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Free NBA Pick Wednesday

#508 Atlanta Hawks +8.5 over Miami Heat 6:35 PM CT

The Heat lead a three-way tie for the final three spots in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, coming off narrowly defeating the Hawks last night. In a true home-and-home the Heat are in Atlanta tonight and this is a Miami team with one S/U win in the past 12 road games going back to late January. Miami has a great ATS road record for the season but those wins have come almost exclusively as an underdog, going 4-5 ATS on the season as a road favorite with this line set to be the biggest road favorite price of the season for the Heat.

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Atlanta has one of the NBA’s worst records but 16 of the team’s 22 wins have come at home. The host is 3-0 in this series this season and the Hawks were -1.5 when they won by six hosting the Heat earlier this season for a dramatic line swing. Atlanta has a limited roster right now with the loss of a few key players but it is a hungry group ready for the opportunity and playing hard for four quarters.

Miami is 6-14-1 ATS on the season when laying 5 or more points this season and the Hawks won the rebounding battle last night while keeping the turnover count close. Miami shot just 42 percent and only had 11 points at the line but they lost by just three points. The Heat is only playing nine right now as playing on back-to-back nights could be a challenge. Atlanta is 8-5-1 ATS this season playing on back-to-back nights and Miami has far more prominent games remaining in the season’s final three games after this contest.

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