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929/930 (DH #2 7 innings) OVER 6 Boston Red Sox (Rodriguez) at Minnesota Twins (Berrios) 4:10 PM CT
There is a chance of rain this afternoon with cool conditions in Minneapolis as Boston and Minnesota try to play a double-header. The second game in particular could favor the offenses and the ‘over’ has promise with a depressed total for the seven-inning contest. The humidity will be extremely high and the winds will be strong out to right center to boost the potential for scoring. Since starting 0-3 Boston has won seven in a row and yesterday’s 4-2 win was the first time on that streak the Red Sox didn’t score at least six runs. Conditions were extremely cold yesterday in the 4-2 game and while still early season conditions today, it will be slightly warmer. The Red Sox and Twins combined to go 1-14 with runners in scoring position on Tuesday and there were three double plays. Both bullpens saw significant usage, in particular Boston using four top bullpen options. Minnesota’s bullpen has been a problem so far as the Twins are 5-5 with several late inning losses already. New closer Alex Colome has not been able to get the job done while Rocco Baldelli still isn’t giving full trust to Taylor Rogers. Tyler Duffey has also battled command issues and won’t be a great candidate to come in with runners on base. Jose Berrios has been outstanding in two starts this season but he has also faced two struggling offensive teams. This will be a tougher matchup and Berrios hasn’t shown great consistency in his career. Eduardo Rodriguez got the win in his 2021 debut but he allowed two home runs in five innings. Both pitchers have unsustainably low BABIP numbers at this point in the season and with significant power on both sides this total looks fair to reach, particularly in the bullpen strain is elevated after the first game of the double-header.