Posted on

Free NFL Pick Sunday

#461 Buffalo Bills +7 over Indianapolis Colts 12:00 PM

Normally the drop-off between a rookie quarterback throwing for 139 yards per game and a veteran back-up wouldn’t be significant but Nathan Peterman has simply had disastrous results as a NFL quarterback. That has caused the Bills to bring in veteran Derek Anderson to start this week with the team having a hard time getting behind Peterman.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Anderson was in Bills camp this summer and was with Carolina when Sean McDermott was an assistant for the Panthers as he should have a good comfort level in the system and will be able to have a productive outing while avoiding the major mistakes Peterman has been susceptible to. The Colts have a former pro bowl quarterback but the running game has been limited and the Colts are allowing 30 points per game in a 1-5 start. Indianapolis has played a tough schedule and is only -28 in scoring differential but the past four weeks the Bills have allowed just 60 points through a difficult schedule and the secondary has created a lot of turnovers.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” sort=”nameaz” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]

Indianapolis is playing up-tempo this season but without the offensive talent to avoid numerous mistakes, already with 13 turnovers on the season. The Colts haven’t been this big of a favorite since 2014 and this year’s 1-5 with a -28 scoring differential and a 0-2 record at home doesn’t look worthy of the price. Take out the first two weeks and the Bills are 2-2 with a nearly even scoring differential despite facing quality teams as Buffalo has not faced a team with a current losing record at this point in the season and the Bills have covered in two of the last three road games.

[displayProduct type=”carousel” category=”nellys-football” productnamecolor=”#ffffff” pricecolor=”#ffffff” textcolor=”#ffffff” carousel=image,title,price,button,excerpt]