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#909 Cleveland Guardians (Bibee) +110 over Baltimore Orioles (Povich) 5:35 PM CT

Cleveland has been one of the MLB’s most profitable teams posting an impressive 49-26 record. The Guardians have gone 17-9 vs. above .500 teams this season as well as this isn’t a team that has just beat up on the White Sox and Tigers, actually just 5-5 in those games. The Orioles are playing at a high level as well but will enter this home series off a difficult road trip, losing four of six in New York and Houston. Baltimore has scored six or more runs five times in the past 10 games but has been held to three or fewer runs in the other five games with a 17-run outing on Thursday skewing the recent splits. Cleveland has scored 5.2 runs per nine vs. left-handers this season and Cade Povich has walked as many batters as he has struck out so far in three MLB starts in his rookie season. His FIP is 4.71 and while Povich has potential at just 24-years-old, his command in the minors has been problematic as well and a Guardians squad with a very low strikeout rate could be a challenging matchup. Tanner Bibee is already 15-6 in MLB decisions in his career and he has posted a K/9 of nearly 11.0 this season to go along with a 3.23 FIP. Bibee has to be considered an upper tier AL right-hander even with only 40 career starts under his belt. Cleveland also has the far more reliable bullpen with a 2.35 season ERA with a 0.99 WHIP as the Guardians have some of the best relief pitching in all of MLB and the gap between the bullpen results for Cleveland and Baltimore is even wider in the recent splits over the past 10 games. These teams could wind up meeting in the postseason and while the Orioles will be a popular play on team as a small favorite with a 25-14 home record, this is a game likely to be decided in the late innings with Bibee a more likely option for a deep start while the relief pitching edge for Cleveland is quite significant.