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Total of the Week

We were unable to fit our Total of the Week in the newsletter this week – here is a NFL total selection for Sunday’s schedule:


#253/254 OVER 49.5 Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots 12:00 PM CT

Surprisingly the ‘under’ is 7-3 in Arizona games this season but three of the past four have hit ‘over’ and the past four games have averaged nearly 62 points per game despite facing four winning teams in that span. Seattle’s struggling pass defense is included in two of those games but het Cardinals have reached 30 points six times in the past nine games while scoring a minimum of 21 points in every single game this season. New England’s offense has shown some life of late as the offensive line has worked its way to being one of the better AFC units. The Patriots have outrushed foes in three straight games while posting over 400 yards in two of the past three games. It is New England’s decline defensively that has taken the Patriots from a top AFC threat to a non-playoff team more so than the switch from Tom Brady to Cam Newton. New England is allowing 6.4 yards per play this season and 8.4 yards per pass attempt as Arizona seems likely to hit some big plays this week. The Cardinals are allowing 4.6 yards per rush this season as both defenses have vulnerability at the opposing offense’s strength. This total has bounced around a bit but a number right around 50 seems fair for this contest and for a late November game in the Northeast the weather looks exceptional with no wind and a game time temperature in the low 50s.

Be sure to join Nelly’s for our NFL 2/3 Sunday – we hit 2 of our 3 college picks Friday and Saturday for a 10-2 November run in college football.

Big E swept the board yesterday with 10* and 20* winners – get his next 10* Biggie play for Sunday!

Maximum Sports and Point Train have three game packages for Sunday’s Week 12 schedule.

Bobby Dalton will have NFL picks coming soon, delivering a 10* winner on Thursday to start Week 12.

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System of the Week

With all the schedule changes and edits we need to get the Green Sheet out this week we didn’t include a system play of the week in Green Sheet Issue #19. Here is a college System play for Saturday:

PLAY AGAINST Any NCAA double-digit road favorite that won S/U as a home underdog in the previous game.

62-41-3 ATS since 1983, 60.2%

PLAY AGAINST: Northwestern

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Happy Thanksgiving

All the best to you and your families in this Thanksgiving season.

Today’s NFL and college schedule has been reduced from the standard holiday card but we do have offers from Bobby Dalton and the Big E for Thursday.

A big Friday in college football is ahead with many of those releases coming later today.

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College Hoops Starts Today!

Bobby Dalton and the Big E are ready to go with opening day picks in college basketball on Wednesday. Give either a shot to start 1-0 tonight!

Bobby Dalton started last season 6-1 and he has an opening Tip Off pick tonight for $14.

Big E was sitting with over 100* of profit last March when the season shut down and his first Biggie of the season will be ready to go Wednesday.

Nelly’s Basketball will likely start our season in early-to-mid December but we hope to post a few free picks to ease into the season in the next two weeks. Nelly’s has turned in three straight seasons of huge profits in basketball including going 26-14 in December 2019 picks. 

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NFL Week 11 – Big 15* Picks

Just in from Bobby Dalton is a 15* Best Bet for Sunday night with a huge opportunity on the schedule! Dalton had a positive day yesterday led by a 10* Best Bet win on Northwestern’s big upset and he is ready to deliver another big day in the NFL! His last 15* in the NFL was a blowout as Pittsburgh crushed Cleveland 38-7!

The Big E looks for a Sunday bounce back while looking to reach 3-0 in his NFL 15* Game of the Month selections!

Nelly’s is 8-1 the last three Saturdays in college football with another winning 2/3 yesterday. We’ll look to get in a big Sunday as well with three selections for Week 11 in this week’s 2/3!

Maximum Sports won 2 out of 3 yesterday with two 5* wins and he is ready to deliver at least a 60% day in Sunday’s 5-Pack!

Point Train’s fine season hit a skid Saturday including a very tough luck result in his 10-unit total, a game that was well on pace to win at halftime before turnovers and injuries added up. Point Train is on an 18-11 NFL run since Week 3 and looks to bounce back with a 3-game offer on Sunday:

Here is a FREE PICK on this week’s NFL schedule from the Green Sheet: #459 Pittsburgh Steelers -10.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars 12:00 PM CT

Given the consistent success for Pittsburgh and the consistent struggles for Jacksonville the series history offers a surprise with a winning mark for the Jaguars head-to-head, including the notable 2017 playoff win. These squads are at the opposite end of the AFC picture but Jacksonville has played three straight competitive games losing by 10, 2 and 4. Last week in Green Bay the Jaguars had the ball across midfield down four before Jake Luton was sacked twice in a row but in two games Luton has had passable results as rookie thrown into a tough situation. Two weeks ago the Steelers needed an epic comeback to beat Dallas with a new quarterback thrown into the fire and last week’s 36-10 result over the rival Bengals was a bit misleading with two early fumbles for Cincinnati digging a hole as the production numbers were relatively close. Baltimore is up next on the schedule on a short week with a Thanksgiving night game ahead as this is a dangerous spot on the schedule for the 9-0 squad that has had seven wins by 10 or fewer points despite two thirds of the schedule coming vs. losing teams. That seems like an obvious trap set-up that might not materialize however. A rookie quarterback going up against this Steelers defense seems likely to set-up some big plays and short-field opportunities for the Steelers and last week’s close result for the Jaguars was a bit misleading with a special teams touchdown.

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Weekend Update

The weekend is nearly here and it will be another big football weekend. Point Train started the weekend 1-0 Friday night. The 10-Unit College Game of the Year will be released Saturday AM looking to build on a 16-6 run in college football since October 1. Get the game on its own Saturday or play the whole weekend with Point Train!

Nelly’s is 6-0 the past two Saturdays in college football and we have our next NCAA 2/3 offer ready to go for this week for only $25!

Bobby Dalton had a strong 3-1 Saturday last week in college action and turned in a 7-unit winner Thursday night to start the week! Look for his college update Saturday – he has a daytime 10* for only $10 plus a Trips-2-Win offer Saturday night!

The Big E won his 25* Game of the Year last week and is ready for another big weekend with 20*, 15* and 10* picks available in addition to the Top 5 Ticket!

Maximum Sports is also set with 5-game 60% guarantees for both Saturday & Sunday! Maximum’s college card has seen two games get cancelled – get a 2/3 with his remaining games!

FREE PICK SATURDAY #415 Tennessee +10.5 over Auburn 6:00 PM CT

Jeremy Pruitt’s first significant win was an upset at Auburn two years ago but it isn’t clear how many more wins he’ll be leading for the Volunteers. A 2-0 start has been spoiled to 2-4 with the Volunteers unable to top 21 points in four straight losses by double-digit margins. These teams didn’t play last season and Auburn has won six straight in the series prior to the home loss two years ago. Rumors are swirling around both head coaches even with Auburn 4-2 and with a great opportunity ahead next week. Malzahn has never lost the game before facing Alabama though some of those wins were vs. FCS foes. This feels like a more critical game for Pruitt and the Volunteers given the current slide. Auburn’s convincing win over LSU featured some big breaks and the Tigers have been an unreliable offensive team for the most part this season.

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4th Quarter Covers + MNF

Don’t miss picks for a big game in the NFC North tonight between Minnesota and Chicago. Nelly’s is 5-2 for the week heading into MNF, Big E won his 25* Saturday, Dalton had a 3-1 Saturday, and Point Train hit a NFL Top Play Sunday!

Here are a few of the 4th Quarter Covers from last week in college football:

North Carolina (-13) 59, Wake Forest 53 (71): As a double-digit underdog Wake Forest scored back-to-back touchdowns before halftime to lead 35-24 in Chapel Hill and then added the first 10 points of the second half to lead by 21 points. The underdog cover proved not to be safe however as the Tar Heels took over in the 4th quarter, eventually taking a 52-45 lead with about four minutes to go. Wake Forest had to go for it on 4th down in their own territory and handed North Carolina a short field and suddenly a 14-point lead had North Carolina past the favorite spread with just over two minutes remaining with five consecutive touchdowns. Wake Forest would convert a 3rd-and-18 for a 46-yard gain and eventually found the end zone inside the final minute, getting a two-point conversion for the six-point final and deserved underdog cover in a game that nearly reached 1,350 combined yards.

Miami, FL (+2) 25 Virginia Tech 24 (68): The Hokies led 14-3 early in this old Big East rivalry but Miami was able to score 10 points in the final five-plus minutes before halftime. The Hokies regrouped at the break and scored the first 10 points of the second half to again go up by 11 points as a slight home favorite. Cam’Ron Harris converted a 4th down and then hit the end zone toward the end of the third quarter to put the Hurricanes within five. Miami’s defense forced back-to-back punts and D’Eriq King led a 10-play drive over 82 yards as the Hurricanes took the lead by one, with Miami failing on a second straight two-point conversion however as the Hokies would only need a field goal to win. On the next offensive snap Hendon Hooker threw an interception but the defense would hold for a pair of late Miami punts. Starting at its own 4-yard line in the final two minutes the Hokies approached midfield and had a few successful laterals on a final desperation play but Miami held on for the comeback win and cover in the closely-lined game.

Northwestern (-3½) 27 Purdue 20 (48): The Wildcats never trailed in this game and pushed the lead to 27-13 in the fourth quarter with a 42-yard field goal. Purdue would make things interesting late, getting a touchdown to cut the margin in half about halfway through the final frame. The Boilermakers held on defense twice to force a pair of 3-and-outs, but the offense couldn’t deliver including taking a costly delay of game penalty on a 3rd-and-short on one of the late opportunities. The Wildcats held on for the win and cover in a defensive battle with neither team eclipsing 300 yards of offense.

Illinois (+5½) 23 Rutgers 20 (52): The Scarlet Knights appeared to take control of this game with a 66-yard touchdown midway through the third quarter to lead by 10. Illinois battled back to get within three late in the third and tied the game with a short field goal early in the fourth quarter. Neither team appeared eager to win as Illinois would miss field goals on its next two possessions while Rutgers had a pair of interceptions. In the final seconds Illinois kicker James McCourt got a chance at redemption and delivered from 47 yards for an Illinois upset.

Nebraska (+2½) 30 Penn State 23 (57½): In a battle of winless Big Ten squads Nebraska had a 27-6 lead at the half. Second halves have rarely been smooth coasts to a win in the Scott Frost era and Penn State won the third quarter 10-0 to have a shot. After holding Nebraska to a field goal early in the fourth the Nittany Lions needed only four plays to cut the deficit in half with a touchdown, trailing by seven with still more than nine minutes remaining. Luke McCaffrey was intercepted near midfield to hand Penn State a great opportunity but with four plays from the 11-yard line Penn State was stopped without adding points. Penn State’s defense held with another stop in a game where the Nittany Lions had a 501-298 yardage edge. Penn State reached the red zone again in the final minutes reaching 1st-and-goal from the 9-yard line but Will Levis was unable to complete a pass as Nebraska escaped with its first win.

Texas Tech (+1) 24 Baylor 23 (54½): Baylor led 23-12 through three quarters after settling for a short 23-yard kick late in the third quarter. That left the door open for Texas Tech, adding a touchdown to get within five following an exchange of punts. Baylor was again forced to punt but the Red Raiders weren’t able to go in front, sent backwards with penalties and getting a field goal on 4th-and-20 with about five minutes remaining. Baylor crossed midfield looking to put the game away but wound up punting to leave the Red Raiders at the 14-yard line. Alan Bowman hit a couple of big gains and SaRodorick Thompson ran the Red Raiders into field goal range. As time expired Texas Tech got the kick for the narrow win in a game that had a near even result on a near even line.

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Sunday NFL Week 10

Check offers for a big NFL Sunday with Week 10 action. Bobby Dalton and Point Train are already 1-0 in Week 10 with Thursday night winners, while Nelly’s also hit an opinion play.

Nelly’s went 3-0 with three 2* picks on Saturday and we’ll try to do it again with today’s 2/3 guarantee!

Bobby Dalton had a big Saturday going 3-1 in college football and he was 4-1-1 last Sunday in NFL action! Dalton has profited in 8 of his past 10 football updates while on an 18-9 run in NFL sides and hitting 6 of his last 8 Trips-2-Win offers! Win with Dalton and a Sunday set!

Point Train is on a 17-8 run in NFL Picks and was 2-1 yesterday – get three picks for Sunday or join for a total top play!

Big E was a winner yesterday in his biggest pick of the season with his 25* College Game of the Year delivering an outright underdog win!

Maximum Sports has a FIVE-GAME package with a 60% guarantee on Sunday!

FREE PICK SUNDAY FROM THE GREEN SHEET: #251 Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers 3:25 PM CT

The Steelers have won 10 consecutive games vs. the Bengals and this was expected to be the second highest home favorite spread in this series since 2008. The Steelers had an incredible comeback to maintain its perfect start last week but that wasn’t the first time has struggled vs. a lesser squad this season. The Bengals were off last week and have scored 92 points the past three games all vs. winning AFC teams. Both teams have players on the Covid reserve list including Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers as this line has come off the board at many outlets after opening as high as -10½. Joe Burrow continues to impress and only once this season have the Steelers won by more than 10 points as close games are the norm. Even if the key players are able to go for Pittsburgh, the disruption in the week’s schedule after a huge comeback win will be a challenge. For whatever reason NFL teams that start 8-0 have struggled getting to #9, going 4-11 ATS since 2005 with three of the past four 8-0 teams falling to 8-1. Both New England and San Francisco lost in Game #9 last season as well.

Big Ben and other key players for Pittsburgh look likely to play after being on the Covid list but lacking practice all week won’t be beneficial and while this would have been a rated pick north of +7 the Bengals are still appealing short of that key number with a competitive effort likely.

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Big Play Saturday

The Big E is 7-2 in 15* and higher selections this season and is on an 11-3 run in NCAA 25* picks since 2013. His 25* College Game of the Year is ahead for this Saturday – $49.94 pay after you win! Big E also has his next 20* Conference Game of the Year in the Sun Belt this week for $20.94 or get both of those picks plus Saturday & Sunday 10* Biggies and the Top 5 Ticket for $99.94!

Maximum Sports is 3-0 in 10* Picks this football season and is ready to deliver a Saturday 10* with his Revenge Game of the Year in college football – Just $25 pay after you win as Max looks to go to 4-0 on big plays this season!

Nelly’s has our weekly 2/3 offers lined up for Saturday & Sunday this week with six 2* picks as we go for a big weekend. We went 3-0 last Saturday and on the season have turned in a steady 36-27-1 record in our phone service releases.

The Big Dog Bobby Dalton was a winner in the NFL on Thursday night with the Colts and is coming off a 4-1-1 Sunday last week while netting a profit Thursday, Friday, and Saturday last week, gaining stars in five of his last six updates!

Point Train has picked up over 50 units since October 1 and started the week with a Thursday winner. Point Train is on a 13-5 NCAA run and a 17-8 NFL run while 4-1 in the past five NCAA 6-unit Top Plays!

Check Saturday morning for a Free NCAA Pick from the Green Sheet with the newsletter 11-3 this season in Rating 5 Keys and 14-7 in all Key Selections the past two weeks!

Free Pick from Green Sheet Issue #17: #225 Louisville +4 over Virginia 2:30 PM CT

Virginia won the ACC Coastal last season despite losing to Louisville in a game that wasn’t as close as the seven-point final. Both teams have struggled in 2020 with a decline though Louisville has shown some life with a win and two single-score losses in the past three games. Virginia was able to snap a four-game slide by upsetting North Carolina in its last game before these teams pushed this contest back a week. Louisville could be dealing with some roster challenges with 15 players reported as testing positive last week forcing the schedule change. Turnovers have been a big issue for Virginia from the quarterback position while the offensive statistics for Louisville suggest that of a better team. The Cardinals rush for 5.1 yards per carry and while Micale Cunningham has eight interceptions he has also thrown for 15 touchdowns while rushing for three more. Louisville has some potential in this contest even with a lower underdog spread than last season’s game at home.

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Thursday Football

A huge AFC game kicks off Week 10 Thursday night. Bobby Dalton has a side play and Point Train has a total play to build on great recent runs. Dalton had a 4-1 Sunday last week in the NFL while also winning Thursday, Friday, and Saturday in football picks. Point Train is on a 16-8 NFL run since Week 3.

Green Sheet Issue #17 was sent out on Wednesday, Key Selections are 14-7 the past two weeks and Rating 5 Keys are 11-3 on the season.

Big E is expecting his 25* NCAA Game of the Year this weekend – he started off the week 1-0 with a MAC winner last night.

Look for more releases later today and Friday for a big mid-November weekend in pro and college football: