#961/962 ‘OVER 8’ Pittsburgh Pirates (Musgrove) at San Francisco Giants (Rodriguez) 3:05 PM CT
Joe Musgrove has a 3.41 ERA in 12 starts looking like a viable piece of a promising Pittsburgh rotation for years to come. His xFIP is 4.41 and his K/9 is just 6.8 however as Musgrove may not be able to keep this pace up. He has pitched extremely well on the road this season but it is a very small sample of only 27 innings and the Pittsburgh bullpen has struggled in recent weeks while needing a substantial workload already in this series.
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Dereck Rodriguez has provided a very promising start for the Giants, 5-1 with a 2.34 ERA in 11 outings. He also has a high xFIP casting some doubt on the figures however at 4.00. His strikeout rate isn’t a lot higher at 7.5 K/9 and his numbers seem likely to rise over time. The Giants have had several short starting efforts in the last week and both teams have been significantly more productive vs. right-handers this season.
In six meetings between these teams on the season there has been 71 combined runs scored and AT&T Park has not fit its reputation this season with 8.9 runs per game and a sharp lean ‘over’. Five of the past seven day games in San Francisco have also featured at least eight runs.
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Nelly’s Baseball is perfect this week, 5-0 since Monday get Sunday’s side play for just $15. Bobby Dalton has a 10* Best Bet for Sunday MLB riding a 29-17 Best Bet run!