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#961 Washington Nationals (Fedde) -100 over San Diego Padres (Margevicius) 9:10 PM CT

Nick Margevicius was a compelling early-season story making the jump from AA to the San Diego rotation. The early returns were promising but his ERA is 7.24 the past six starts and his last outing after getting sent down for a tune-up start was among his worst of the season. Washington has been a big disappointment but the Nationals have been very good against left-handed pitching with an .851 team OPS. The Nationals have averaged 6.0 runs per game the past two weeks and quietly this team has gone 9-3 the past 12 games, scoring at least three runs in 12 of the past 13 games. In a small sample Erick Fedde has suspicious numbers with a 2.55 ERA but a 5.23 xFIP. The strikeouts haven’t been there for Fedde but he is a high-end prospect as a 2014 1st rounder and he had a 8.2 K/9 in just over 50 innings last year with Washington while posting a 9.4 K/9 in AAA last season. Fedde has made just three starts but he has allowed only three earned runs in 14 innings as a starter. San Diego continues to compete well but the Padres remain one of baseball’s worst hitting teams with a season OPS of just .713. San Diego is just 4-7 the past 11 games, topping five runs in only two of those games. Despite being six games below .500 while San Diego is above .500 Washington has the superior scoring differential on the season and projects as the superior team in the long run, and San Diego has a losing record at Petco Park.

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