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Free MLB Pick Tuesday

#968 Baltimore Orioles (Bundy) -130 over Seattle Mariners (Ramirez) 6:05 PM CT

The Orioles are starting to look very much alive in the AL Wild Card picture and a turnaround for the pitching staff has been the primary reason. Wade Miley, Kevin Gausman, and Dylan Bundy have all bounced back from mid-season struggles and Bundy gives Baltimore a great chance to win tonight. In August Bundy is 3-0 with an 11.0 K/9 and a 2.67 ERA and he has been a solid pitcher at home all season long.

Bundy is very tough on right-handed batters and he should get great support with Baltimore 15-11 this month behind nearly 6.0 runs scored per game. Baltimore has won five straight games getting a narrow win last night to start this series and the formidable offense owns an .893 team OPS in that five-game run. Baltimore has hit 47 home runs in the past 25 games and the Orioles are 39-26 at home on the season.

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Seattle was aggressive in making some roster moves to stay in the wild card hunt despite being buried in the AL West race but injuries to the pitching staff have made it hard for the Mariners to keep up. Seattle is 23-19 since the All Star break but they have been outscored by 20 runs in that span and fatigue has shown up now in the fourth city on a long east coast road trip with the Mariners losing the past three games. The team has just a .736 team OPS the past 24 games with only 4.1 runs scored game.

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Erasmo Ramirez rejoined the Mariners in late July, starting the season with the Rays but he has had mediocre results all season with a 4.52 ERA and a 6.9 K/9. With Seattle his ERA is 3.76 but with a 4.91 FIP and just a 6.1 K/9. As usual the Orioles still have an elite bullpen including a 1.70 relief ERA the past 10 games and Bundy clearly has a higher ceiling on the mound tonight.

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Nelly’s Baseball is rocking three straight winning weeks with a 12-5, +7.35* run since August 11 – join us for our next guaranteed pick on the diamond for Tuesday night. Bobby Dalton is also having success with his August baseball picks going 8-3 his last 11 including a 6-1 run in 10* Best Bets. Join him for an interleague Best Bet Tuesday!