Description
Hello everyone and welcome to Week 12 of the NFL, Week 13 of College Football, and Week 3 of College Hoops! Today is Thursday, November 21 and I have a 10* CBB and 10* NFL Biggie for today’s action!
FOOTBALL: There’s no two ways about it…..it was a brutal football week. But, I’m confident we will turn it around at the end of the season when I’m at my best! I’m now 1083-1040/+99.5 since September of 2014 and this week, I will be releasing my 20* Big 12 GOY AND my 15* NFL GOM! I’ll also have 10* Biggies all week and the latest edition of the Top 5 Ticket all in this week’s package for $79.94! I also have a monthly package to take you through November for $199.94. Or, for the best value in the industry, I have my Full Pads Full Season Package that will take you all the way through the Super Bowl for November’s reduced price of just $449.94! Finally, I’ve released my favorite package of the year, my BOWLS & BBALL PACKAGE, which will get you EVERY FB and EVERY CBB play from now to the CFB Championship Game on January 20, all for $299.94!
BASKETBALL: There are signs of life in the college hoops season with a 2-0 finish to the week. Last season, I followed my record-setting 2022 season with another winning year, and I’m now 511-463/+89 since 2/28/19! This week, I’ll be releasing my 15* CBB GOM for November as well as 10* Biggie plays every day in a weekly package for $49.94. I also have a monthly package that gets you every CBB play in November for $129.94. Or, for the best value, my Full Court full season package gets you every CBB play from now to the Championship Game in April for the low, one-time price of $549.94! And don’t forget about the BOWLS & BBALL PACKAGE above!
You can call the office to get information and pricing details for any of my packages at 1-800-336-3559 or go online to www.nellysports.com.
Next update:
FB – Friday by 3pm with all weekend plays including 20* BIG 12 GOY
CBB – Friday by 3pm with 10* Biggie
Thanks, and good luck!
BONUS: ML Dog of the Day – OREGON STATE (CBB) +240
Hello everyone and welcome to my 22nd YEAR as a featured handicapper here at Nelly Sports! I am so ready for football to be back and ready to provide the best clients in the world with as many winners as possible! If history is any indication, we are in for a big year! Last year was a bit of a disappointment from an unexpected source: the NFL Playoffs. That area has been a historic source of profit, but last year I struggled, and it cost us a winning season. That marked the first time in more than a decade that I’ve had back-to-back losing seasons. I smell bounce-back! It is impossible to mention all the storylines we have coming into the CFB and NFL seasons, but college football’s realignment and 12-team playoff and the mighty Chiefs looking for a 3-peat must be at the top of the list. Football never fails deliver and, my friends, FOOTBALL IS BACK!
A few years ago, I moved to the industry standard +/- EV unit-based scoring system as opposed to defaulting to a -110 juice for every play. The reality of the sports wagering landscape today is both lines and juice vary from state to state and book to book, so using a flat 10% is more inaccurate than not estimating juice at all. All of that said, my “star method” hasn’t changed. I still have my traditional 10, 15, 20, and 25* Biggies and lower Top 5 Ticket values. The change comes with the addition of a common layer of value in association. To illustrate, a 10* play is 1 unit, a 15* play is 2 units, a 20* is 3 units, and a 25* play is 5 units. This system allows players to define their own units….it could be $10, $100, or $1,000, depending on their bankroll, with the juice implied. A win on a 10* play is +1, a loss would be -1, etc. This allows us all to speak a common language with a common measurement of success. As always, questions and feedback always welcome!
No matter how you measure them, the last 10 years have formed a tremendous run of long-term success! Since September 2014, ALL football selections from the B.E.S.T. have gone 1022-973 which has resulted in +107.5 units in that span! That means a $100 player is up over $10,000 in that span! Highlights from the last few years include:
• All Biggies are 412-391/+57 over the L7Y
• 25* plays are 32-20 L11Y including a 12-2 run in NCAA Reg Sea and 8-3 run in Bowl GOYs
• 20* Conference GOYs are 80-63 since 2011
• 20* Conference GOYs are now 107-87 ALL TIME
• 15* NFL Games of the Month have gone 26-12 over the L10Y including 3-0 LY
• Incredible 17-3 in Bowl selections in 2018, 121-85 over the L10Y
• NFL Playoff selections now 84-64 ALL TIME
• Top 5 Tickets have gone 42-33 over the L4Y
Let’s take you through a typical week with the Big E. After the full schedule of the upcoming week’s lines is released, The Big E releases his patented “Top 5 Ticket” on Thursday by 3:00 PM CT. The Ticket targets FIVE NCAA and/or NFL plays that show early value for the week, each rated at .5 units. Already a tremendous value at $19.94, the best part is if those units don’t add up to positive results, you get that week’s Top Five Ticket ABSOLUTELY FREE!! You only pay if you win; the Big E wouldn’t have it any other way! For example, 2012 was a great year for consumers: The Ticket only won outright during 7 of 18 weeks yet yielded +units on the year! This means customers paid for only 7 weeks but profited by the end of the year……don’t let anyone tell you the Big E isn’t customer friendly!
In the TV-dominated world of “all football, all the time”, 10* Biggie plays can happen any day, but Thursdays and Fridays are when things really start to ramp up. Every week, at the VERY least, the Big E will have two 10* Biggie plays; one on the top NCAA play on Saturday and one on the top NFL play on Sunday. These plays are available individually for $9.94 and, again, these are GUARANTEED plays, so you only pay if I give you winners.
Clients should ALWAYS be on the lookout for Big E’s promotional Biggies….every month, there is a 15* NFL Game of the Month for $15.94. CFB games that really stand out will bring a 20* Conference GOY for $20.94. Finally, the top NFL Preseason game, the top NFL Regular Season game, the top NFL Playoff game, the top NCAA Regular Season game, and the top NCAA Bowl game of the year spawn 25* GOY PLAYS for $49.94!
Did someone say packages? The Big E’s got ’em….big ones, too! Catering to the casual or situational player, the B.E.S.T. will have weekly, monthly, and seasonal packages galore throughout the year! Just check out www.nellysports.com regularly to see what the Big E is cooking up at any given time.
Are you a guy like me who shops at CostCo and buys things in bulk for cheap?? If so, please direct your attention to the Big E’s seasonal packages below and get ALL your picks early for ONE low price!!
FULL PADS PACKAGE: $999.94
Starts with a 10* Biggie on The Hall of Fame Game and entitles you to EVERY NFL and NCAA football selection through Super Bowl 58 in February! This package includes:
• EVERY Pre, Regular and Post Season 10* Biggie play
• EVERY edition of the Top 5 Ticket
• EVERY 15* NFL GOM
• EVERY 20* NCAA Conference GOY
• 25* NFL Preseason GOY
• 25* NFL Regular Season GOY
• 25* NCAA Regular Season GOY
• 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
• 25* NFL Playoff GOY
You’ve seen the results above….add them all together and this package is a MUST HAVE!!! Last year, this package included a TOTAL OF 211 selections. At $999.94, that comes to $4.74/play, FAR under the $9.94 mark for individual 10* Biggies. This package is a tremendous value year after year!
TRAINING CAMP PACKAGE: $59.94
The B.E.S.T. Preseason Package starts with a 10* Biggie selection for the HOF Game and gets you every NFL Preseason selection! This package includes:
• At least one 10* Biggie play each week (typically 2-3)
• 25* NFL Preseason GOY
The Big E LOVES the NFL Preseason, highlighted by records of 11-1-1 in 2007, 8-4 in 2013, 8-3 in 2014, 7-4 in 2017, and 9-2 in 2021, so the potential for getting off to a HUGE start and upgrading that bankroll for the rest of the year is there! Last season, the 13 plays averaged out to $4.61/play, a pittance for success like that!
GRIDIRON GRIND PACKAGE: $849.94
The B.E.S.T. Regular Season Package starts with the CFB kickoff and carries on through the NCAA and NFL regular seasons. This package includes:
• EVERY NCAA and NFL Regular Season 10* Biggie play
• EVERY Regular Season edition of the Top 5 Ticket
• EVERY 15* NFL GOM
• EVERY 20* NCAA Conference GOY
• 25* NFL Regular Season GOY
• 25* NCAA Regular Season GOY
All told, this package resulted in 167 plays last year….at $849.94, that’s JUST $5.09/play, another great value if you like to stick to the regular seasons!
BOWLS & B-BALL PACKAGE: $399.94
My favorite package EVERY YEAR! With this cross-sports package, you’ll get EVERY NFL and NCAA Bowl play PLUS EVERY College Hoops Biggie from December 1st to the CFB National Championship in January. This package includes:
• EVERY NCAA Basketball Biggie play
• EVERY NFL Post Season 10* Biggie play
• EVERY 10* Bowl Biggie play
• EVERY late December and January edition of the Top 5 Ticket
• 25* NCAA Bowl GOY
• 25* NFL Playoff GOY
Last year, we ONCE AGAIN had great success with this package with +3-unit profit in college hoops combined with our traditional strong bowl results in football. Last year, I was a little excited and included hoops very early (it happens!), so the package included a combined 100 CBB and FB plays, which comes out to an unbelievable $3.99/play for one of the best crossover packages in the biz!
Here’s the bottom line: I LOVE making my clients money, and I strive to provide flexible options to choose how you want to do it. Transparency is also a cornerstone of my beliefs. I want to not only win you money today and tomorrow, I want you to see how I’ve done it over the long haul. All my successes and all my failures are documented and can be referenced at any time. Trust is huge in this business and without it, I am nothing. I am so stoked to extend this incredible run into 2024 and beyond! I truly enjoy my craft and we’ve had great success over the years together. Here’s to good fortune and good health in 2024!
Sincerely,
Big E
