Free Pick | NFL | Sunday | Oct. 30

Nelly’s had a solid 3-1 day in college football yesterday including winning a 7*. We have two 7* picks in today’s NFL 4-Pack! We won last week’s NFL 2/3 offer and have won four of our last five NCAA 2/3 offers.

Free Pick Sunday: #271 Washington Commanders +3 over Indianapolis Colts 3:25 PM CT

Washington has posted at least 128 rushing yards in three of the past four games and the defense has allowed 21 or fewer points in three straight games. While Taylor Heinicke is not objectively better than Carson Wentz, he seems to provide a spark for this team. While Green Bay has been a mess this season, it was an impressive win last week with a 364-232 edge in production and the Commanders are now a similarly priced underdog at Indianapolis as they were last week hosting Green Bay. That means going from facing a Hall of Fame quarterback to facing Sam Ehlinger in his first NFL start. The Colts have failed to top 20 points in all but one game this season and has been one of the league’s worst scoring and rushing teams on the season. The defense has struggled against the run as well despite good overall numbers, allowing 123 yards per game on the ground. Two defensive starters are expected to miss this game for Indianapolis and the Commanders have slightly better than average defensive numbers this season, as the #13 total defense in the NFL. Both teams have three wins but the playoff path is much more realistic for Washington and all three wins for the Colts have been one-score games as the underdog points are appealing for the Commanders with Ehlinger offering a great range of outcomes in his first real NFL action.