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Free NCAA Pick Saturday

This selection is taken from Issue #12 of Nelly’s Green Sheet Newsletter.

#352 Louisiana Tech -14.5 over UTEP 6:30 PM CT

LAST MEETING: 2019 Louisiana Tech (-17½) 42 UTEP 21

SERIES HISTORY: Louisiana Tech is 11-1 S/U & 5-6 ATS since 1991

This is the first conference game for UTEP with the Miners holding a 3-1 record, besting the combined wins for the program over the previous three seasons combined. Two wins came narrowly vs. FCS competition and this figures to be quite a step up. Louisiana Tech hasn’t impressed however as the 2-1 start includes a one-point win and allowing 38 points in a FCS win. In primetime with a big opportunity last Friday the Bulldogs were blown out by BYU. UTEP got its only win in this series back in 2004 in the Miners last season in the WAC. UTEP has scored at least 21 points in the past three defeats in this series however for relatively competitive performances, though last season UTEP had two touchdowns and nearly half of the team’s yardage for the game in the final 10 minutes after falling behind 42-7. The offensive numbers look promising for Louisiana Tech with 10 touchdown throws already for Luke Anthony but the defense seems likely to keep most teams in every game. The ‘over’ might have some appeal as these are two of the five worst teams in the nation in the current small sample size in yards per play defense at 7.1 and 7.2 respectively, joined in the bottom five by major conference powers TCU, Oklahoma, and Mississippi. LA TECH BY 17

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