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Free Pick Thursday UNDER 8.5 901/902 Philadelphia (Wheeler) at Arizona (Bumgarner) 1:40 PM CT
Zack Wheeler’s Cy Young candidacy has taken a hit in recent weeks even as the Phillies briefly rose to the top of the NL East. In his last seven starts his ERA is 3.75 and he has allowed 43 hits in 48 innings. Those are still excellent numbers however and he has mixed in dominant starts in that run. Tonight’s opportunity should be favorable as Arizona has struggled vs. right-handed pitching of late, batting just .242 with fewer than 4.0 runs per nine over the past 10 games. Philadelphia’s offense has caused greater reason for concern however batting .184 in that span with 2.8 runs per nine. Philadelphia has been held to two or fewer runs in six of the past eight games. Arizona’s acquisition of Madison Bumgarner has not been a success overall but quietly the veteran lefty has delivered a nice run since the All-Star break. In his past six starts his ERA is just 2.09 and while he no longer is a top strikeout pitcher, his command is excellent with only four walks in those starts spanning nearly 39 innings. Arizona’s bullpen has been a problem much of the season but the unit has a 3.23 ERA in the past 10 games and Arizona pitching has held foes to three or fewer runs in five of the past six games. After just 11 runs combined in the first two games of this series, the numbers should stay down Thursday afternoon with the best option for both teams starting.
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