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Free MLB Pick Monday

#959 San Diego Padres (Lauer) +115 over San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner) 8:45 PM CT

Madison Bumgarner remains a popular big-name starter for the Giants but the 2014 World Series hero has a 10-18 record in his decisions since the start of the 2017 season. He owns a 1.38 ERA this season but with a 3.68 FIP and his FIP was well higher than his 3.26 ERA last season. There wasn’t a big difference between the Giants and the Padres last season at the bottom of the NL West with San Diego featuring a worse record but scoring 14 more runs in the 2018 season. The Giants appear to be headed for a similar fate in 2019 with a 3-7 start and only 25 runs scored in 10 games.

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San Diego had a splashy off-season and is going with young unproven arms in the rotation but the Padres are 6-4 to start the season including a series win in St. Louis last weekend. San Diego won three of four hosting the Giants to start the season and the underdog price late Monday night is appealing. Eric Lauer lacks Bumgarner’s career credentials but the left-hander is a former 1st round pick. His numbers have been marginal in two starts this season but he has allowed just four runs in 11 innings and has displayed excellent command. The Giants have also scored just 1.9 runs per nine vs. left-handers this season compared to 5.8 for the Padres.

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