#267 Buffalo Bills +10 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CT
The Texans are likely better than the 2-3 record indicates and Deshaun Watson is starting to resemble the start that appeared early last season. This is potential flat spot however following a Sunday night win over Dallas in a huge home game that required a lengthy overtime session. The red zone offense has struggled for Houston and the defense has effectively had to play 10 quarters in the past two games as fatigue could set in, particularly in a matchup that isn’t likely to deliver top focus or effort in-between marquee games with the Cowboys and Jaguars.
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The Bills have taken advantage of flat spots twice this season with a capable defense delivering wins over Minnesota and Tennessee. While scoring has been a challenge for the Bills, Houston has topped 22 points once in five games this season as it won’t take a big number to cover with a double-digit underdog spread. With a total around 40 this is expected to be a low scoring game which magnifies the underdog spread. As bad as the Bills have been in most recent years this is just the third time since 2013 with a double-digit spread, even with Buffalo playing New England twice every year. The Packers weren’t this big of a favorite two weeks ago hosting Buffalo and the 2-3 Texans don’t look worthy of this price.
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Nelly’s had a perfect college day yesterday going 3-0-1 including a dominant 3* Top Play winner on Iowa State. Bobby Dalton is 4-1 in football so far this week. Maximum had another winning day yesterday including a 7-unit winner and Point Train is 5-0 so far this week. Don’t miss Sunday winners from Nelly’s and our featured handicappers!
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