St. Joseph’s -7.5 over Massachusetts
St. Joseph’s hasn’t lost consecutive games all season and Wednesday night the Hawks face a second straight road game after allowing 99 points in a loss at Davidson on Saturday. Massachusetts has won four of the last six games following a 1-7 start in A-10 play and the recent run includes wins over Rhode Island and VCU. Two of the four wins also came in overtime however and the Minutemen have lost four home games on the season including falling against teams at the bottom of the conference including Saint Louis and Fordham. VCU has regained the lead in the A-10 standings with St. Joseph’s and Dayton a game back but VCU has a daunting remaining schedule. St. Joseph’s has to feel they still have a great opportunity to win the conference and the statistics paint the Hawks as the most complete team in the league with top three efficiency rankings on both sides of the ball. In the first meeting St. Joseph’s won by eight at home with a high scoring close to the game through foul shots. St. Joseph’s missed 11 free throws in the game and shot just 29 percent from 3-point range but still comfortably pulled away. The teams that have beat St. Joseph’s have mostly been strong offensive teams with up tempo paces as four of the five losses for the Hawks came while allowing 83 or more points. Massachusetts doesn’t mind pushing the pace but the Minutemen have been held below 75 points in seven of the last eight games. Half of the wins for St. Joseph’s this season have come away from home and the past six road or neutral site wins have come by nine or more points.
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