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Free MLB Pick Wednesday

#970 Baltimore Orioles (Gausman) -115 over New York Yankees (Gray) 6:05 PM CT

Kevin Gausman had some troubles early in the season but he has been on a roll as the Orioles have climbed back into the AL playoff race. In his last nine starts he has five wins with a 2.03 ERA. His strikeout rate remains strong at 9.4 K/9 and in six of his last nine starts he has gone at least six innings without allowing more than a single run.

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The Yankees dominated right-handed pitching in the first two months of the season but New York is a .500 team since June started and the offensive numbers continue to fall including posting just a .726 team OPS over the past 13 games. New York is a below .500 road team while Baltimore has one baseball’s best home field edges with a 44-29 Camden Yards record. With a great bullpen and late inning heroics Baltimore is 20-15 in one-run games and 12-2 in extra-inning games as well, getting walk-off wins in three of the past five days to start September.

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Few teams have been as productive recently with an .866 team OPS in the past 25 games with nearly six runs per game scored. Sonny Gray was a nice acquisition for the Yankees but his numbers are just slightly above average for the season. Since joining the team he is 2-4 with a 4.29 FIP and his road numbers are not nearly as strong this season.

The host has won five of the last six games in this series and Baltimore has the clear recent bullpen edge with a 2.37 ERA the last 10 games. Gary Sanchez has been suspended to take the best hitter out of New York’s lineup while Aaron Hicks also just hit the DL again this week as New York’s lineup won’t be complete tonight in a big opportunity for the Orioles.

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