal to lead by seven and Herbert was intercepted in the last opportunity for the Chargers as the Buccaneers were winners but for most the hook was enough for the underdog.

Baltimore Ravens (-14) 31, Washington Football Team 17 (45): Washington trailed by 11 at the half with missed opportunities on both sides. The Ravens went past the heavy favorite spread on their opening drive of the second half before an exchange of punts. Starting at its own 10, Washington put together a lengthy 17-play drive but after taking an 18-yard sack from 1st-and-goal, Washington still opted to go for it on 4th down from 13 yards out. Dwayne Haskins inexplicably didn’t even throw close to the end zone and Baltimore would answer with a field goal to lead by 21. With Robert Griffin in the game for the Ravens, Washington got an interception and added a late touchdown ahead of the two-minute warning to push the total ‘over’ while earning a push or a win for those on the ugly underdog.

Buffalo Bills (-3½) 30, Las Vegas Raiders 23 (52½): The Raiders had a strong opening drive in the second half and seemed poised to take the lead but the drive stalled in the red zone and the subsequent short field goal put the Raiders down just one. On the first play of the fourth quarter Buffalo rushed in for a touchdown to go in front by seven but that is where the margin stayed with a missed PAT. The Raiders fumbled on its next possession in Buffalo territory and the Bills took advantage to suddenly lead by 14. The Raiders were stopped on downs and then had a fumble over their next two possessions before eventually cashing in with a score inside of two minutes. That touchdown was just enough for many on the ‘over’ but not close enough for the underdog despite a clear production edge for the Raiders.

Kansas City Chiefs (-11) 26, New England Patriots 10 (48½): Those on the Patriots as a double-digit underdog would have gladly accepted a final Chiefs output of only 26 points prior to the game but turnovers burned New England in many ways Monday night. An egregious early whistle robbed the Patriots of a defensive touchdown in the first half and then with no timeouts Brian Hoyer took a sack before halftime that took points off the board for New England as well. Jarrett Stidham rallied the Patriots for a touchdown early in the fourth quarter as the hefty underdog trailed by only three points but on the next drive the Chiefs were handed back-to-back penalties for a total of 34 yards, including a 3rd-and-long conversion to set up a touchdown with nine minutes to go. The extra-point was missed however as New England sat down just nine. On first down of the next Patriots possession Stidham’s pass went off Julian Edelman’s hands and Tyrann Mathieu took it the other way for a defensive touchdown as suddenly Kansas City was ahead by 16. The Patriots were a threat to get back within the number on its next possession but Stidham was intercepted in the end zone and then a productive final drive in the final two minutes came up short on 4th down as well as Kansas City moved to 4-0. The Chiefs also earned a rare heavy favorite cover vs. Bill Belichick with a 4-1 turnover edge and a couple critical officiating decisions certainly changing the course of a game in which the Patriots were the more productive team.

Green Bay Packers (-5) 30, Atlanta Falcons 16 (56½): While the line on the popular Packers dropped throughout the day Monday Green Bay took a 20-3 edge at halftime. The Packers were stopped on downs early in the game to keep points off the board while those on the ‘under’ also had to be frustrated as a 20-play, 94-yard drive for Atlanta netted only three points. The Falcons got a stop and a touchdown to open the second half and while the Packers answered quickly, Atlanta did likewise to maintain an 11-point deficit early in the fourth quarter. Atlanta lost two players in its already short-handed secondary in the game but the Falcons defense held Green Bay to a field goal with about six minutes remaining to stay within two scores. A touchdown pass on 4th down was stripped out of Calvin Ridley’s hands to prevent the Falcons from getting within seven, on a spread that was +7 much of the week before falling all the way to +5 by kickoff. Atlanta would get another opportunity in the final minute reaching the edge of scoring range but couldn’t deliver on 4th down after taking a costly sack earlier in the series from the Green Bay 31 as the Packers delivered another win despite modest production while both Monday games played ‘under’.

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$10 Offer for MNF

Bobby Dalton has turned in winning results this season in pro and college football and he has a 7star pick on a TOTAL for one of tonight’s big games Monday in the NFL to close Week 4. As a special offer, you can get his 7star NFL TOTAL for only $10!

Nelly’s and Bobby Dalton both have ALDS picks in the MLB Playoffs Monday as well including a 10star Best Bet from Bobby Dalton for daytime action.

Nelly’s is 3-0 in the NBA Finals, backing Miami last night for a big Game 3 upset. Game 4 is schedule for Tuesday.

We’ll have Green Sheet Issue #12 posted by Wednesday afternoon and the next Nelly’s Phone Service update will be on Thursday, looking to build on a 16-7-1 start to the season!

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NFL Free Pick

Don’t miss great offers for NFL Week 4 Sunday –

Nelly’s was 2-0 yesterday and has our Sunday 2/3 for $25

Bobby Dalton won 2/3 Saturday and last Sunday and his first 10* Best Bet TOTAL of the NFL season is available in a Best Bet +1 offer for $24!

Big E has his next NFL Biggie for $9.94.

Maximum Sports looks to build on a 12-5 NFL Record including 7-0 in 5* picks with his Sunday 6-Pack for $30

Point Train went 3-0 Saturday and will look to do it again Sunday with a 3-Game Package!

SUNDAY NFL FREE PICK

#261 Minnesota Vikings +3.5 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CT

The Texans were in command at Pittsburgh with three first half touchdowns but then were shutout in the second half to fall to 0-3. Houston has faced arguably the best three teams in the AFC and shouldn’t be ruled out as a team that can put together a decent season.

A winless Vikings team provides a better opportunity, but Minnesota certainly could have won last week. Justin Jefferson’s breakout game was wasted as Minnesota posted 7.5 yards per play on offense but still did not win. The Vikings rushed for 226 yards on 6.8 yards per rush but struggled on third downs and had a costly missed field goal. Minnesota’s once feared defense only is ahead of Atlanta in defensive scoring this season.

The Vikings are a top five offensive team posting 6.5 yards per play this season however as the Vikings have hopes for a turnaround as well. The shutdown of Minnesota facilities provided a scare early in the week but the Vikings should be at full strength while still catching more than a field goal in this game.

As worked out on Thursday night, in Game 4 matchups of winless teams, the road team is the preference with a 10-4-1 ATS mark going back to 1983. Mike Zimmer has a brilliant record off a loss in his career and the Vikings did enough to cover last week vs. Houston’s superior division rival.

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4th Quarter Covers

4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Oct. 2-3

10/04//2020

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24: This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception. A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21: Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play. Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62): The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62. Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard. TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27: SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third. SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts. Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21: Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark. The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away. Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17: The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone. Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30: Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20. The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game. Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied. The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17: This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort. A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining. Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7: LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20. Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.  

Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30: Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns. Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short. Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

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NFL Week 4

NFL Week 4 started with an entertaining mess of a game between a pair of 0-3 teams while we can’t say for sure when Week 4 will end with the New England/Kansas City contest potentially being pushed to Monday or Tuesday.

Nelly’s turned in a 2-0 Saturday in college football and we are ready to add to a great start to the football season with our next NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE for Sunday – $25. We are also 2-0 in the NBA Finals and could have a pick for Game 3 tonight as well. The MLB Playoffs are off this weekend with the ALDS starting on Monday.

Maximum Sports has gone 7-0 in his 5* NFL Picks and he loves the Week 4 schedule, featuring his biggest card of the season with SIX SELECTIONS in his SUNDAY 6-PACK. Maximum has won his NFL guarantee every week this season, now 12-5 overall.

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton hit 2 out of 3 Saturday and he won 2 out of 3 last Sunday. A 7 & 10 star package is ready for Sunday NFL including his first 10* Best Bet NFL Total of the season!

Point Train went 3-0 on Saturday winning big games with TCU, West Virginia, and Georgia and he also went 3-1 last Sunday and is featuring three picks Sunday in a NFL Trio for $29.97!

The Big E came up just short in his 20* on Saturday but will look to turn in a winner with his next NFL Sunday Biggie!

A Free Pick will be posted by 10:00 AM CT for Sunday:

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College Football Saturday

With the MLB & NBA Playoffs on pause today, college football sits in the spotlight! After few prominent head-to-head games between national powers in the first month, things escalate today with several big games in the SEC, Big XII, and ACC.

Check out guaranteed offers from Nelly’s and our featured handicappers for Saturday’s schedule:

The Green Sheet is 3-0 in Rating 5 Key Selections this season – get this week’s Keys and eight-pages of analysis and predictions in issue #11 for only $12 or $129 for the full season subscription.

Here is a FREE PICK from this week’s issue:

#107 South Carolina +17 over Florida 11:00 AM CT

Florida’s opening win was never really in doubt but allowing 613 yards is never a positive sign. Kyle Trask and the rushing attack for the Gators did its part but a Rebels squad in a transition season moved the ball with ease as well. South Carolina had the lead on Florida in the fourth quarter last season and posted a yardage edge and Will Muschamp has played his former team tough every season despite only one S/U win as every game has been decided by 13 or fewer points. Muschamp was criticized for kicking a field goal down seven with three minutes to go last week but ultimately the Gamecocks lost because of turnovers. Tennessee scored on an interception return to go in front in the second quarter and Muschamp’s plan to get the ball back at the end of the game worked; only his returner muffed the punt and the offense never got the chance vs. a tired Tennessee that Collin Hill threw very effectively against with 290 passing yards in his debut. Texas A&M and LSU lurk as the next two games for Dan Mullen and this will be the second largest SEC favorite spread he has faced at Florida, even with this line dropping significantly since opening as high as 19.5.

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Busy Sports Friday

Playoff Baseball continues while the NBA Finals resume tonight. There is college football to start off October while the big weekend football schedule awaits.

Bobby Dalton has a NBA FINALS selection for only $10 Friday while Nelly’s is involved in Playoff Baseball tonight $15.

The Friday night college game isn’t much more appealing than last night’s NFL contest but here is our analysis from Green Sheet Issue #11. Our Rating 5 Key Selections are 3-0 in the newsletter this season!

Free Pick from the Green Sheet: #103 Louisiana Tech +24.5 over BYU 8:00 PM CT

BYU has outscored foes 103-10 and both games were against FBS teams that were at least expected to be reasonably competitive. The defense has dominated an option rushing attack and an up-tempo spread passing attack to show great versatility. Zach Wilson has completed 78 percent of his passes as well. Louisiana Tech’s 2-0 start has been much less impressive, squeaking by Southern Miss while allowing 38 points vs. FCS competition last week. Since his second season in 2014, Skip Holtz is 20-8 ATS as an underdog at Louisiana Tech and this will be the largest spread in that time since playing at Auburn and at Oklahoma in 2014, both ATS wins. Luke Anthony is a first year starter at LT but started the past two seasons at Abilene Christian and has been productive for the Bulldogs. Given the massive blowout wins in highly visible time slots for BYU and now playing in a standalone spot Friday night, this spread will climb too high. BYU was 0-2 ATS as a heavy favorite last season and this spread is similar to recent Cougars prices vs. McNeese State and New Mexico State. Louisiana Tech won 10 games last season and will again contend in C-USA.

Several football packages are available already for the weekend including Big E’s next 20* Conference Game of the Year – this week in the Big XII. He won his 20* in the ACC earlier this season and is 2-0 in 15* & higher picks this season. Big E also has 10* Biggies for Saturday & Sunday, plus his Top 5 Ticket which is 10-5 this season!

Maximum Sports is 14-8 this football season with huge returns in the NFL at 12-5 including 7-0 in his higher rated 5* picks. Maximum likes the Week 4 schedule so much he has SIX PICKS in his NFL 6-PACK for $30 for Sunday!

Nelly’s is 13-6 in football releases from our phone service this season and we have a pair of Saturday picks including a 2* selection. We also have our Week 4 NFL 2/3 GUARANTEE for $25 coming off a winner on Monday.

Bobby Dalton will have football selections Saturday & Sunday Morning.

Point Train has posted a 3-Pack for college football including a 5-unit!

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Week 3 NFL Close Calls

NFL Close Calls – Week 3

09/29/2020

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread and total in the fourth quarter in Week 3 of the NFL regular season.

New England Patriots (-7) 36, Las Vegas Raiders 20 (47): After falling just short in Week 2, the Patriots were caught in a tight game in the first half leading by three after both teams put together touchdowns in the final minute of the 2nd quarter. While those points spoiled a spectacular ‘under’ pace, only 10 points were added in the third and the Raiders could only muster a field goal after a long drive into the fourth quarter putting the scoring at 36. New England would go 86 yards and burn more than six minutes before effectively clinching the win with a 29-13 advantage. A penalty on the kickoff return would pin the Raiders deep and they fumbled on first down, taken in for a Patriots touchdown to seal the ‘over’ as well. The Raiders would add a late touchdown as well for 56 points including 20 in the final 5:17 of game clock.

Buffalo Bills (-2) 35, Los Angeles Rams (46½): The ultimate ‘under’ team last season the Bills have changed course this season and scored three touchdowns in the first half for the early edge vs. the Rams. Buffalo scored first after the break as well to take a 28-3 edge, a now an infamous score in recent NFL history. The Rams would do their best impression of Buffalo’s AFC East rival putting four consecutive touchdowns together, the last of which came on a short field after an Aaron Donald sack and fumble recovery against Josh Allen. The following touchdown came with 4:30 to go putting the Rams ahead 35-32 with a remarkable comeback completed. Allen would convert a 3rd-and-22 and moved Buffalo into the red zone however. The rising MVP candidate would then take his second big penalty in the game with a face mask call pushing the Bills back to the 30-yard line and eventually facing 4th-and-8 with 25 seconds to go. Allen and the Bills were bailed out with a tough pass interference call on the Rams and Buffalo connected for the game-winning touchdown and spread covering extra-point with 15 seconds to go.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3½) 28, Houston Texans 21 (46½): The Texans seemed to be in control of this game up 14-3 and the Steelers were facing 3rd-and-goal from the 10-yard-line after an intentional grounding call. Ben Roethlisberger would deliver the touchdown pass to get the Steelers back within four and both teams would add another touchdown before halftime for a surprisingly high scoring first half. Pittsburgh would climb within one with a field goal out of the break before four straight punts were exchanged without a single first down. Early in the fourth quarter still leading by one Houston was across midfield, but Deshaun Watson wound up intercepted at the 13-yard-line. Pittsburgh converted a pair of third downs and marched down the field for a seven-minute drive to take the lead. Up five Pittsburgh went for two and succeeded and Houston’s next possession featured a sack and a false start to leave 3rd-and-26. After picking up more than half that yardage Houston surprisingly punted, and never saw the ball again.

San Francisco (-3) 36, New York Giants 9 (43½): This game was closer than the final score and nearly 2-to-1 production edges indicate. It was 6-6 until 67 seconds to go before halftime as the 49ers would score 10 points before the break, making the most of an interception. The Giants scored out of the break to cut the score to 16-9 after a field goal on a lengthy drive and the ‘under’ pace seemed secure. San Francisco would score a pair of touchdowns over the next five minutes to seal the outcome leading 29-9 early in the fourth quarter. Nick Mullens and Jeff Wilson would star on a 92-yard touchdown drive culminating in a touchdown to push the total ‘over’ with just over three minutes to go.

Tennessee Titans (-2½) 31, Minnesota Vikings 30 (43½): While both teams moved the ball successfully the scoring was mostly limited to field goals early in this game with a 17-12 Vikings edge nearly midway through the third quarter. Minnesota appeared to break the game open with a 71-yard touchdown for rookie Justin Jefferson but the Titans would score a pair of touchdowns in the final four minutes of the third quarter to secure the ‘over’ and put Tennessee in front by one, missing on the two-point attempt. Minnesota would score early in the fourth to lead by five, also unable to get the conversion. The struggling Minnesota defense would hold on the next Titans drive, with Tennessee opting for and getting a 54-yard field goal to trail by two, keeping both spread outcomes in play for the final six minutes. Minnesota had two penalties and was unable to put the game away on its next possession and for the third straight week the Titans delivered a late kick to go in front as Stephen Gostkowski again hit from long range. While Minnesota remained in range to cover they seemed more of a threat to allow another score than to go back in front on a disastrous final drive that resulted in a Kirk Cousins interception on 4th-and-26 after he had earlier fumbled on the drive.

Cleveland Browns (-7) 34, Washington Football Team 20 (45): Cleveland led 17-7 at halftime but Washington would storm back in the third quarter with consecutive touchdown drives, taking a 20-17 lead into the fourth as a touchdown underdog. After two negative drives to start the second half the Browns converted a big 3rd-and-12 at the end of the third quarter and found the end zone with 11 minutes to go to lead by four. An interception followed as Cleveland put in another touchdown three plays later putting Cleveland up 11. Washington had its fifth turnover of the game on the next possession across midfield to spoil any chances of climbing back within the number and the Browns would add a field goal to complete a rare 2-1 start in Cleveland.

Cincinnati Bengals (+5½) 23, Philadelphia Eagles 23 (47): After a scoreless first quarter the Eagles completed a busy second quarter with a long pass for a touchdown with 16 seconds to go before halftime to lead 13-10. The Bengals would go in front 17-16 with a touchdown late in the third quarter as the total sat at 33. Cincinnati stalled on a pair of drives and settled for field goals to lead 23-16 but after some disastrous moments, Carson Wentz put together the tying drive in the final three minutes, scoring himself on a seven-yard scramble with 21 seconds to go. Those on the ‘under’ seemed doomed while underdog ticket holders sweated but neither offense generated a significant scoring threat over three possessions each in overtime. On its second overtime drive the Eagles did reach the Cincinnati 43-yard-line but then had penalties on two of the next three plays as for a pair of winless teams, a tie seemed to be a favorable result.

Chicago Bears (+2½) 30, Atlanta Falcons 26 (46): After an unfathomable collapse in Week 2 the Falcons didn’t come out flat, they quickly jumped out to a 16-3 lead though the Bears were able to score before halftime to stay in the game. Mitchell Trubisky threw an interception on Chicago’s first second half possession and was replaced by Nick Foles, who also ended his first drive with an interception, though he led the Bears into scoring range. Atlanta added 10 points in the third quarter and led 26-10, where the score remained after missing a field goal early in the fourth quarter. A Bears comeback didn’t seem possible after a 4th-and-goal touchdown was lost on replay review. Still up 16, Atlanta had a 3-and-out to give the Bears the ball back with nine minutes to go. Foles converted a 4th down in Chicago territory and the Bears would eventually find the end zone but remained down two scores with a failed conversion. The Falcons again punted after picking up only one yard and the Bears struck quickly with a 55-yard touchdown drive in just three plays, suddenly down only three. Atlanta went backwards and handed the Bears extra yardage with a penalty on the punt as the Bears needed only 44 yards to complete the comeback, with Foles hitting Anthony Miller just after the two-minute warning. Atlanta crossed midfield before Matt Ryan was intercepted as the Falcons managed to out-do themselves again with another 4th quarter meltdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) 28, Denver Broncos 10 (42½): The Buccaneers jumped in front early in Denver and with a 23-3 lead late in the second quarter the outcome seemed secure. The Broncos would score in the final seconds before halftime to make it a 33-point first half as the ‘over’ also seemed inevitable. The Buccaneers notched a safety early in the third quarter but had an illegal block on the return to give up the favorable field position. Denver would have the next scoring threat but threw an interception near midfield and the Buccaneers added three points at the end of the quarter to put the scoring at 38. Both teams punted on fourth quarter possessions, but Denver looked like they would help those on the ‘over’ with a drive to the Tampa Bay 16-yard-line. Eventually facing 4th-and-1 the Broncos were stuffed and Tampa Bay was able run out the remaining clock to keep the total ‘under’.

Seattle Seahawks (-5½) 38, Dallas Cowboys 31 (57½): The afternoon showcase between prominent NFC teams lived up to its billing as while Seattle seemed to have control with a 30-15 edge early in the third quarter following a Dallas fumble, the Cowboys would rally back. Dallas touchdown drives of 94 and 89 yards put the Cowboys within two early in the fourth quarter but they were not able to tie the game going for two with still more than 13 minutes remaining. The high total was already cleared when Dallas did take the lead on a 42-yard Greg Zuerlein field goal to close a 16-play drive with Zuerlein having missed two extra-points earlier in the game. Leading by one as a healthy underdog Dallas was in a favorable position, even after Seattle converted a 4th-and-3 just across midfield. Facing 3rd-and-3 in field goal range Dallas just needed one stop to seal the cover but Russell Wilson hit DK Metcalf for a 29-yard touchdown. To the horror of Dallas backers the Seahawks also connected on the two-point conversion to suddenly lead by seven. Dallas had moved the ball with ease the entire game and still had all three timeouts, but time was running short with the Cowboys reaching a 1st down at the Seattle 22-yard-line. Dak Prescott was sacked on 2nd down and Dallas used its final timeout with 16 seconds to go. Prescott would break free from pressure and heave to the end zone on a broken play on 3rd down, predictably ending with an interception as Seattle again escaped with a win.

Green Bay Packers (+3½) 37, New Orleans Saints 30 (51½): This was a back-and-forth game, but the critical sequence came early in the fourth quarter with a 27-27 tie. The Packers went for it on 4th-and-1 and initially were given a new set of downs, but a New Orleans challenge was successful. With the ball and some momentum after the stop the Saints would give it right back on 2nd-and-3 near field goal range with a Taysom Hill fumble. New Orleans held the Packers to a field goal as a touchdown would still get the job done for Saints backers down three, but New Orleans was forced to punt with under seven minutes remaining. Green Bay was in scoring range quickly but got a big 3rd down converted via penalty and eventually found the end zone at the two-minute warning to lead by 10. The Saints would add a field goal late, but Green Bay delivered Sunday night to stay on top of the NFC.

Kansas City Chiefs (+3½) 34, Baltimore Ravens 20 (55): The Chiefs took command quickly Monday night but a kickoff return touchdown kept Baltimore in the game, as did a missed field goal at halftime for the Chiefs for a 27-10 advantage. The ‘over’ pace was strong at that point, but the Ravens got stops in the third quarter and only three points were added. Early in the fourth Baltimore suddenly found itself within a score, taking advantage of a short field after the Chiefs failed on 4th-and-1. Hopes for a comeback faded quickly as the Chiefs faced only one third down on the way to another touchdown, going up by 14 and putting the scoring at 54 with still more than eight minutes remaining. The promising ‘over’ wound up not making it there however as field goals weren’t needed and both teams wound up missing on 4th down efforts in scoring range late in the game.

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Stanley Cup Finals 15* Best Bet

Join Bobby Dalton for Game 6 in the Stanley Cup Finals as Dallas and Tampa Bay face off coming off back-to-back overtime games!

Dalton also has action on Monday Night Football with another winning day in the NFL yesterday.

The Big E was a winner in yesterday’s 15* selection and he has a 10* Biggie for Monday as well:

Don’t miss the next issue of the Green Sheet coming out on Wednesday. Key Selections had a winning week and Rating 5 Keys are 2-0 this season.

Nelly’s also wrapped up a winning MLB regular season – the playoffs are starting on Tuesday! The NBA Finals start Wednesday coming off a good third round adding to our highly profitable basketball season!

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NFL Week 3 Options

Bobby Dalton started Week 3 with a winning pick on Miami adding to a great September track record – most won with his big play yesterday and he has hit 62.5% so far in NFL picks. Get an EARLY TRIPS-2-WIN NFL OFFER for Sunday’s schedule for $24!

Nelly’s went 3-0 in our Week 1 2/3 offer and we’ve had a productive football September. Join us for Sunday’s 2/3 GUARANTEE featuring a pair of 2* selections for $25!

Point Train also won Thursday night to start week 3 and has a 3-Pack of picks with two totals for Sunday!

The Big E is featuring his first 15* of the NFL Season with his September Game of the Month for $15.94!

Maximum Sports is 9-3 in the NFL with back-to-back 4-1 Sundays and a 2-0 record on Monday Nights. Get his 60% Guarantee for Sunday with five selections, looking to add to a 5-0 record in his higher rated 5* picks!

FREE PICK FROM THE GREEN SHEET NEWSLETTER:

#463 LA Rams +2 over Buffalo Bills 12:00 PM CT
One of these squads will leave week 3 with a 3-0 record. Many saw big things ahead for Buffalo but the path for the Bills in the first two weeks was certainly favorable. The Rams have been one of the NFC’s top teams the past three years but were a bit of an afterthought in the loaded NFC West for most. The wins for the Rams have come against high profile foes but both were also NFC East teams that struggled last season. Philadelphia took a depleted roster into last week’s game and turnovers helped the cause. Opponents have rushed successfully against the Rams but so far the Bills have allowed Josh Allen to throw, the current surprise leader in passing yards league-wide so far. The Rams will have to make the trip east in back-to-back weeks as the Covid situation didn’t allow the team to stay on the East coast following last week’s game in Philadelphia. The Rams have some injuries to work around this week but so far have been one of the most impressive performers of the season.