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4th Quarter Covers Oct. 23-24

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first full schedule weekend in college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Louisiana-Lafayette (-2) 24, UAB 20 (49½): Riding a long home winnings streak UAB led 20-10 late in the third quarter but the Ragin’ Cajuns scored with 20 seconds left in the third quarter to climb within three. UAB had to punt on its opening drive of the fourth quarter and Louisiana turned in an excellent 14-play drive to go 86 yards for the go-ahead touchdown. UAB appeared to be a threat to answer but Bryson Lucero was intercepted at the 18-yard-line and while the UAB defense held, Lucero would be intercepted again in the final opportunity for the Blazers.

Wisconsin (-19) 45, Illinois 7 (51): A sparkling starting debut for Wisconsin quarterback Graham Mertz had the Badgers up 28-7 at halftime with the only Illinois touchdown coming on a fumble return. Illinois would stay in the mix after a scoreless third quarter before Wisconsin added another touchdown to lead 35-7 in the final frame. Wisconsin melted another seven minutes of clock rushing the ball on its next possession to go up 42-7 while any hopes for the ‘over’ seemed to hinge on Illinois putting a final drive together. With four minutes remaining backup quarterback Isaiah Williams was intercepted and Wisconsin wasn’t quite able to drain the remaining clock, ultimately kicking a 19-yard field goal in the final minute to flip the total result for many.

Coastal Carolina (-1) 28, Georgia Southern 14 (49): Quarterback Grayson McCall was a Saturday morning scratch for undefeated and ranked Coastal Carolina and the line shot downward several points. Backup Fred Payton started much of last season and was productive though both teams had missed opportunities in the first half as Payton had two interceptions while Georgia Southern missed a field goal. A punt return touchdown helped Georgia Southern enter halftime tied 14-14. Both offenses sputtered in the second half with a scoreless third quarter before Coastal Carolina finally cashed in with a big pass play to lead 21-14 with about nine minutes remaining, past a favorite spread that reached -6 on Friday before spiraling downward. Later a 40-yard punt return sparked the Chanticleers for a short field score to go up by 14 before Georgia Southern would be stopped on downs near midfield. In its final opportunity Georgia Southern quarterback Shai Werts had his second interception of the game, matching his total from the previous two seasons combined.

Ohio State (-27½) 52, Nebraska 17 (70): A Nebraska touchdown two minutes into the game offered promise for the heavy underdog but a few minutes into the third quarter Ohio State had taken a 38-14 lead on a defensive score. Nebraska was still covering entering the fourth down by 21 but Ohio State would add another touchdown to lead by 28 and many on the ‘over’ got a late gift as the Buckeyes added a touchdown with 18 seconds left with reserves in the game rather than taking a knee. Ryan Day apologized to Nebraska after the game but the score pushed the scoring to 69, short of the closing number but a winner for plenty on the rise from an opener of 64½.

Auburn (-3½) 35, Mississippi 28 (73): This SEC West clash provided one of the better games of the weekend as these teams were knotted at 14-14 at halftime and 21-21 through three. Auburn struck first in the fourth and went for two, coming up short to lead 27-21. Mississippi answered with a long touchdown drive to take the lead with just over five minutes remaining. Both teams punted on their next possessions before the often-criticized Bo Nix got the ball back with fewer than three minutes remaining on the Auburn 20. He took a sack on first down but delivered a nice gain on the next play and a few plays later connected to Seth Williams for a 58-yard score. Auburn hit the conversion to Williams to lead by seven. Matt Corral and Mississippi had a decent late opportunity to answer eventually getting two plays from the Auburn 29 before a final toss to the end zone was intercepted.

Charlotte (-17) 38, UTEP 28 (49½): This game was tied 14-14 at halftime and Charlotte added a short field touchdown in the third to lead 21-14. The 49ers added a field goal early in the fourth to lead by 10 as the ‘under’ pace held before a flurry of scoring in the final five minutes. UTEP took a sack going for it on 4th down and Charlotte added a touchdown to seemingly put the game away leading by 17 but UTEP answered quickly to get back within 10. Charlotte needed only one play to score again after a failed onside kick and a penalty as the 49ers went back up by 17. UTEP would deliver for the underdog in the final minute hitting a touchdown on 3rd-and-long to keep the final margin to 10 points.

Indiana (+7) 36, Penn State 35 (61½): Indiana led much of this game, up 17-7 at halftime and 20-14 late in the fourth quarter despite Penn State ultimately posting a 488-211 edge in yardage. Down six Penn State had a punt and a failed fourth down on a pair of series before connecting for a 60-yard touchdown pass with 2:30 remaining, going up by one with the PAT. The Hoosiers had no choice but to go for it on 4th-and-21 after Michael Penix was sacked twice and Penn State seemingly had won the game with an incompletion. On first down Devyn Ford rushed into the end zone when taking a knee short of the end zone would have ended the game. Penn State opted to kick the PAT after the score, going up eight past the favorite spread but with the door open for Indiana to match it. The Hoosiers did just that going 75 yards in seven plays and then sneaking into the end zone for the two-point conversion to tie the game. The Hoosiers nearly gave the game away with a brutal kickoff that went only 14 yards and Penn State had a 57-yard field goal attempt miss narrowly at the end of regulation. Penn State delivered a touchdown on third down going first in overtime while Indiana did the same. The Hoosiers opted to for two and the result was Penix scrambling to the corner and diving with the ball stretched out to the pylon. The conversion was ruled successful on the field and while on replay the ball did hit down before connecting the pylon there was not enough room to say it didn’t certainly cross the plane and the Hoosiers kept the two points and the win. Those on the ‘over’ also lucked out with the late scoring and overtime result as the total points were at 34 in the final three minutes of the game and at 56 at the end of regulation.

Purdue (+3½) 24, Iowa 20 (52½): Jeff Brohm was unable to get Nick Saban’s magic elixir and did not coach this game but his team battled back from a 20-14 4th quarter deficit. A 13-play drive reached 4th-and-9 with about eight minutes remaining and Purdue opted to kick for three to half the deficit to just three points, which for the moment was fine for those on the Boilers +3½. Iowa picked up a pair of first down and seemed poised to drain further clock but a 13-yard-gain ended in a fumble in Purdue territory. The Boilermakers converted a pair of third downs along the way and then on 3rd-and-5 with just over two minutes remaining Aidan O’Connell found the end zone with an Iowa stop on the play likely meaning overtime with a field goal try. Iowa approached midfield with a nice first down gain but ended its possessions with four straight incomplete passes.

Oklahoma State (-3) 24, Iowa State 21 (53½): As expected Spencer Sanders returned for Oklahoma State and the Cowboys never trailed in this game for the Big XII lead. Iowa State answered each of the first two scores as the game was tied 14-14 in the third quarter but after a 66-yard Breece Hall run tied the game, Sanders delivered a score not even two minutes later. Oklahoma State added a field goal in the fourth quarter to lead by 10 and forced a pair of punts to effectively end the game. Iowa State would get the ball back with about three minutes to go and made the most of the opportunity eventually cashing in with a 20-yard touchdown pass in the final minute. The PAT made it a three-point final, meaning a push for many but a win for those Iowa State early in the week or a win for a few folks that caught -2½ on Oklahoma State during brief periods Friday night or Saturday morning.

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Free NFL Pick Sunday

Check out Nelly’s NFL 2/3 for Week 7 – we fell to 3-3 for the week after a losing day Saturday but hope to finish strong on Sunday coming off back-to-back winning NFL releases Monday and Thursday. Get 2/3 on Sunday for $25.

Big E won his 20* on Saturday and has won five straight 10* Biggie plays in NFL action. Get a 15* Game of the Month or a 10* NFL Sunday Biggie from the B.E.S.T.

Maximum Sports is 9-4 in NFL 5* picks and his first 10* Top Play of the season is Sunday for Week 7. Win with Maximum for $25 pay after you win!

Point Train has a three-game package looking to build on a strong start to October!

Bobby Dalton will have NFL releases for Sunday coming soon!


454 Washington Football Team -1 over Dallas Cowboys 12:00 PM CT

Dallas has won 11 of the past 14 in this series with strong ATS results as well, covering in both meetings last season and going 8-3-1 ATS since 2014. Dallas needed to win in Week 17 last season to have a chance at the division title in the last meeting between these teams and did its part with a lopsided result but Philadelphia also won to take the East crown. Dallas remains a 1st place team despite an embarrassing Monday night performance in the first game started by Andy Dalton. The Cowboys had four turnovers and two early Ezekiel Elliott fumbles were game-changers, resulting in the 14-0 deficit in the second quarter. Washington has lost five straight since winning the opener but they did deliver a significant yardage edge in New York last week, only to fail going for the win late on a two-point conversion. Kyle Allen was adequate at QB and the defense is capable while still playing hard for Ron Rivera despite the challenges this season. Dallas is among the worst run defenses in the NFL allowing 5.1 yards per carry and the short week for a struggling group laden with offensive line injuries looks problematic. Any statistical edges that Dallas may appear to have in comparing these teams can be thrown out the window as Dak Prescott was on pace for record-setting production this season and the drop-off to Dalton is severe. Dalton had strong results in his first five years in the league on decent Bengals teams but since 2016 his record as a starter is 20-36-1, including 2-12 the past two seasons. He has thrown 16 interceptions in 14 games since the start of last season while taking 41 sacks and he now faces a Washington defense with 16 sacks already this season.

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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

Nelly’s has a huge FIVE-GAME offer in college football Saturday for our biggest card of the season so far. Our phone service selections are a combined 25-15-1 this season through October 22. Also check out our Sunday NFL 2/3 offer and don’t miss Green Sheet Issue #14 with our Rating 5 Keys 7-1 this season!

The Big E Sports Ticket has won back-to-back 20* selections and his AAC Game of the Year goes Saturday! He also has a NFL 15* this weekend plus 10* Biggies Saturday & Sunday, riding a 5-0 run in NFL Biggies. The Top 5 Ticket has also gone at least 3-2 in five of six weeks this season!

Bobby Dalton has just released three college picks for Saturday’s schedule while he is also 4-1 in the World Series!

Point Train is off to 14-6 start in October including back-to-back Saturday 6-unit winners. Don’t miss his 6-unit Top Play for Saturday night!

Maximum Sports has released his first 10* of the season in the NFL for Week 7, already 9-4 this season in 5* picks!


#353 Auburn –3 over Mississippi 11:00 AM CT

Auburn has won four in a row in this series including three straight wins in Oxford. Both teams enter this game off disappointing losses and both teams have been outscored in SEC play so far. Both Auburn losses have been road games but last week’s defeat can be pinned on turnovers as the Tigers dominated the box score. The same can be said for Mississippi with seven giveaways last week to fall to Arkansas. Mississippi’s defense offers plenty of concerns, particularly against the run allowing 6.2 yards per rush this season while Auburn has credible defensive numbers despite allowing some scoring this season. Auburn had a 507-266 production edge last season hosting this contest despite a six-point final score and the Tigers had a similar edge last week despite losing to South Carolina. The Auburn defense should have a clear edge in this game with a high quality secondary and the offensive line challenges for Auburn aren’t likely to be a factor in this matchup as Auburn should be able to run the ball with ease in this matchup. Bo Nix has taken a lot of heat of his lack of accuracy and he is coming off one of his worst games. He still has an NFL receiver to work with and the Tigers should be able to control the pace of this game to take pressure off Nix and the passing game. Mississippi was able to post big numbers against every opponent including Alabama and the defense has played a strong group of opposing quarterbacks. Gus Malzahn and Auburn are on a 17-2 S/U and 12-6 ATS run following a loss since November 2015 and this is a severely discounted price compared to where this line projected before the season.

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Get a jump start on the weekend!

There are some great options Friday night ahead of the biggest college football weekend of the season so far!

Point Train is 8-1 in college football since October 1 and is featuring a total for tonight’s Big Ten opener between Illinois and Wisconsin – pay after you win for $19.97!

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton had a big 15* winner last Sunday with a blowout and he is back with college football action Friday night featuring a 7* side play for only $12 tonight!

The World Series continues tonight with Nelly’s coming off a Game 2 win and Bobby Dalton 3-1 in in the Fall Classic! Don’t miss Game 3 picks with a side from Bobby Dalton and a total from Nelly’s!

Check back for more information on weekend offers plus a Free Pick for Saturday! Green Sheet Issue #14 is available last night – it went 2-0 Thursday night and our Rating 5 Key Selections are 7-1 this season!

Some big games are scheduled this weekend with another Point Train 6-unit Top Play expected Saturday after back-to-back outright upsets the past two week in college 6-unit plays.

Big E is 3-1 this season in 20* picks with his past two 20* picks covering by 38 points – don’t miss his 20* in the AAC this week.

Maximum Sports expects his first NFL 10* Top Play as well with a 9-4 run in 5* picks this NFL season!

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World Series Game 2 – Green Sheet #14

Bobby Dalton started off the Fall Classic winning both the side and the total last night.

Get his GAME 2 PACKAGE for $24!

Nelly’s has released Issue #14 of the Green Sheet for games Oct. 22-26 – Our Rating 5 Keys are 7-1 this season!

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NFL Week 6

Bobby Dalton has his first NFL 15* of the season for Sunday – get it for $34 pay after you win!

Nelly’s was perfect in Week 5 – get our NFL 2/3 Sunday! We are 22-13-1 this football season overall!

Point Train went 3-0 on Saturday with another 6-unit top play upset win! Get three Sunday selections to build on a huge 13-3 start to October!

Maximum Sports in 9-2 in NFL 5* Picks – Get a couple 5* picks in his 60% Sunday Offer!

Big E won his SEC 20* Saturday and he went 3-0 in NFL Biggies last week! Sunday 10* Biggie is up for $9.94!

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Saturday Football + Free Pick

Don’t miss great offers in college football for Saturday – Nelly’s and Big E both added winners last night in college action and we are ready for a big day Saturday.

Nelly’s has a 2/3 Guarantee for Saturday for $25 with three daytime picks, now 21-11-1 in football releases. Nelly’s has a NFL 2/3 Sunday coming off a sweep in Week 5.

Big E has his next 20* – this week in the SEC looking to build on a 3-1 record this season in 15* & higher picks, covering by nearly four touchdowns in last week’s 20*. Big E also went 3-0 in the NFL in Week 5.

Big Dog Bobby Dalton is just in with a trio of picks for college football Saturday – all later games on the schedule including a 10* Best Bet + two 7* Picks. A 15* could also be on the horizon Saturday morning! Dalton also has a 10* for MLB Playoff Action Saturday!

Point Train has a 6-Unit Dog of the Month pick for Saturday as part of 3-Pack coming off a 10-3 start to October!

Maximum Sports has three 5* picks Saturday and his next Sunday 60% Guarantee in the NFL looking to build on a 9-2 NFL 5* record!

Here is today’s FREE PICK from the Green Sheet – Key Selections went 8-2 last week including 5-0 in the NFL! Issue #13 is available for just $12!

#134 Tennessee -6.5 over Kentucky 11:00 AM CT

Tennessee has maintained a strong series edge over Kentucky despite the Wildcats having perhaps briefly passed Tennessee for a few years in SEC East stature. Kentucky led 13-0 in the first quarter last season but didn’t score again despite a production edge in the game with the Wildcats failing on three different 4th downs in the second half. Kentucky produced a wild final score last week winning 24-2 to break its winless start against Mississippi State. Six turnovers certainly helped the cause for Kentucky last week, a winner despite only 157 total yards. Tennessee’s hopeful rise to a contending East program was put to a halt last week at Georgia. A halftime lead turned into a 23-point loss as the Vols were shut out in the second half last week and wound up with negative net rushing yards. Despite the score last week, Kentucky’s defense was highly vulnerable in its first two games and didn’t dominate two teams expected to finish towards the bottom of the SEC. This game figures to be close but in the trenches, Tennessee has the stronger personnel to make the difference.

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Trips-2-Win MLB

Two huge playoff games take place Friday night – join Bobby Dalton for a rare postseason Trips-2-Win offer covering both ALCS and NLCS games. Dalton is 10-5 in Trips-2-Win offers this season and is on a 44-31 run in October MLB the past 3+ seasons!

Football offers will be coming in throughout the weekend – Nelly’s expects 2/3 offers in both NCAA & NFL action this week.

Maximum Sports has three 5* picks in college football in a 3-Pack plus he’ll look to build on a 9-2 record in NFL 5* picks with his next 60% Sunday guarantee.

Big E has his Top 5 Ticket out with a great record in that weekly package this season. He also expects a 20* this Saturday coming off a 20* winner last week – while he went 3-0 in NFL Biggies last weekend!

Point Train is 2-0 in 5 and 6 unit college picks while on a great run in October overall.

We’ll post a Free NCAA Pick by Saturday Morning.

Green Sheet Issue #12 went 8-2 in Key Selections including 5-0 in the NFL – don’t miss this week’s issue #13 for only $12!

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NLCS & ALCS Tuesday

Bobby Dalton is 2-0 in Championship Series picks so far while riding a 43-28 run in October MLB and an 8-3 run in MLB 15* picks!

Don’t miss his Tuesday offer with picks in both games!

Keep posted for possible football selections Tuesday as well as Bobby Dalton, Big E, and Point Train were winners Monday night!

Nelly’s Green Sheet Issue #13 will be posted Wednesday afternoon – our NFL Keys went 5-0 last week!

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Monday/Tuesday NFL

Week 5 will be a unique week with Monday and Tuesday night games ahead following up a thrilling Sunday night game.

Bobby Dalton and Point Train have picks tonight for Chargers/Saints with both delivering winning days Sunday!

Dalton is also 1-0 in Championship Series baseball and he has a pick for Monday!

Nelly’s swept the board in the NFL last week going 2-0 in our phone picks Sunday and 5-0 in NFL Key Selections in Green Sheet Issue #12!

Don’t miss our next newsletter coming out on Wednesday or join us for the full season subscription!